PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Finland W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Projected 73-81
Projected total 153.9
Final 74-69
17-16 18-18 29-10 10-25
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.3
Finland W 🏆
Vs
22%
78%
■ FINL 22%■ LITH 78%
Pythia win probability
Lithuania W
Position#22
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.0
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 4· Urhea-halli
Women2025
Meetings · Finland W v Lithuania W
15 Nov 2026
FINL74
LITH69
27 Nov 2022
FINL56
LITH65
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Finland W host Lithuania W in the European Championship Women. Pythia makes Lithuania W the favourite at 78% and projects 73-81, about 154 points in all. On the market's main spread (Finland W -2.5) Pythia gives Finland W 17% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Finland W are 2-1 this season (78.0 scored, 82.3 allowed a game), form LLLWW; Lithuania W are 2-1 this season (78.0 scored, 70.0 allowed a game), form LLWWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland W winWon
21.7%fair 4.62
Best odds2.65
Implied35.0%
Edge-13.4pp
Lithuania W winLost
78.3%fair 1.28
Best odds1.57
Implied65.0%
Edge+13.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Finland WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
46-82
46
82
-36
H12/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A09/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
62-84
62
84
-22
H07/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H10/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
50-80
50
80
-30
A06/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
47-96
47
96
-49
A09/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#11
L
72-96
72
96
-24
A13/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H16/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#22
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-20
20-17
4-30
16-15
23-24
10-11
17-8
25-22
13-15
15-16
15-15
13-21
15-18
17-18
15-25
15-23
27-21
32-7
12-32
14-12
8-20
13-19
9-24
20-17
14-21
14-18
4-33
15-24
15-31
17-19
17-23
23-23
24-16
21-20
21-20
20-21
20-18
12-20
25-19
19-17
144.8Avg total
65.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.082.3160.3-4.367%
Season at home (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)74.085.0159.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)65.579.3144.8-13.840%
Last 5 (5)66.284.6150.8-18.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)62.879.0141.7-16.220%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
61-83
61
83
-22
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
87-99
87
99
-12
H29/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A13/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#11
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H16/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H12/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
27-19
15-15
16-21
19-16
16-14
14-16
24-19
20-14
14-18
9-16
19-12
9-19
14-35
17-21
14-15
16-12
17-19
17-23
26-21
16-18
21-26
25-26
28-21
13-26
28-15
23-22
18-14
18-14
11-14
21-23
15-16
26-16
18-20
20-12
19-25
17-19
147.1Avg total
72.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.070.0148.0+8.067%
Season at home (2)73.572.5146.0+1.050%
Season away (1)87.065.0152.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.974.2147.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)79.478.0157.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.878.6149.5-7.838%
vs Similar (5)60.667.8128.4-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.861.1146.9+24.675%
This opponent (Finland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145Actual: Under 145
Over 145
70.7%
@ 1.48
Under 145
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 150.25 · main lineActual: Under 150.25
Over 150.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 150.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 155Actual: Under 155
Over 155
46.7%
Under 155
53.3%
@ 1.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Finland W total 69.5Actual: Finland W over 69.5
Over 69.5
61.0%
@ 1.43-0.0pp
Under 69.5
39.0%
@ 2.24+0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Under
1xBet
2.24
Finland W total 73.5 · main lineActual: Finland W over 73.5
Over 73.5
45.5%
@ 1.93-3.4pp
Under 73.5
54.5%
@ 1.83+3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.64
Finland W total 77.5Actual: Finland W under 77.5
Over 77.5
30.9%
@ 2.57-11.2pp
Under 77.5
69.1%
@ 1.83+11.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.57
Bet365
1.83
Under
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.34
Lithuania W total 70.5Actual: Lithuania W under 70.5
Over 70.5
86.0%
@ 1.40+18.0pp
Under 70.5
14.0%
@ 2.94-18.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.27
Under
1xBet
2.94
Bet365
2.75
Lithuania W total 74.5 · main lineActual: Lithuania W under 74.5
Over 74.5
75.4%
@ 1.85+24.2pp
Under 74.5
24.6%
@ 2.15-24.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
Marathon Be
1.77
1xBet
1.46
Under
1xBet
2.15
Marathon Be
1.92
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Lithuania W total 78.5Actual: Lithuania W under 78.5
Over 78.5
61.4%
@ 2.50+19.6pp
Under 78.5
38.6%
@ 1.60-19.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.60
Bet365
1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Finland W -5.5Actual: Lithuania W +5.5
FINL -5.5
11.4%
@ 2.05-35.1pp
LITH +5.5
88.6%
@ 1.71+35.1pp
Best 5 market prices
FINL
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
1.86
LITH
Bet365
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Marathon Be
1.41
Spread Finland W -2.5 · main lineActual: Finland W -2.5
FINL -2.5
17.0%
@ 2.83-26.6pp
LITH +2.5
83.0%
@ 1.83+26.6pp
Best 5 market prices
FINL
1xBet
2.83
Bet365
2.12
Marathon Be
2.04
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.83
LITH
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Be
1.32
1xBet
1.30
Spread Finland W +0.5Actual: Finland W +0.5
FINL +0.5
21.7%
LITH -0.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
FINL
No market prices yet.
