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Virtus Bologna vs Olympiacos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 94-97
25-23 16-27 19-27 34-20
Position#17
Record8-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#1
Record9-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game84.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 18· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Olympiacos
01 Oct 2026
VIR96
OLY94
26 Dec 2025
VIR94
OLY97
28 Feb 2025
VIR70
OLY92
19 Dec 2023
VIR69
OLY67
12 Jan 2023
VIR83
OLY85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
102avg 79
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
64avg 79
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
69avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 79
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 79
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
80avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
91avg 79
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
86-76
86
76
+10
85avg 79
H22/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
30-21
24-21
19-23
24-15
23-20
23-21
19-21
17-15
14-15
16-20
17-16
26-17
13-27
15-12
25-22
20-20
28-15
32-22
12-20
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
11-21
24-14
14-23
14-16
24-19
16-18
23-15
23-16
15-23
31-22
24-25
19-20
18-21
23-17
25-15
20-23
159.5Avg total
82.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.682.2163.9-0.647%
Season at home (7)84.978.7163.6+6.186%
Season away (10)79.484.7164.1-5.320%
Last 10 (10)82.177.4159.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)79.677.4157.0+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.980.6159.5-1.740%
vs Similar (9)83.182.4165.6+0.756%
vs Weaker (10)89.379.6168.9+9.790%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
88-64
88
64
+24
96avg 87
A16/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
98-86
98
86
+12
91avg 87
H21/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
92-81
92
81
+11
92avg 87
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 87
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 87
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
85-98
85
98
-13
83avg 87
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
105-62
105
62
+43
117avg 87
A14/12
Basket League
Valencia
#3
L
92-99
92
99
-7
86avg 87
H16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
107-84
107
84
+23
104avg 87
H19/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
100-86
100
86
+14
98avg 87
H21/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
26-11
23-23
20-18
21-29
37-20
17-20
23-17
23-17
25-24
25-15
19-25
15-21
23-16
27-22
15-32
18-24
33-12
24-24
25-33
22-21
17-21
17-30
29-26
22-23
28-12
32-9
23-18
27-25
20-24
29-18
16-32
26-14
18-20
31-22
32-28
27-23
20-22
32-23
21-18
179.1Avg total
94.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.984.0171.9+3.956%
Season at home (9)87.279.7166.9+7.667%
Season away (7)88.989.6178.4-0.743%
Last 10 (10)94.784.4179.1+10.370%
Last 5 (5)97.885.8183.6+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.786.3171.0-1.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)91.680.5172.1+11.281%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
Virtus BolognaOlympiacos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Lega A
80.5Avg total
42.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.381.4+2.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.437.881.1+5.686%-
Last 30 away (16)41.140.681.7+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)42.538.080.5+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.279.0+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.339.579.8+0.860%-
vs Similar (9)41.342.083.3-0.744%-
vs Weaker (10)44.436.480.8+8.090%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#9
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A16/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
58-49
58
49
+9
H21/11
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A23/11
Basket League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A26/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H07/12
Basket League
Barcelona
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/12
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A14/12
Basket League
Valencia
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H16/12
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H19/12
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H21/12
Basket League
85.8Avg total
46.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.639.184.7+6.577%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.039.285.2+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)45.039.084.0+6.075%-
Last 10 (10)46.739.185.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.086.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)47.344.792.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.339.084.4+6.377%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.4
52.9%
60.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.4
39.7%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.3
74.1%
78.2%12.3
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.8
58.9%
60.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.6
39.6%
35.9%34.8
🏀 Free throws21.917.3
79.0%
78.2%17.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLWWLWW
Olympiacos
WWLWLWLWWW
#17
League position
#1
+6.8
Net rating
+13.9
113.0
Offensive rating
126.8
106.2
Defensive rating
112.9
56.0%
Effective FG%
59.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
18.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.7%
3-point %
39.6%
71.5%
Assist %
75.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 126.8Defence106.2 · 112.9Shooting56.0% · 59.1%3-point %39.7% · 39.6%Ball care18.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 35.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Olympiacos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Olympiacos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HBrescia86-76
19/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-90
17/12/25APartizan86-68
14/12/25AOlimpia Milano63-74
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79
08/12/25HTortona92-77
05/12/25HDubai79-78
25/11/25AFenerbahce64-66
23/11/25ACantu89-77
21/11/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-89
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HKolossos Rhodes100-86
19/12/25HLyon-Villeurbanne107-84
16/12/25HValencia92-99
14/12/25APeristeri105-62
12/12/25ABarcelona85-98
07/12/25HAEK Athens100-93
26/11/25ACrvena zvezda80-91
23/11/25APAOK92-81
21/11/25HParis98-86
16/11/25APromitheas88-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %47%86%20%
Points / game81.684.979.4
Allowed / game82.278.784.7
Point differential-0.6+6.1-5.3
Avg total163.9163.6164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olympiacos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%67%43%
Points / game87.987.288.9
Allowed / game84.079.789.6
Point differential+3.9+7.6-0.7
Avg total171.9166.9178.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1813572%88.582.8+5.7
2 Valencia1812667%89.685.2+4.3
3 Barcelona1812667%88.184.9+3.2
4 Panathinaikos1812667%88.785.5+3.2
5 Fenerbahce1711665%80.278.3+1.9
6 Monaco1811761%90.784.1+6.7
7 Olympiacos169756%87.984.0+3.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas1810856%86.882.1+4.7
9 Crvena zvezda1810856%85.883.4+2.4
10 Real Madrid1810856%85.884.5+1.3
11 Olimpia Milano189950%84.885.0-0.2
12 Dubai189950%86.887.6-0.8
13 Virtus Bologna178947%81.682.2-0.6
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1881044%90.391.4-1.1
15 Paris1861233%90.692.8-2.2
16 Baskonia1861233%87.691.1-3.5
17 Anadolu Efes1861233%81.485.6-4.2
18 Partizan1861233%80.889.1-8.3
19 Bayern1851328%77.584.6-7.1
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne1851328%78.487.4-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2516193494
Olympiacos2327272097
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