Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	83.4	76.0	159.4	+7.4	82%
Season at home (14)	83.9	76.1	160.1	+7.8	79%
Season away (14)	82.9	75.8	158.6	+7.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	82.4	83.7	166.1	-1.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	77.4	162.8	+8.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	83.9	91.7	175.6	-7.8	33%
vs Similar (10)	81.3	89.0	170.3	-7.7	30%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	84.3	78.8	163.1	+5.5	73%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

78-84

-6

A08/02

Lega A

Brescia

98-96

H14/02

Lega A

Udine

#13

92-81

+11

A08/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

91-86

H15/03

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#11

75-104

104

-29

A22/03

Lega A

Tortona

97-87

+10

H28/03

Lega A

Trieste

#10

89-90

-1

A04/04

Lega A

Sassari

#16

91-90

H12/04

Lega A

Cantu

#15

96-100

100

-4

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#12

84-75

H26/04

Lega A

18-23

17-15

18-24

25-22

22-34

19-21

31-23

26-18

28-21

18-21

21-15

25-24

21-22

30-22

19-23

21-19

13-25

6-22

25-26

31-31

21-28

28-21

22-23

26-15

20-25

33-23

18-22

18-20

24-20

27-22

12-25

28-23

19-20

25-26

26-30

26-24

19-18

26-13

13-24

26-20

178.4Avg total

89.1Scored

89.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	84.5	87.3	171.8	-2.8	46%
Season at home (14)	81.9	83.9	165.8	-2.1	57%
Season away (14)	87.1	90.6	177.7	-3.6	36%
Last 10 (10)	89.1	89.3	178.4	-0.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	91.4	88.4	179.8	+3.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	82.2	89.1	171.4	-6.9	36%
vs Similar (16)	85.2	84.9	170.1	+0.2	56%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.4	42.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	21.4	41.3	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	13.8	33.6	+6.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.3	26.2	48.6	-3.9	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.3	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	16.1	37.5	+5.4	82%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.1	42.0	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	22.4	42.7	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.6	44.1	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	24.5	44.6	-4.4	21%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	20.1	39.7	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	22.5	44.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	22.6	46.3	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.8	22.4	45.2	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.4	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.2	42.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.6	43.5	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	21.0	48.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.6	20.9	42.4	+0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paris

#16

47-53

-6

H31/03

Euroleague

Valencia

43-44

-1

H03/04

Euroleague

Venezia

42-38

H05/04

Lega A

Bayern

#14

43-43

H07/04

Euroleague

Baskonia

#18

39-44

-5

H10/04

Euroleague

Cantu

#15

50-39

+11

H13/04

Lega A

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#12

40-36

A16/04

Euroleague

Tortona

32-25

A19/04

Lega A

Trieste

#10

53-43

+10

H26/04

Lega A

Sassari

#16

30-37

-7

A03/05

Lega A

82.1Avg total

41.9Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	43.9	87.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.5	44.0	90.5	+2.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	43.8	83.3	-4.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	40.2	82.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	36.0	77.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	43.1	49.3	92.4	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.4	45.3	88.7	-1.9	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.2	38.2	81.4	+5.0	73%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trento

35-38

-3

A08/02

Lega A

Brescia

41-55

-14

H14/02

Lega A

Udine

#13

46-42

A08/03

Lega A

Treviso

#14

51-44

H15/03

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#11

19-47

-28

A22/03

Lega A

Tortona

49-49

H28/03

Lega A

Trieste

#10

53-48

A04/04

Lega A

Sassari

#16

51-42

H12/04

Lega A

Cantu

#15

44-46

-2

A19/04

Lega A

Cremona

#12

45-31

+14

H26/04

Lega A

87.6Avg total

43.4Scored

44.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	43.3	84.4	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	41.9	82.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	44.8	86.3	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	44.2	87.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	43.2	91.6	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	41.6	45.4	87.0	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	40.5	41.6	82.1	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.3	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	20.7	39.6	-1.8	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.9	39.1	+1.2	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.4	42.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.4	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	19.9	38.1	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.7	42.7	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.9	40.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.5	44.5	-0.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	23.5	44.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	24.8	43.0	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	31%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.3	42.8	-1.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	22.1	41.6	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	22.5	44.1	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.7	42.9	-2.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	22.3	21.4	43.8	+0.9	56%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.7	23.8	43.5	-4.1	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.6	21.6	41.3	-2.0	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.9	43.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	20.9	42.4	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.8	44.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	21.6	46.8	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.4	45.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.4	21.5	40.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.9	22.2	46.1	+1.7	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	42.2	82.1	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.4	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.7	41.4	83.1	+0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	43.5	84.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	41.4	85.8	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.8	42.3	83.1	-1.6	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.9	43.7	81.6	-5.8	10%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	41.1	40.6	81.7	+0.5	27%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.6	86.3	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	41.8	83.3	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.0	45.3	89.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	45.1	90.8	+0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	45.2	88.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.6	43.8	84.4	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (16)	44.7	43.4	88.1	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 66.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	28.6	16.8	58.7%	54.1%	33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.9	7.9	34.5%	34.6%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	11.8	9.4	79.7%	76.1%	9.4