LITH
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -9.0-9.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
Finland WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Finland WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
France W
#5
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H12/02
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H12/11
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#23
W
59-28
59
28
+31
H10/11
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#16
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A06/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A09/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#11
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A13/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H16/11
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#22
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/11
European Championship Women
70.5Avg total
33.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75
Last 30 (21)32.038.970.9-7.010%33%
Last 30 at home (10)33.636.670.2-3.020%30%
Last 30 away (11)30.541.071.5-10.50%36%
Last 10 (10)33.636.970.5-3.320%30%
Last 5 (5)31.640.472.0-8.820%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)31.339.070.3-7.75%30%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)45.036.081.0+9.0100%100%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A21/06
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A24/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/06
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#34
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A13/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H16/11
European Championship Women
Finland W
#13
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/11
European Championship Women
75.4Avg total
36.5Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75
Last 30 (26)36.637.374.0-0.742%46%
Last 30 at home (14)36.935.572.4+1.443%36%
Last 30 away (12)36.239.575.8-3.242%58%
Last 10 (10)36.538.975.4-2.440%50%
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.941.876.7-6.823%46%
vs Similar (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%40%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.030.172.1+11.988%50%
This opponent (Finland W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Finland W win
FINL win
no forecast
@ 2.46
LITH win
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Finland W -2.5 · main lineActual: Lithuania W +2.5
FINL -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.80
LITH +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 75 · main lineActual: Under 75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Finland W 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: Finland W under 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Lithuania W 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Lithuania W under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: FINL + total 74.5
FINL & over
no forecast
@ 4.50
FINL & under
no forecast
@ 4.25
1st half: Draw + total 74.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 26.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 26.00
1st half: LITH + total 74.5
LITH & over
no forecast
@ 3.25
LITH & under
no forecast
@ 3.25
1st half Over/Under 73.75Actual: Under 73.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Finland W -3.5Actual: Lithuania W +3.5
FINL -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.69
LITH +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
1st half Spread Finland W -1.5Actual: Lithuania W +1.5
FINL -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.44
LITH +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 72.5Actual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Spread Finland W -4.5Actual: Lithuania W +4.5
FINL -4.5
no forecast
@ 3.65
LITH +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.25
1st half Spread Finland W -0.5Actual: Finland W -0.5
FINL -0.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
LITH +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Finland W (regulation)
FINL
no forecast
@ 2.42
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
LITH
no forecast
@ 1.66

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FINL win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
LITH win + total 150.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FINL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: LITH leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (FINL:LITH): FINL wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Lithuania W +5.588.6%1.60
Bet365
1.71
1xBet
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.41		--+35.1ppWon
Lithuania W +690.0%1.53
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.38		---+34.4ppWon
Lithuania W +791.4%1.45
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.31		---+32.5ppWon
Lithuania W +7.591.5%1.44
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.48
Marathon Bet
1.30		--+31.6ppWon
Lithuania W over 7380.6%1.75
1xBet
1.75		----+31.5ppLost
Lithuania W over 7477.7%1.85
1xBet
1.85		----+31.2ppLost
Lithuania W over 7283.3%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+30.7ppLost
Lithuania W +892.7%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+29.7ppWon
Lithuania W +8.592.7%1.44
Bet365
1.47
1xBet
1.40		---+29.2ppWon
Lithuania W +9.593.8%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+27.8ppWon
Lithuania W +2.583.0%1.58
Betfair
1.83
