PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 66-52
18-10 19-18 8-11 21-13
Position#8
Record14-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.5
Valencia 🏆
vs
Fenerbahce
Position#9
Record17-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2020
Meetings · Valencia v Fenerbahce
27 Oct 2026
VAL86
FEN78
28 Oct 2025
VAL94
FEN79
13 Oct 2023
VAL77
FEN74
16 Mar 2023
VAL82
FEN80
12 Mar 2021
VAL66
FEN52
11 Jan 2018
VAL67
FEN80
03 Mar 2011
VAL82
FEN68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 80
A31/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
105-103 OT
105
103
+2
no box
H04/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
no box
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
86avg 80
H19/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
91-62
91
62
+29
95avg 80
A25/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
79avg 80
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
72-84
72
84
-12
62avg 80
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
112-82
112
82
+30
95avg 80
H07/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
16-13
27-24
28-27
25-17
22-26
17-20
20-21
12-22
26-15
30-22
21-22
17-29
17-20
21-14
19-22
29-21
26-14
16-17
18-26
22-19
22-22
18-9
29-12
17-12
17-27
17-22
21-23
23-18
17-28
18-22
25-31
18-14
17-19
21-29
16-22
25-21
29-32
29-15
29-14
171.9Avg total
87.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.282.5164.8-0.350%
Season at home (13)83.580.8164.2+2.769%
Season away (15)81.184.1165.2-2.933%
Last 10 (10)87.684.3171.9+3.360%
Last 5 (5)86.082.2168.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.091.2175.2-7.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.477.8159.2+3.650%
vs Weaker (15)89.180.9170.1+8.273%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#8
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
no box
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
92-84
92
84
+8
94avg 81
H05/02
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
80-67
80
67
+13
80avg 81
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 81
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#15
W
89-84
89
84
+5
87avg 81
H19/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
74-106
74
106
-32
no box
H26/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#7
W
66-64
66
64
+2
68avg 81
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
100-92
100
92
+8
99avg 81
A03/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 81
A05/03
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#6
W
99-77
99
77
+22
108avg 81
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
17-24
24-15
25-19
25-25
22-18
19-22
26-19
24-15
19-25
16-12
21-15
19-20
22-19
22-15
18-30
24-22
21-20
22-18
22-24
11-24
28-29
19-28
16-25
14-19
25-10
15-12
12-23
24-28
26-24
28-17
22-23
20-18
20-20
19-22
31-26
27-18
26-24
28-17
18-18
171.4Avg total
86.8Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.080.2160.2-0.261%
Season at home (14)83.177.9161.0+5.164%
Season away (14)76.982.6159.5-5.657%
Last 10 (10)86.884.6171.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)85.885.0170.8+0.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)85.083.6168.6+1.471%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.580.2159.7-0.664%
vs Weaker (12)87.476.0163.4+11.475%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
ValenciaFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H04/02
Euroleague
Real Betis
#16
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A11/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#7
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H19/02
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A28/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A04/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/03
ACB
82.5Avg total
41.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.0+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.239.585.8+6.785%-
Last 30 away (17)38.740.579.2-1.841%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.082.5+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.483.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.041.281.2-1.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.138.780.8+3.480%-
vs Weaker (15)42.940.183.0+2.953%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaziantep
#8
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zenit Petersburg
#6
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H05/02
Euroleague
Petkim Spor
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Alba Berlin
#15
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H19/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H26/02
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#7
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A03/03
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A05/03
Euroleague
Turk Telekom
#6
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
86.4Avg total
43.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.039.682.6+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.139.983.9+4.280%-
Last 30 away (15)41.939.381.2+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)43.443.086.4+0.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.887.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)43.643.386.9+0.343%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.039.078.0+0.064%-
vs Weaker (12)46.238.084.2+8.292%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.1
53.4%
52.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.0
41.4%
38.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.814.3
80.3%
79.3%14.3
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.123.6
63.6%
52.7%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.98.5
42.7%
38.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws17.814.5
81.5%
79.3%14.5
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WLLLWWLWWW
Fenerbahce
WWWWLWLWWL
#8
League position
#9
+2.5
Net rating
+8.4
117.3
Offensive rating
121.7
114.7
Defensive rating
113.3
57.2%
Effective FG%
63.8%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
17.8%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.4%
3-point %
42.7%
67.7%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 121.7Defence114.7 · 113.3Shooting57.2% · 63.8%3-point %41.4% · 42.7%Ball care17.8% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Valencia   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Valencia wins
3
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
27/01/11Fenerbahce v Valencia75-73
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HManresa112-82
04/03/21AMaccabi Tel Aviv72-84
02/03/21AAnadolu Efes83-99
28/02/21AMoraBanc Andorra72-84
25/02/21AZenit Petersburg91-62
19/02/21HReal Madrid89-78
11/02/21AReal Madrid74-85
06/02/21HReal Betis89-81
04/02/21HCSKA Moscow105-103 OT
31/01/21AUnicaja89-85
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/21HTurk Telekom99-77
05/03/21ALyon-Villeurbanne90-86
03/03/21AOlimpia Milano100-92
28/02/21ADarussafaka66-64
26/02/21HAnadolu Efes74-106
19/02/21HAlba Berlin89-84
10/02/21HTofas81-84
07/02/21APetkim Spor80-67
05/02/21HZenit Petersburg92-84
31/01/21HGaziantep97-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWLWW69%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %50%69%33%
Points / game82.283.581.1
Allowed / game82.580.884.1
Point differential-0.3+2.7-2.9
Avg total164.8164.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%23%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)71% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWWWWL64%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game80.083.176.9
Allowed / game80.277.982.6
Point differential-0.2+5.1-5.6
Avg total160.2161.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona2921872%80.873.3+7.5
2 Olimpia Milano29191066%81.777.9+3.8
3 Anadolu Efes28181064%82.575.7+6.8
4 CSKA Moscow28181064%82.980.3+2.6
5 Bayern29181162%78.777.4+1.3
6 Fenerbahce28171161%80.080.2-0.2
7 Real Madrid29171259%79.776.9+2.8
8 Zenit Petersburg28161257%76.675.2+1.4
9 Baskonia29151452%79.676.4+3.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas29151452%76.977.2-0.3
11 Valencia28141450%82.282.5-0.3
12 Olympiacos29131645%78.880.3-1.6
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne29121741%77.780.6-2.9
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv27111641%78.578.9-0.4
15 Alba Berlin29111838%78.482.9-4.5
16 Panathinaikos27101737%79.681.4-1.8
17 Crvena zvezda2982128%74.379.4-5.0
18 Khimki M.2832511%78.690.9-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia181982166
Fenerbahce1018111352
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.