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Penarol vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 97-101 (OT)
16-25 19-19 26-11 24-30 12-16
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game77.4
Meetings · Penarol v Ferro
12 Apr 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
10 Jan 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
02 May 2026
PENA68
FERR84
30 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR75
19 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR80
27 Apr 2025
PENA73
FERR75
12 May 2024
PENA70
FERR86
26 Nov 2022
PENA69
FERR64
01 Dec 2021
PENA80
FERR89
10 Oct 2021
PENA97
FERR101
08 Jan 2021
PENA111
FERR101
18 Mar 2020
PENA v FERR
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
PENA66
FERR88
26 Mar 2018
PENA96
FERR73
01 Feb 2017
PENA73
FERR75
18 Oct 2016
PENA76
FERR75
18 Mar 2016
PENA70
FERR75
25 Nov 2015
PENA88
FERR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H19/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#5
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#5
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H27/05
Liga Uruguaya
Union De Santa Fe
#16
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H24/09
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#1
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H26/09
Torneo Super 20
Argentino
#19
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A27/09
Torneo Super 20
Obras Sanitarias
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A28/09
Torneo Super 20
Hispano Americano
#18
W
115-90
115
90
+25
H30/09
Torneo Super 20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
19-14
15-19
32-22
15-24
16-20
24-21
31-30
18-19
20-5
20-23
26-24
16-28
13-26
21-15
28-9
19-18
18-24
16-20
28-25
18-13
19-23
15-20
18-14
12-24
16-23
20-31
29-8
24-18
20-10
23-24
23-18
13-13
18-16
21-24
23-15
28-18
27-24
28-21
32-27
168.5Avg total
86.4Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)87.478.2165.6+9.280%
Season at home (3)90.784.3175.0+6.367%
Season away (2)82.569.0151.5+13.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.482.1168.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)87.478.2165.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.086.0168.0-4.040%
vs Similar ◀ (14)70.972.9143.9-2.036%
vs Weaker (11)89.380.4169.6+8.982%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#17
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A13/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#11
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H16/03
Liga A
San Martin
#6
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H18/03
Liga A
Regatas
#3
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A20/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A01/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H25/09
Torneo Super 20
Obras Sanitarias
#14
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H26/09
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A28/09
Torneo Super 20
Hispano Americano
#18
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A29/09
Torneo Super 20
Union De Santa Fe
#16
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H01/10
Torneo Super 20
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
17-17
17-16
14-17
17-21
19-21
17-22
14-20
15-21
17-15
16-13
19-12
21-18
23-18
15-22
18-16
7-25
17-20
21-17
18-19
14-12
22-17
20-19
21-18
23-9
25-10
12-27
17-24
17-14
14-28
18-24
20-31
26-14
18-19
17-28
29-20
22-17
19-22
24-19
18-15
149.7Avg total
73.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.277.4156.6+1.880%
Season at home (3)79.069.7148.7+9.3100%
Season away (2)79.589.0168.5-9.550%
Last 10 (10)73.576.2149.7-2.760%
Last 5 (5)79.277.4156.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.778.5148.2-8.835%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.281.8157.0-6.611%
vs Weaker (4)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +7.8+7.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
PenarolFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#10
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H19/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A20/05
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H23/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#5
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A26/05
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H27/05
Liga Uruguaya
Union De Santa Fe
#16
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H24/09
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H26/09
Torneo Super 20
Argentino
#19
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A27/09
Torneo Super 20
Obras Sanitarias
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A28/09
Torneo Super 20
Hispano Americano
#18
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H30/09
Torneo Super 20
75.1Avg total
36.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.238.176.3+0.146%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.237.175.3+1.254%-
Last 30 away (15)38.139.077.1-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.575.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.475.4+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.440.475.8-5.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.939.976.8-3.033%-
vs Weaker (11)40.835.175.9+5.773%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obera TC
#17
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#11
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H16/03
Liga A
San Martin
#6
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/03
Liga A
Regatas
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A20/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#8
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A01/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H25/09
Torneo Super 20
Obras Sanitarias
#14
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H26/09
Torneo Super 20
Boca Juniors
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A28/09
Torneo Super 20
Hispano Americano
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A29/09
Torneo Super 20
Union De Santa Fe
#16
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H01/10
Torneo Super 20
73.3Avg total
37.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.835.271.0+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.435.371.8+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)35.135.170.2-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.373.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.032.472.4+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.836.472.1-0.647%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker (4)40.834.875.5+6.0100%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Penarol wins
4
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
09/01/21Penarol v Ferro111-101 OT
16/02/20Ferro v Penarol80-69
05/03/19Penarol v Ferro66-88
15/12/18Ferro v Penarol82-77
01/05/18Ferro v Penarol77-89
27/03/18Penarol v Ferro96-73
20/04/17Ferro v Penarol63-80
02/02/17Penarol v Ferro73-75
19/10/16Penarol v Ferro76-75
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/21HHispano Americano115-90
28/09/21AObras Sanitarias75-68
27/09/21AArgentino90-70
26/09/21HBoca Juniors77-86
24/09/21HUnion De Santa Fe80-77 OT
27/05/21HUrunday81-87
26/05/21AUrunday93-97 OT
23/05/21HGoes84-71
20/05/21AGoes86-95
19/05/21HGoes83-80
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/21HUnion De Santa Fe83-73
29/09/21AHispano Americano90-81
28/09/21ABoca Juniors69-97
26/09/21HObras Sanitarias77-70
25/09/21HArgentino77-66
01/04/21AInstituto de Cordoba63-81
20/03/21ARegatas77-74
18/03/21HSan Martin67-61
16/03/21HComunicaciones Mercedes67-84
13/03/21AObera TC65-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Torneo Super 20 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game87.490.782.5
Allowed / game78.284.369.0
Point differential+9.2+6.3+13.5
Avg total165.6175.0151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
Ferro
Torneo Super 20 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game79.279.079.5
Allowed / game77.469.789.0
Point differential+1.8+9.3-9.5
Avg total156.6148.7168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors550100%81.462.4+19.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba660100%88.071.3+16.7
3 Platense65183%77.566.8+10.7
4 Penarol54180%87.478.2+9.2
5 Gimnasia54180%82.475.6+6.8
6 Ferro54180%79.277.4+1.8
7 San Martin64267%79.574.5+5.0
8 Olimpico64267%82.378.3+4.0
9 Atenas64267%78.075.3+2.7
10 Riachuelo53260%82.080.0+2.0
11 Quimsa63350%77.081.3-4.3
12 La Union63350%72.379.0-6.7
13 San Lorenzo62433%69.371.8-2.5
14 Regatas51420%85.289.0-3.8
15 Obras Sanitarias51420%74.078.2-4.2
16 Union De Santa Fe51420%71.884.0-12.2
17 Obera TC61517%74.578.5-4.0
18 Comunicaciones Mercedes6060%71.283.0-11.8
19 Hispano Americano5050%79.093.8-14.8
20 Argentino5050%67.883.2-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Penarol161926241297
Ferro2519113016101
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