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.32
1xBet
1.30		+26.6ppLost
Lithuania W over 74.575.4%1.72
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.46		-+24.2ppLost
Lithuania W +384.5%1.43
Bet365
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.28		---+24.1ppLost
Lithuania W +3.584.8%1.47
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.55
Marathon Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.27		-+23.6ppLost
Lithuania W +588.4%1.36
Bet365
1.43
Marathon Bet
1.29		---+23.4ppPush
Lithuania W +6.590.2%1.37
1xBet
1.58
Marathon Bet
1.34
Bet365
1.20		--+23.3ppWon
Lithuania W +179.9%1.61
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.40		--+23.2ppLost
Lithuania W +486.5%1.40
Bet365
1.50
Marathon Bet
1.29		---+23.2ppLost
Lithuania W +282.5%1.53
Bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathon Bet
1.34		--+23.2ppLost
Lithuania W +4.586.8%1.48
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.47
1xBet
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.32		-+23.0ppLost
Lithuania W over 7574.6%1.73
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.62		---+22.7ppLost
Lithuania W +1.580.2%1.57
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Pinnacle
1.60
Bet365
1.45		+22.3ppLost
Lithuania W over 68.589.9%1.32
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.28		---+21.5ppWon
Lithuania W over 75.572.2%1.74
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.76
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.54		+20.4ppLost
Lithuania W over 69.588.1%1.33
1xBet
1.42
Bet365
1.25		---+20.1ppLost
Finland W under 7871.4%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+19.0ppWon
Lithuania W -177.9%1.63
1xBet
1.90
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathon Bet
1.49		-+18.8ppLost
Lithuania W -275.3%1.68
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.64
Marathon Bet
1.55		-+18.8ppLost
Lithuania W over 7671.2%1.69
Marathon Bet
1.76
1xBet
1.63		---+18.6ppLost
Lithuania W +14.597.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+18.4ppWon
Lithuania W over 72.581.2%1.44
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.33		---+18.2ppLost
Lithuania W -1.576.1%1.66
Betfair
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60		+18.1ppLost
Lithuania W over 70.586.0%1.33
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.27		---+18.0ppLost
Finland W under 81.581.0%1.37
1xBet
1.37		----+17.1ppWon
Lithuania W (regulation)76.1%1.51
Marathon Bet
1.51
1xBet
1.51		---+16.1ppLost
Lithuania W +10.594.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+15.8ppWon
Lithuania W over 73.578.4%1.44
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.39		---+15.7ppLost
Lithuania W over 66.593.0%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+15.2ppWon
Lithuania W over 71.583.7%1.31
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.28		---+14.6ppLost
Lithuania W -371.7%1.73
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.61		-+14.1ppLost
Lithuania W win78.3%1.48
WilliamHill
1.57
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.49
Marathon Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.48		+13.4ppLost
Lithuania W -2.572.5%1.68
Betfair
1.91
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.56		+13.3ppLost
Lithuania W over 64.595.2%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+12.9ppWon
Finland W under 87.592.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+12.8ppWon
Lithuania W over 67.591.5%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+12.0ppWon
Lithuania W +19.598.8%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+11.7ppWon
Finland W under 80.578.3%1.35
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.27		---+11.5ppWon
Lithuania W over 62.596.8%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+10.8ppWon
Lithuania W +15.597.6%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+10.5ppWon
Lithuania W over 65.594.2%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+10.4ppWon
Lithuania W over 60.598.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+9.3ppWon
Lithuania W +24.599.5%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+9.0ppWon
Lithuania W over 63.596.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+9.0ppWon
Finland W under 85.589.4%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+8.9ppWon
Lithuania W +11.595.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+8.8ppWon
Lithuania W over 58.598.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+8.3ppWon
Lithuania W +20.599.0%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+8.2ppWon
Lithuania W over 61.597.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+8.1ppWon
Lithuania W over 56.599.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.7ppWon
Lithuania W over 59.598.4%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.7ppWon
Lithuania W +16.598.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+7.6ppWon
Lithuania W over 57.599.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+6.8ppWon
Over 140.579.1%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+6.3ppWon
Finland W under 79.575.5%1.27
1xBet
1.27		----+5.6ppWon
Lithuania W +21.599.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.4ppWon
Over 135.586.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+5.4ppWon
Over 125.595.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.1ppWon
Overtime: no96.1%1.03
Betano
1.03		----+4.8ppWon
Over 130.592.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+4.8ppWon
