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Fenerbahce vs Panathinaikos Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 29 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Scheduled
Position#7
Record7-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 20· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Panathinaikos
29 Dec 2026
FEN v PAO
upcoming
16 Dec 2025
FEN77
PAO81
23 May 2025
FEN82
PAO76
25 Oct 2024
FEN76
PAO81
17 Oct 2023
FEN83
PAO69
18 Nov 2022
FEN107
PAO77
08 Apr 2022
FEN59
PAO62
15 Jan 2021
FEN100
PAO74
08 Feb 2019
FEN85
PAO66
17 Jan 2018
FEN67
PAO62
25 Apr 2017
FEN79
PAO61
19 Jan 2017
FEN84
PAO63
30 Dec 2015
FEN82
PAO75
04 Dec 2014
FEN84
PAO62
23 Jan 2014
FEN77
PAO72
01 Nov 2012
FEN73
PAO64
02 Feb 2012
FEN56
PAO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
73avg 80
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
67avg 80
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 80
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
98avg 80
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 80
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
76-95
76
95
-19
64avg 80
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
85avg 80
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
84-65
84
65
+19
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
78-59
78
59
+19
no box
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
109-111 OT
109
111
-2
no box
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
13-9
34-16
15-21
12-24
21-15
18-19
26-24
8-20
16-14
21-15
19-12
25-16
24-20
25-14
23-22
9-19
16-17
21-24
32-26
24-22
18-25
13-23
21-25
25-21
22-22
23-16
18-18
33-18
19-14
11-9
21-24
23-15
20-21
16-11
19-12
14-23
29-27
29-22
20-20
159.8Avg total
82.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.978.6161.5+4.364%
Season at home (6)85.270.0155.2+15.2100%
Season away (5)80.289.0169.2-8.820%
Last 10 (10)82.577.3159.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)67.585.5153.0-18.00%
vs Similar (16)81.679.1160.7+2.669%
vs Weaker (12)90.577.0167.5+13.583%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
72-55
72
55
+17
67avg 83
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 83
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
165.7Avg total
84.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.678.7166.3+8.980%
Season at home (7)88.776.7165.4+12.086%
Season away (3)85.083.3168.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)84.880.9165.7+3.970%
Last 5 (5)87.489.0176.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (7)88.392.3180.6-4.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.476.0165.4+13.489%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
FenerbahcePanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#6
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#4
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A23/10
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#8
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Valencia
#3
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A27/10
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H01/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#20
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H05/11
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A07/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Paris
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
38.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.981.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.978.8+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.441.884.1+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.176.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.539.572.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (16)38.841.480.2-2.638%-
vs Weaker (12)47.138.185.2+9.083%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#7
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#8
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.080.9+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.837.681.3+6.262%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.780.4-1.043%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.285.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (7)40.343.683.9-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.237.081.2+7.267%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.9
58.2%
55.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.415.9
77.9%
77.1%15.9
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
55.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
77.1%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWWWLLWWLW
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#1
+3.1
Net rating
+8.3
97.9
Offensive rating
97.5
94.8
Defensive rating
89.3
54.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.1%
3-point %
34.4%
62.7%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 97.5Defence94.8 · 89.3Shooting54.2% · 54.5%3-point %33.1% · 34.4%Ball care15.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
6
Panathinaikos wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AParis109-111 OT
07/11/26ABursaspor78-59
05/11/26HBaskonia84-65
01/11/26HTofas88-77
29/10/26AReal Madrid76-95
27/10/26AValencia78-86
25/10/26AKarsiyaka97-72
23/10/26AOlympiacos64-61
18/10/26HPetkim Spor77-82
15/10/26HPartizan74-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%100%20%
Points / game82.985.280.2
Allowed / game78.670.089.0
Point differential+4.3+15.2-8.8
Avg total161.5155.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW80%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %80%86%67%
Points / game87.688.785.0
Allowed / game78.776.783.3
Point differential+8.9+12.0+1.7
Avg total166.3165.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos108280%87.678.7+8.9
2 Crvena zvezda107370%83.275.0+8.2
3 Valencia107370%95.889.1+6.7
4 Olympiacos107370%87.281.6+5.6
5 Dubai107370%88.084.1+3.9
6 Barcelona107370%91.088.7+2.3
7 Fenerbahce117464%82.978.6+4.3
8 Real Madrid106460%97.890.7+7.1
9 Hapoel Tel-Aviv106460%92.187.9+4.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas106460%85.682.3+3.3
11 Partizan116555%79.577.7+1.7
12 Paris115645%91.094.1-3.1
13 Anadolu Efes104640%84.287.1-2.9
14 Besiktas104640%87.790.9-3.2
15 Virtus Bologna104640%85.689.5-3.9
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne104640%88.393.0-4.7
17 Bayern103730%86.894.5-7.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%84.794.0-9.3
19 Olimpia Milano101910%81.189.6-8.5
20 Baskonia111109%79.991.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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