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Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 88-75
21-25 31-22 19-9 17-19
Position#7
Record13-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#8
Record15-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game80.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23· Ülker Sports Arena
European cup2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna
25 Sep 2026
FEN78
VIR68
25 Nov 2025
FEN66
VIR64
31 Jan 2025
FEN95
VIR81
25 Jan 2024
FEN88
VIR75
03 Mar 2023
FEN104
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 79
A28/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 79
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
76-85
76
85
-9
71avg 79
H02/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
109-74
109
74
+35
113avg 79
H04/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
89-58
89
58
+31
97avg 79
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
W
91-76
91
76
+15
89avg 79
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
98-91 OT
98
91
+7
90avg 79
H11/01
Euroleague
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 79
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
75-98
75
98
-23
62avg 79
A19/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
93-63
93
63
+30
100avg 79
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
18-23
22-16
20-16
25-19
19-29
29-23
24-19
26-18
9-16
22-23
19-28
22-22
35-9
23-17
29-26
20-15
28-11
24-19
17-13
19-31
24-17
25-16
23-12
22-22
16-17
19-20
24-22
24-18
16-20
29-26
24-28
14-20
21-23
20-23
20-32
16-18
29-12
26-18
22-15
172.1Avg total
91.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.982.0165.9+1.859%
Season at home (11)89.881.0170.8+8.891%
Season away (11)77.983.1161.0-5.227%
Last 10 (10)91.081.1172.1+9.980%
Last 5 (5)90.084.0174.0+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.099.0199.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (10)84.781.3166.0+3.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.276.2162.4+10.068%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 80
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
83-66
83
66
+17
90avg 80
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
75avg 80
H03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
83-68
83
68
+15
76avg 80
A05/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
L
66-72
66
72
-6
59avg 80
A07/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
78-95
78
95
-17
71avg 80
A10/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
75-99
75
99
-24
72avg 80
A12/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
103-76
103
76
+27
108avg 80
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
73-63
73
63
+10
66avg 80
H18/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
81-69
81
69
+12
69avg 80
A21/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
18-18
19-19
17-20
15-19
26-13
17-16
25-18
22-24
20-22
23-23
20-14
26-9
22-18
15-24
20-17
16-17
13-18
24-14
13-23
21-18
24-28
15-24
18-25
15-26
14-24
25-23
21-26
35-19
23-17
20-17
25-23
19-10
8-22
18-22
28-9
27-20
20-20
17-16
17-13
157.0Avg total
80.4Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.680.6162.2+1.068%
Season at home (11)84.077.6161.6+6.491%
Season away (11)79.283.6162.8-4.545%
Last 10 (10)80.476.6157.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)82.080.4162.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)77.282.2159.4-5.060%
vs Similar (13)82.582.5165.1+0.062%
vs Weaker (12)85.675.3160.9+10.267%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
FenerbahceVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A28/12
Euroleague
Bursaspor
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#16
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H02/01
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
W
57-31
57
31
+26
H04/01
Euroleague
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Partizan
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H09/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
Euroleague
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A19/01
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.1Avg total
43.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.839.081.8+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.737.980.6+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)42.939.982.9+3.056%-
Last 10 (10)43.238.982.1+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.679.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.044.081.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)46.342.388.6+4.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)41.336.978.3+4.458%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/12
Euroleague
Pesaro
#16
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H30/12
Lega A
Bayern
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H03/01
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#18
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A05/01
Euroleague
Reggiana
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A10/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A12/01
Euroleague
Brindisi
#15
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H15/01
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H18/01
Euroleague
Varese
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/01
Lega A
78.7Avg total
40.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.382.2+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.940.382.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.940.482.2+1.544%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.078.7+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.882.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.245.482.6-8.220%-
vs Similar (13)42.143.185.2-1.038%-
vs Weaker (12)43.635.278.8+8.367%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 90.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.4
58.8%
53.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.912.7
45.5%
36.6%38.1
🏀 Free throws18.013.3
73.9%
77.4%13.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.3
50.0%
53.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.7
39.2%
36.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
77.4%12.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLWWWWWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWLLLWWWW
#7
League position
#8
+14.1
Net rating
+3.9
123.7
Offensive rating
109.3
109.6
Defensive rating
105.5
63.1%
Effective FG%
53.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
45.5%
3-point %
39.2%
64.5%
Assist %
70.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.7 · 109.3Defence109.6 · 105.5Shooting63.1% · 53.9%3-point %45.5% · 39.2%Ball care17.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 30.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fenerbahce wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HKarsiyaka93-63
19/01/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-98
14/01/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor93-92
11/01/24HBayern98-91 OT
09/01/24HPartizan91-76
06/01/24ABuyukcekmece89-58
04/01/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv109-74
02/01/24HCrvena zvezda76-85
30/12/23HBursaspor97-90
28/12/23AAnadolu Efes89-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AVarese81-69
18/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne73-63
15/01/24HBrindisi103-76
12/01/24AAnadolu Efes75-99
10/01/24AMaccabi Tel Aviv78-95
07/01/24AReggiana66-72
05/01/24AAlba Berlin83-68
03/01/24HBayern85-83
30/12/23HPesaro83-66
28/12/23APartizan77-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL59%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %59%91%27%
Points / game83.989.877.9
Allowed / game82.081.083.1
Point differential+1.8+8.8-5.2
Avg total165.9170.8161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %14%27%0%
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%91%45%
Points / game81.684.079.2
Allowed / game80.677.683.6
Point differential+1.0+6.4-4.5
Avg total162.2161.6162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%89.078.7+10.3
2 Barcelona2215768%83.079.8+3.1
3 Virtus Bologna2215768%81.680.6+1.0
4 Panathinaikos2214864%82.178.0+4.0
5 Fenerbahce2213959%83.982.0+1.8
6 Olympiacos22121055%77.574.6+2.9
7 Monaco22121055%81.580.0+1.5
8 Baskonia22121055%82.382.7-0.4
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv22121055%85.687.3-1.7
10 Valencia22111150%76.976.7+0.2
11 Partizan22111150%83.984.1-0.2
12 Crvena zvezda2291341%82.080.5+1.5
13 Olimpia Milano2291341%77.776.8+1.0
14 Bayern2291341%79.281.9-2.7
15 Anadolu Efes2291341%84.988.0-3.0
16 Zalgiris Kaunas2281436%79.481.3-2.0
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne2241818%78.687.0-8.4
18 Alba Berlin2241818%75.484.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2131191788
Virtus Bologna252291975
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