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Fenerbahce vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 118-88
22-19 35-18 28-24 33-27
Position#7
Record17-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game81.4
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Valencia
Position#14
Record13-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Valencia
12 Mar 2027
FEN v VAL
upcoming
16 Jan 2026
FEN82
VAL79
14 Mar 2024
FEN118
VAL88
20 Oct 2022
FEN79
VAL77
27 Nov 2020
FEN86
VAL90
02 Nov 2017
FEN79
VAL66
27 Jan 2011
FEN75
VAL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#5
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 81
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
58avg 81
A09/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
96-75
96
75
+21
100avg 81
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#6
W
81-68
81
68
+13
82avg 81
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#4
W
99-68
99
68
+31
105avg 81
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
80-67
80
67
+13
75avg 81
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
111-96
111
96
+15
112avg 81
H01/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
109-77
109
77
+32
112avg 81
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
W
89-79
89
79
+10
83avg 81
A07/03
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
93-68
93
68
+25
91avg 81
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
26-16
19-15
29-24
21-13
9-25
17-19
16-17
20-24
21-16
35-19
20-16
21-22
18-10
23-19
19-17
32-8
29-20
18-18
20-22
26-20
16-15
21-14
17-18
32-34
23-20
23-24
33-18
30-13
32-15
25-23
22-26
20-15
23-18
24-25
22-21
19-16
29-14
24-23
21-15
165.7Avg total
91.1Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.981.4165.2+2.561%
Season at home (13)91.381.7173.0+9.692%
Season away (15)77.481.1158.5-3.733%
Last 10 (10)91.174.6165.7+16.590%
Last 5 (5)96.477.4173.8+19.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)89.079.0168.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (8)82.879.2162.0+3.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)93.777.3171.0+16.390%
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 71
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 71
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
65-78
65
78
-13
62avg 71
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
78-93
78
93
-15
75avg 71
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
63avg 71
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
69avg 71
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
W
111-93
111
93
+18
103avg 71
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
66avg 71
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
97-75
97
75
+22
97avg 71
A10/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
22-15
23-15
16-21
19-19
19-21
22-18
19-18
19-21
20-19
9-20
17-18
18-28
15-14
25-28
20-23
17-18
15-17
16-19
29-23
17-23
22-25
16-32
21-15
20-18
12-26
25-21
17-22
25-25
28-31
27-20
31-17
18-18
24-19
15-22
21-29
27-20
22-20
20-18
28-17
166.0Avg total
82.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.176.8152.9-0.746%
Season at home (15)77.977.7155.7+0.253%
Season away (13)74.075.8149.8-1.838%
Last 10 (10)82.883.2166.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)87.287.6174.8-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.282.6155.9-9.412%
vs Similar (14)79.177.1156.2+2.157%
vs Weaker (7)87.980.4168.3+7.471%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.6+1.6
FenerbahceValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Panathinaikos
#2
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/02
Euroleague
Samsunspor
#16
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A14/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#4
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H16/02
Turkish Cup
Anadolu Efes
#2
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A18/02
Turkish Cup
Baskonia
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H01/03
Euroleague
Tofas
#11
W
62-28
62
28
+34
H03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#1
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A07/03
Euroleague
Merkezefendi
#14
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A09/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.6Avg total
46.3Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.138.283.3+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.438.886.1+8.671%-
Last 30 away (16)43.237.780.9+5.569%-
Last 10 (10)46.335.381.6+11.090%-
Last 5 (5)50.036.086.0+14.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.033.076.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (8)42.442.685.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.637.083.7+9.680%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#18
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A01/02
Euroleague
Barcelona
#3
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H08/02
Euroleague
Bilbao
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A11/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A15/02
Spanish Cup
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A29/02
Euroleague
Palencia
#18
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H03/03
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/03
Euroleague
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A10/03
ACB
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.377.4-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.842.481.1-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)37.536.674.1+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.639.477.0-1.838%-
vs Similar (14)37.138.475.5-1.243%-
vs Weaker (7)41.441.683.0-0.129%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.120.2
59.2%
53.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.2
40.9%
36.6%36.6
🏀 Free throws16.012.9
80.6%
77.4%12.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.0
53.1%
53.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.0
34.9%
36.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.415.3
75.0%
77.4%15.3
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWLW
Valencia
WLWLLWLLWW
#7
League position
#14
+22.9
Net rating
-4.6
128.1
Offensive rating
108.4
105.2
Defensive rating
113.0
60.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
40.9%
3-point %
34.9%
74.1%
Assist %
65.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence128.1 · 108.4Defence105.2 · 113.0Shooting60.3% · 52.8%3-point %40.9% · 34.9%Ball care13.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fenerbahce wins
5
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Valencia v Fenerbahce77-74
16/03/23Valencia v Fenerbahce82-80
20/10/22Fenerbahce v Valencia79-77
12/03/21Valencia v Fenerbahce66-52
27/11/20Fenerbahce v Valencia86-90
11/01/18Valencia v Fenerbahce67-80
02/11/17Fenerbahce v Valencia79-66
03/03/11Valencia v Fenerbahce82-68
27/01/11Fenerbahce v Valencia75-73
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AMerkezefendi93-68
07/03/24AReal Madrid89-79
03/03/24HTofas109-77
01/03/24HBaskonia111-96
18/02/24AAnadolu Efes80-67
16/02/24HBesiktas99-68
14/02/24APetkim Spor81-68
11/02/24ASamsunspor96-75
09/02/24APanathinaikos63-74
04/02/24HGalatasaray90-74
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AObradoiro CAB97-75
07/03/24HBarcelona78-88
03/03/24HPalencia111-93
29/02/24AVirtus Bologna74-87
17/02/24AReal Madrid76-95
15/02/24AGran Canaria89-81 OT
11/02/24ABilbao78-93
08/02/24HOlympiacos65-78
04/02/24ABarcelona79-76
01/02/24AAlba Berlin81-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW61%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %61%92%33%
Points / game83.991.377.4
Allowed / game81.481.781.1
Point differential+2.5+9.6-3.7
Avg total165.2173.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%54%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %11%23%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeLLWLL53%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%53%38%
Points / game76.177.974.0
Allowed / game76.877.775.8
Point differential-0.7+0.2-1.8
Avg total152.9155.7149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%7%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)50% (8)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2822679%88.680.8+7.8
2 Barcelona2819968%82.678.4+4.2
3 Panathinaikos28181064%81.677.3+4.2
4 Monaco28181064%81.878.6+3.1
5 Olympiacos28171161%79.175.0+4.1
6 Fenerbahce28171161%83.981.4+2.5
7 Virtus Bologna28171161%80.380.7-0.4
8 Baskonia28151354%84.084.0-0.0
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv28151354%87.087.4-0.4
10 Partizan28131546%83.683.9-0.3
11 Valencia28131546%76.176.8-0.7
12 Olimpia Milano28121643%77.277.0+0.2
13 Anadolu Efes28121643%85.787.9-2.2
14 Bayern28121643%79.682.7-3.1
15 Zalgiris Kaunas28111739%80.081.3-1.4
16 Crvena zvezda28101836%81.481.2+0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2862221%78.085.8-7.8
18 Alba Berlin2852318%75.785.8-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce22352833118
Valencia1918242788
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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