They take 51.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 88.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀44%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 44% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	19.5	59.3%	54.1%	39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.8	12.0	34.5%	34.6%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.9	77.2%	76.1%	13.9

They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	20.5	13.6	66.3%	54.1%	27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.8	33.9%	34.6%	29.4
🏀 Free throws	11.2	8.1	72.3%	76.1%	8.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.7	20.6	54.6%	54.1%	41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.1	36.3%	34.6%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	22.6	17.5	77.4%	76.1%	17.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.1	18.6	59.9%	54.1%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.4	33.4%	34.6%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	13.6	10.7	78.9%	76.1%	10.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	18.8	55.8%	54.1%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.7	10.7	32.6%	34.6%	32.0
🏀 Free throws	16.8	12.7	75.5%	76.1%	12.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	26.6	16.5	62.2%	54.1%	33.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	10.6	37.1%	34.6%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.3	73.1%	76.1%	10.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.6	21.4	55.5%	54.1%	42.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	8.6	32.1%	34.6%	25.9
🏀 Free throws	23.1	17.5	76.0%	76.1%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Virtus Bologna

WWWWWLLLLL

Varese

WLWLWLWWWL

League position

+4.7

Net rating

-0.1

62.1

Offensive rating

99.6

57.4

Defensive rating

99.7

55.6%

Effective FG%

55.4%

57.3%

Opp. effective FG%

54.6%

18.1%

Turnover %

13.9%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.27

34.5%

3-point %

34.5%

69.6%

Assist %

59.7%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Virtus Bologna ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
04/11/25	Varese v Virtus Bologna	77-83
27/04/25	Virtus Bologna v Varese	104-67
10/11/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	104-95
21/01/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-81
08/10/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	115-84
07/05/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	98-82
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81
03/10/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	97-56
27/02/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	85-76

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/05/26	A	Sassari	80-73
26/04/26	H	Trieste	95-81
19/04/26	A	Tortona	74-69
16/04/26	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	89-85
13/04/26	H	Cantu	89-79
10/04/26	H	Baskonia	72-82
07/04/26	H	Bayern	80-85
05/04/26	H	Venezia	82-86
03/04/26	H	Valencia	81-94
31/03/26	H	Paris	82-103

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/04/26	H	Cremona	84-75
19/04/26	A	Cantu	96-100
12/04/26	H	Sassari	91-90
04/04/26	A	Trieste	89-90
28/03/26	H	Tortona	97-87
22/03/26	A	Basket Napoli	75-104
15/03/26	H	Treviso	91-86
08/03/26	A	Udine	92-81
14/02/26	H	Brescia	98-96
08/02/26	A	Trento	78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	82%
Home	WWLWW	79%
Away	WWLWW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	82%	79%	86%
Points / game	83.4	83.9	82.9
Allowed / game	76.0	76.1	75.8
Point differential	+7.4	+7.8	+7.1
Avg total	159.4	160.1	158.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	64%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Varese

Lega A 2025-26

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	46%
Home	WWWWW	57%
Away	LWLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	46%	57%	36%
Points / game	84.5	81.9	87.1
Allowed / game	87.3	83.9	90.6
Point differential	-2.8	-2.1	-3.6
Avg total	171.8	165.8	177.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	14%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (9)	100% (4)	20% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Virtus Bologna	28	23	5	82%	83.4	76.0	+7.4
2	Olimpia Milano	28	20	8	71%	87.1	80.3	+6.8
3	Brescia	28	20	8	71%	88.4	84.2	+4.2
4	Venezia	28	19	9	68%	91.0	86.1	+4.9
5	Trapani	15	10	5	67%	78.8	77.9	+0.9
6	Tortona	28	17	11	61%	87.4	85.7	+1.7
7	Reggiana	28	15	13	54%	83.8	80.5	+3.2
8	Varese	28	13	15	46%	84.5	87.3	-2.8
9	Trieste	28	13	15	46%	83.9	87.1	-3.3
10	Trento	28	12	16	43%	82.9	82.4	+0.4
11	Udine	28	10	18	36%	81.5	83.3	-1.8
12	Basket Napoli	28	10	18	36%	84.2	87.5	-3.3
13	Cremona	28	10	18	36%	82.2	86.0	-3.8
14	Treviso	28	9	19	32%	83.8	89.5	-5.8
15	Cantu	29	9	20	31%	83.9	88.5	-4.7
16	Sassari	28	8	20	29%	85.9	89.5	-3.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	27	22	29	26	104
Varese	17	21	31	16	85

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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