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Fenerbahce vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 79-77
20-25 14-18 26-15 19-19
Position#7
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game65.3
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#13
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2022
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Valencia
12 Mar 2027
FEN v VAL
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
FEN82
VAL79
14 Mar 2024
FEN118
VAL88
20 Oct 2022
FEN79
VAL77
27 Nov 2020
FEN86
VAL90
02 Nov 2017
FEN79
VAL66
27 Jan 2011
FEN75
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
93-78
93
78
+15
97avg 77
H09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
92-103
92
103
-11
no box
A11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
92-80
92
80
+12
96avg 77
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
62-71
62
71
-9
55avg 77
H28/09
Super Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#16
W
74-62
74
62
+12
70avg 77
A06/10
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H14/10
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
84-63
84
63
+21
80avg 77
H18/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
36-12
20-17
19-29
25-31
25-21
19-24
23-27
24-12
17-23
29-26
22-19
15-23
8-19
13-12
26-17
23-28
9-13
27-8
19-23
21-19
19-15
19-12
15-16
25-17
17-21
22-21
21-21
23-20
23-12
19-20
21-19
18-15
22-12
21-17
24-27
25-19
17-17
23-10
19-17
158.2Avg total
83.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.365.3146.7+16.0100%
Season at home (2)85.067.0152.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)74.062.0136.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.175.1158.2+8.080%
Last 5 (5)82.869.4152.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.088.0155.0-21.00%
vs Similar (9)81.379.0160.3+2.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)83.073.7156.7+9.374%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
72avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 79
A28/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 79
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 79
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 79
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
L
65-71
65
71
-6
55avg 79
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
76-77
76
77
-1
71avg 79
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
92-91
92
91
+1
87avg 79
A18/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-22
27-24
17-13
20-21
26-20
21-18
22-23
20-9
17-25
17-19
5-23
21-19
21-14
25-24
16-21
23-18
20-19
24-24
20-26
21-19
12-20
23-20
15-22
10-20
24-10
19-15
12-26
27-16
11-26
21-20
17-15
22-26
23-14
15-15
14-20
20-21
25-24
21-23
26-23
159.7Avg total
78.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.783.0162.7-3.333%
Season at home (2)73.579.0152.5-5.50%
Season away (1)92.091.0183.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.980.8159.7-1.940%
Last 5 (5)75.679.0154.6-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)81.586.0167.5-4.550%
vs Similar (15)80.879.9160.7+0.953%
vs Weaker (13)86.279.8166.0+6.369%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
FenerbahceValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A11/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H28/09
Super Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H02/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#16
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#5
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/10
Euroleague
Konyaspor
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H16/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/10
Euroleague
77.9Avg total
41.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.137.578.5+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.837.478.2+3.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.578.9+3.971%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.977.9+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.475.4+8.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.042.076.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (9)42.137.779.8+4.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.936.978.8+5.079%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
Bilbao
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A09/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H14/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H16/10
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A18/10
Euroleague
78.2Avg total
39.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.080.5+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.338.680.9+3.772%-
Last 30 away (12)40.239.779.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.478.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.278.2-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.039.381.3+2.773%-
vs Weaker (13)41.238.379.5+2.862%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.5
59.5%
53.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.1
38.5%
36.2%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.914.3
79.9%
78.5%14.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
49.9%
53.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.313.7
71.0%
78.5%13.7
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWLWLW
Valencia
WLLLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#13
+13.9
Net rating
-2.6
119.8
Offensive rating
105.0
105.9
Defensive rating
107.6
58.7%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.5%
3-point %
34.6%
66.2%
Assist %
62.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 105.0Defence105.9 · 107.6Shooting58.7% · 50.7%3-point %38.5% · 34.6%Ball care17.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.1% · 28.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Fenerbahce wins
3
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
12/03/21Valencia v Fenerbahce66-52
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
27/01/11Fenerbahce v Valencia75-73
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/22HLyon-Villeurbanne84-63
16/10/22HKonyaspor85-71
14/10/22HMaccabi Tel Aviv86-71
10/10/22ABuyukcekmece85-80
06/10/22ABayern74-62
02/10/22HBahcesehir Kol.78-72
28/09/22HAnadolu Efes62-71
13/06/22AAnadolu Efes92-80
11/06/22AAnadolu Efes92-103
09/06/22HAnadolu Efes93-78
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/22AAnadolu Efes92-91
16/10/22HMurcia74-75
14/10/22HLyon-Villeurbanne76-77
09/10/22ABilbao65-71
06/10/22HBaskonia71-81
02/10/22HJoventut Badalona101-97 OT
30/09/22AReal Betis83-78
30/05/22HBaskonia59-76
28/05/22ABaskonia89-82
24/05/22HBaskonia79-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.385.074.0
Allowed / game65.367.062.0
Point differential+16.0+18.0+12.0
Avg total146.7152.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game79.773.592.0
Allowed / game83.079.091.0
Point differential-3.3-5.5+1.0
Avg total162.7152.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin330100%91.374.3+17.0
2 Fenerbahce330100%81.365.3+16.0
3 Baskonia330100%92.080.7+11.3
4 Olympiacos330100%86.379.0+7.3
5 Monaco32167%82.778.7+4.0
6 Olimpia Milano32167%74.372.3+2.0
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv32167%77.779.7-2.0
8 Barcelona42250%75.274.8+0.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas42250%76.077.8-1.8
10 Anadolu Efes31233%85.082.0+3.0
11 Real Madrid31233%77.077.3-0.3
12 Valencia31233%79.783.0-3.3
13 Virtus Bologna31233%65.771.3-5.7
14 Lyon-Villeurbanne31233%67.376.3-9.0
15 Panathinaikos31233%70.080.0-10.0
16 Bayern3030%66.074.7-8.7
17 Partizan3030%85.094.3-9.3
18 Crvena zvezda3030%69.780.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2014261979
Valencia2518151977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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