Finland W under 88.593.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.8ppWon
Finland W under 82.583.4%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+4.6ppWon
Finland W under 84.587.6%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+4.5ppWon
Finland W under 78.572.4%1.33
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.29		---+4.5ppWon
Finland W under 86.590.9%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+4.3ppWon
Finland W over 60.587.9%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+0.8ppWon
Finland W over 62.583.5%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----0.3ppWon
Finland W +23.589.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----0.7ppWon
Finland W over 64.578.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.8ppWon
Finland W over 66.571.8%1.26
Bet365
1.26		-----2.3ppWon
Finland W +24.591.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----2.6ppWon
Under 170.584.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----2.7ppWon
Under 165.576.3%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----4.2ppWon
Finland W over 65.575.0%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----5.5ppWon
Finland W +18.580.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----6.8ppWon
Finland W +19.582.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----7.9ppWon
Finland W +20.584.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----9.0ppWon
Finland W +15.572.3%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----18.1ppWon
Over 142.575.3%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42		-----Won
Over 14374.8%1.44
Marathon Bet
1.44		-----Push
Over 143.573.4%1.42
Marathon Bet
1.42		-----Lost
Over 14472.8%1.43
Marathon Bet
1.43		-----Lost
Over 144.571.3%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.46		-----Lost
Over 14570.7%1.48
Marathon Bet
1.48		-----Lost
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finland Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland W: 61.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.5 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.515.0
43.5%
-30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws13.57.5
55.6%
-7.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.1
47.1%
-40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.75.0
31.8%
-15.0
🏀 Free throws25.118.5
73.7%
-18.5
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland W
WWLLLWLLWL
Lithuania W
LWWLLLLWWL
#13
League position
#22
-19.0
Net rating
+2.1
78.6
Offensive rating
97.7
97.6
Defensive rating
95.6
43.9%
Effective FG%
47.3%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
24.9%
Turnover %
22.9%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.43
29.6%
3-point %
31.8%
79.0%
Assist %
72.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Finland W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Finland W wins
2
Lithuania W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/26Lithuania W v Finland W74-76
27/11/22Finland W v Lithuania W56-65
11/11/21Lithuania W v Finland W69-59
Finland Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ALithuania W76-74
16/11/25HSweden W86-77
13/11/25ABelgium W72-96
09/02/25ASlovenia W47-96
06/02/25AHungary W50-80
10/11/24HBulgaria W85-72
07/11/24HSlovenia W62-84
12/11/23HHungary W56-67
09/11/23ABulgaria W75-65
12/02/23HFrance W46-82
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFinland W74-76
16/11/25HBelgium W73-69
13/11/25ASweden W87-65
29/06/25HTurkey W87-99
27/06/25HCzech Republic W76-81
24/06/25AFrance W61-83
21/06/25AItaly W51-65
19/06/25HSerbia W74-63
18/06/25ASlovenia W77-71
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game78.086.074.0
Allowed / game82.377.085.0
Point differential-4.3+9.0-11.0
Avg total160.3163.0159.0
Over 150.2567%100%50%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game78.073.587.0
Allowed / game70.072.565.0
Point differential+8.0+1.0+22.0
Avg total148.0146.0152.0
Over 150.2533%0%100%
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W220100%102.053.0+49.0
2 Serbia W660100%82.865.0+17.8
3 Italy W220100%69.055.5+13.5
4 Turkey W220100%77.564.5+13.0
5 Spain W220100%79.067.5+11.5
6 Hungary W220100%67.560.0+7.5
7 Poland W87188%75.453.2+22.1
8 Bulgaria W86275%88.663.1+25.5
9 Latvia W86275%77.964.2+13.6
10 Israel W86275%82.471.2+11.1
11 Great Britain W86275%78.471.0+7.4
12 Belgium W32167%86.074.3+11.7
13 Lithuania W32167%78.070.0+8.0
14 Finland W32167%78.082.3-4.3
15 Montenegro W85362%74.662.0+12.6
16 Greece W85362%89.577.4+12.1
17 Croatia W85362%80.273.0+7.2
18 Slovenia W85362%75.870.1+5.6
19 Austria W85362%73.970.2+3.6
20 Ukraine W84450%72.066.4+5.6
21 Germany W21150%76.070.5+5.5
22 Slovakia W84450%70.164.6+5.5
23 Netherlands W84450%79.178.0+1.1
24 Denmark W83538%83.279.6+3.6
25 Luxembourg W83538%65.070.4-5.4
26 Portugal W62433%67.367.8-0.5
27 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
28 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
29 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
30 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
32 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
33 Czech Republic W2020%70.077.5-7.5
34 Sweden W3030%73.388.7-15.3
35 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
36 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
37 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
38 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland W1718291074
Lithuania W1618102569
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.