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Bilbao vs Valencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-65
20-10 10-24 15-19 26-12
Position#12
Record2-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game73.0
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Valencia
Spain
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.5
SpainACBRound 3
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bilbao v Valencia
18 Apr 2027
BIL v VAL
upcoming
05 Jun 2026
BIL71
VAL88
02 Jan 2026
BIL72
VAL116
27 Oct 2024
BIL98
VAL103
11 Feb 2024
BIL93
VAL78
09 Oct 2022
BIL71
VAL65
09 Apr 2022
BIL84
VAL78
09 Jan 2021
BIL73
VAL106
12 Nov 2017
BIL77
VAL81
12 Apr 2017
BIL88
VAL75
15 Nov 2015
BIL104
VAL111
01 Jun 2015
BIL70
VAL71
28 May 2015
BIL75
VAL91
11 Jan 2015
BIL82
VAL80
05 Jan 2014
BIL80
VAL83
12 May 2013
BIL61
VAL72
23 Jan 2013
BIL91
VAL76
10 Dec 2011
BIL85
VAL74
22 May 2011
BIL79
VAL75
10 Oct 2010
BIL77
VAL70
27 Dec 2009
BIL79
VAL80
11 Jan 2009
BIL72
VAL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 72
H13/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
A17/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
78-77
78
77
+1
74avg 72
H23/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 72
H27/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
82-80
82
80
+2
78avg 72
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
62-84
62
84
-22
47avg 72
A10/05
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 72
A30/09
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
85-70
85
70
+15
75avg 72
H02/10
ACB
Nymburk
#33
W
68-54
68
54
+14
58avg 72
A04/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
23-23
15-14
19-12
23-23
23-24
24-18
16-23
21-15
22-21
14-26
21-15
22-21
22-22
17-20
26-16
14-20
24-21
26-17
18-22
16-16
19-27
15-30
12-11
20-12
23-29
22-23
16-17
21-21
21-26
19-16
20-13
23-12
24-27
11-13
27-18
18-16
12-17
17-10
21-11
158.0Avg total
80.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.073.0156.0+10.0100%
Season at home (1)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.677.4158.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)78.876.6155.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.284.1161.2-6.946%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.683.0168.6+2.662%
vs Weaker (1)68.054.0122.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
66avg 79
H04/05
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 79
A08/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
84-70
84
70
+14
81avg 79
H10/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 79
A14/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
72avg 79
H24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
83avg 79
A28/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
59-76
59
76
-17
45avg 79
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
83-78
83
78
+5
80avg 79
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
no box
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
61avg 79
H06/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
19-23
19-12
16-21
23-31
24-18
12-28
24-12
18-16
22-17
22-9
22-28
29-20
19-22
26-18
15-25
21-21
14-22
27-24
17-13
20-21
26-20
21-18
22-23
20-9
17-25
17-19
5-23
21-19
21-14
25-24
16-21
23-18
20-19
24-24
20-26
21-19
12-20
23-20
15-22
163.2Avg total
81.1Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.087.5179.5+4.5100%
Season at home (1)101.097.0198.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.182.1163.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)80.682.8163.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.081.0152.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.280.5162.7+1.764%
vs Weaker (14)86.379.6165.9+6.671%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
BilbaoValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H13/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A17/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H27/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/05
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A30/09
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H02/10
ACB
Nymburk
#33
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/10
Champions League
82.4Avg total
41.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.381.1+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.538.479.9+3.171%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.982.1-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.182.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.743.583.2-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.438.180.5+4.462%-
vs Weaker (1)30.033.063.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H04/05
Eurocup
Gran Canaria
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/05
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H10/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H24/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/05
ACB
Baskonia
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H30/05
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/09
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/10
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H06/10
Euroleague
81.0Avg total
40.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.739.381.0+2.467%-
Last 30 away (12)39.939.779.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.181.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.877.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.039.072.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.939.781.6+2.264%-
vs Weaker (14)41.238.379.5+2.964%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.2
50.6%
52.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.3
34.2%
34.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.012.9
71.7%
73.9%12.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.3
50.4%
52.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.2
70.4%
73.9%16.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WWWLLWWWLW
Valencia
LWWLWLWWLL
#12
League position
#8
+5.4
Net rating
-0.7
107.9
Offensive rating
108.4
102.5
Defensive rating
109.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
19.5%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.2%
3-point %
35.4%
56.8%
Assist %
61.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 108.4Defence102.5 · 109.1Shooting50.9% · 51.5%3-point %34.2% · 35.4%Ball care14.0% · 19.5%Off. rebounds28.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Bilbao   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bilbao wins
8
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
09/04/22Bilbao v Valencia84-78
20/11/21Valencia v Bilbao100-84
25/04/21Valencia v Bilbao99-90
09/01/21Bilbao v Valencia73-106
11/03/18Valencia v Bilbao87-67
12/11/17Bilbao v Valencia77-81
12/04/17Bilbao v Valencia88-75
03/12/16Valencia v Bilbao83-61
31/01/16Valencia v Bilbao85-49
15/11/15Bilbao v Valencia104-111 OT
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/22ANymburk68-54
02/10/22HReal Betis85-70
30/09/22AJoventut Badalona81-76
14/05/22HReal Betis98-99 OT
10/05/22ABarcelona62-84
01/05/22ABasket Zaragoza82-80
27/04/22HTenerife87-79
23/04/22HMurcia78-77
17/04/22AGran Canaria86-88
13/04/22HReal Madrid79-67
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/22HBaskonia71-81
02/10/22HJoventut Badalona101-97 OT
30/09/22AReal Betis83-78
30/05/22HBaskonia59-76
28/05/22ABaskonia89-82
24/05/22HBaskonia79-80
14/05/22AObradoiro CAB89-85
10/05/22HSan Pablo Burgos84-70
08/05/22AGran Canaria83-89
04/05/22HVirtus Bologna73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.085.081.0
Allowed / game73.070.076.0
Point differential+10.0+15.0+5.0
Avg total156.0155.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.0101.083.0
Allowed / game87.597.078.0
Point differential+4.5+4.0+5.0
Avg total179.5198.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife220100%82.568.5+14.0
2 Bilbao220100%83.073.0+10.0
3 Real Madrid330100%87.779.3+8.3
4 Valencia220100%92.087.5+4.5
5 Obradoiro CAB32167%81.376.3+5.0
6 Gran Canaria32167%79.775.7+4.0
7 Granada32167%85.383.3+2.0
8 Breogan32167%76.075.0+1.0
9 Barcelona21150%87.081.0+6.0
10 Baskonia21150%88.589.0-0.5
11 Joventut Badalona31233%86.082.7+3.3
12 Murcia31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Unicaja31233%76.780.7-4.0
14 Real Betis31233%78.383.7-5.3
15 Manresa31233%80.086.7-6.7
16 Fuenlabrada2020%75.580.5-5.0
17 Basket Zaragoza3030%69.781.7-12.0
18 Basquet Girona3030%72.786.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao2010152671
Valencia1024191265
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