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Flamengo vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 89-73
16-19 24-18 31-14 18-22
Position#2
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#5
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.8
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho (Rio de Janeiro)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Bauru
18 Oct 2026
FLAM81
BAUR82
21 Feb 2026
FLAM79
BAUR92
20 Dec 2024
FLAM94
BAUR79
18 May 2024
FLAM92
BAUR61
28 Jan 2024
FLAM86
BAUR67
27 Nov 2023
FLAM89
BAUR73
06 May 2023
FLAM86
BAUR84
27 Apr 2023
FLAM90
BAUR58
13 Feb 2023
FLAM66
BAUR54
11 Jan 2022
FLAM103
BAUR59
04 Mar 2021
FLAM91
BAUR86
19 Jan 2021
FLAM72
BAUR65
12 Mar 2019
FLAM80
BAUR72
17 Feb 2018
FLAM75
BAUR61
24 Jan 2017
FLAM63
BAUR72
11 Jun 2016
FLAM100
BAUR66
28 May 2016
FLAM89
BAUR84
26 May 2016
FLAM80
BAUR85
11 Mar 2016
FLAM81
BAUR83
13 Jan 2016
FLAM85
BAUR69
26 May 2015
FLAM91
BAUR69
13 Jan 2015
FLAM77
BAUR84
28 Apr 2014
FLAM86
BAUR69
26 Apr 2014
FLAM70
BAUR74
08 Mar 2014
FLAM85
BAUR66
09 Mar 2013
FLAM74
BAUR89
01 Dec 2011
FLAM81
BAUR64
27 Apr 2011
FLAM79
BAUR73
26 Apr 2011
FLAM79
BAUR71
20 Feb 2011
FLAM84
BAUR64
01 Mar 2009
FLAM103
BAUR97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
79-96
79
96
-17
no box
A15/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
A17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
56avg 78
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
W
84-71
84
71
+13
81avg 78
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
93avg 78
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
68-65 OT
68
65
+3
no box
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
89-71
89
71
+18
91avg 78
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
92-55
92
55
+37
84avg 78
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
64-82
64
82
-18
50avg 78
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
95-86
95
86
+9
90avg 78
A23/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
14-20
15-26
30-31
27-19
11-20
11-15
20-18
27-26
14-27
18-21
11-13
23-17
15-22
26-12
20-20
18-9
22-24
28-12
24-24
15-16
16-15
13-18
12-7
21-16
16-13
20-23
32-19
25-17
23-11
26-15
18-12
13-27
20-17
14-22
17-16
20-22
26-30
29-15
20-19
155.6Avg total
80.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.873.2155.0+8.575%
Season at home (5)85.470.6156.0+14.880%
Season away (3)75.777.7153.3-2.067%
Last 10 (10)80.275.4155.6+4.860%
Last 5 (5)81.671.8153.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.086.0159.0-13.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)84.472.9157.3+11.578%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 70
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
57avg 70
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
39avg 70
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 70
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 70
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 70
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
80-99
80
99
-19
74avg 70
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
95-67
95
67
+28
82avg 70
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
94-59
94
59
+35
94avg 70
H22/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
24-21
24-22
18-12
20-14
14-28
19-16
22-13
21-20
23-25
14-24
19-11
19-25
13-18
8-26
18-20
26-22
20-22
22-18
12-12
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
16-26
25-25
20-26
19-22
19-20
28-13
28-11
20-23
19-18
29-6
17-16
29-19
153.8Avg total
79.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.074.8153.8+4.260%
Season at home (6)84.267.8152.0+16.3100%
Season away (4)71.285.2156.5-14.00%
Last 10 (10)79.074.8153.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)82.673.6156.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.085.1160.1-10.114%
vs Similar (9)75.975.0150.9+0.956%
vs Weaker (14)81.969.3151.2+12.679%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
FlamengoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A17/05
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H13/10
NBB
Pato
#12
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H07/11
NBB
Vasco
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A10/11
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H13/11
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H16/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/11
NBB
77.3Avg total
38.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.978.3+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.237.378.5+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.638.578.1+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.777.3-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.875.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)37.749.387.0-11.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)40.736.777.4+4.059%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A16/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H22/11
NBB
80.1Avg total
41.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.378.7+2.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.937.177.9+3.853%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.079.8-0.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.980.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.678.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.344.382.6-6.014%-
vs Similar (9)38.241.179.3-2.933%-
vs Weaker (14)42.933.676.4+9.364%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.7
61.2%
51.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.3
32.8%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.2%
72.6%13.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.5
50.3%
51.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.0
36.2%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.511.2
77.2%
72.6%11.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWWLLL
Bauru
WWLLWWLLWW
#2
League position
#5
+14.1
Net rating
+5.7
115.4
Offensive rating
106.8
101.3
Defensive rating
101.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.8%
3-point %
36.2%
65.2%
Assist %
61.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 106.8Defence101.3 · 101.0Shooting55.7% · 52.0%3-point %32.8% · 36.2%Ball care17.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.5% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Flamengo   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Flamengo wins
2
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Flamengo v Bauru86-84
03/05/23Bauru v Flamengo91-80
01/05/23Bauru v Flamengo76-85
27/04/23Flamengo v Bauru90-58
13/02/23Flamengo v Bauru66-54
01/11/22Bauru v Flamengo82-77
14/04/22Bauru v Flamengo80-92
11/01/22Flamengo v Bauru103-59
04/03/21Flamengo v Bauru91-86
19/01/21Flamengo v Bauru72-65
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AMogi95-86
21/11/23ASao Jose64-82
16/11/23HBrasilia92-55
13/11/23HCerrado89-71
10/11/23AVasco68-65 OT
07/11/23HBotafogo92-69
15/10/23HPato84-71
13/10/23HMinas70-87
17/05/23ASao Paulo69-72
15/05/23ASao Paulo79-96
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HCaxias do Sul94-59
20/11/23HUniao Corinthians95-67
16/11/23AMinas80-99
14/11/23APato70-73
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70
09/11/23HCorinthians Paulista80-74
02/11/23AUnifacisa58-89
31/10/23ACearense77-80
26/10/23HPaulistano75-71
24/10/23HSao Paulo87-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%80%67%
Points / game81.885.475.7
Allowed / game73.270.677.7
Point differential+8.5+14.8-2.0
Avg total155.0156.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game79.084.271.2
Allowed / game74.867.885.2
Point differential+4.2+16.3-14.0
Avg total153.8152.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas98189%83.372.2+11.1
2 Cearense87188%78.572.8+5.8
3 Franca97278%89.774.6+15.1
4 Vasco97278%73.966.2+7.7
5 Flamengo86275%81.873.2+8.5
6 Paulistano96367%71.170.8+0.3
7 Sao Jose85362%81.673.5+8.1
8 Unifacisa85362%75.872.4+3.4
9 Bauru106460%79.074.8+4.2
10 Pato115645%74.978.4-3.5
11 Caxias do Sul94544%71.779.2-7.6
12 Uniao Corinthians94544%73.281.6-8.3
13 Corinthians Paulista83538%75.676.8-1.1
14 Sao Paulo93633%77.481.8-4.3
15 Pinheiros82625%76.080.0-4.0
16 Cerrado92722%72.873.2-0.4
17 Brasilia92722%70.883.4-12.7
18 Botafogo112918%74.483.7-9.4
19 Mogi91811%73.982.1-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo1624311889
Bauru1918142273
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