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Minas vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 99-80
26-16 25-25 26-20 22-19
Position#3
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game68.6
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Bauru
Brazil
Position#5
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game74.7
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube (Belo Horizonte)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Minas v Bauru
23 Nov 2025
MINA94
BAUR88
28 May 2025
MINA70
BAUR65
26 May 2025
MINA73
BAUR69
27 Dec 2024
MINA83
BAUR73
16 Nov 2023
MINA99
BAUR80
10 Jan 2023
MINA63
BAUR58
09 Jan 2022
MINA76
BAUR64
06 Apr 2021
MINA81
BAUR79
19 Nov 2019
MINA87
BAUR68
03 Apr 2019
MINA78
BAUR71
14 Feb 2019
MINA93
BAUR89
20 Nov 2018
MINA67
BAUR66
17 Oct 2018
MINA70
BAUR75
15 Feb 2018
MINA66
BAUR81
23 Mar 2017
MINA77
BAUR89
12 Nov 2015
MINA67
BAUR83
09 Dec 2014
MINA79
BAUR84
06 Feb 2014
MINA71
BAUR77
11 Apr 2013
MINA64
BAUR77
12 Jan 2012
MINA70
BAUR78
18 Feb 2011
MINA67
BAUR86
20 May 2009
MINA75
BAUR74
19 May 2009
MINA74
BAUR47
18 Feb 2009
MINA70
BAUR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
98-112
98
112
-14
no box
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
103-89
103
89
+14
no box
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 80
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
96-76
96
76
+20
101avg 80
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
72-60
72
60
+12
64avg 80
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 80
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-70
79
70
+9
75avg 80
A10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
22-26
17-23
28-34
29-18
28-28
21-24
25-19
23-24
25-16
23-28
20-27
19-27
27-19
26-23
21-21
19-29
25-22
23-25
12-17
26-27
27-14
21-18
13-11
33-25
21-12
21-10
21-29
16-18
18-17
26-14
12-11
19-14
18-28
25-9
15-16
21-10
21-22
14-15
23-23
169.7Avg total
87.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.268.6150.8+13.6100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (5)82.268.6150.8+13.6100%
Last 10 (10)87.582.2169.7+5.370%
Last 5 (5)82.268.6150.8+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.491.5179.9-3.125%
vs Similar (8)82.074.5156.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.177.4166.6+11.786%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 64
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 64
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
57avg 64
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
39avg 64
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 64
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 64
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 64
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
18-26
13-21
22-20
27-25
18-18
20-23
26-14
19-31
18-18
22-26
25-11
21-11
24-21
24-22
18-12
20-14
14-28
19-16
22-13
21-20
23-25
14-24
19-11
19-25
13-18
8-26
18-20
26-22
20-22
22-18
12-12
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
17-19
21-14
14-22
18-18
154.6Avg total
77.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.474.7149.1-0.357%
Season at home (4)79.070.2149.2+8.8100%
Season away (3)68.380.7149.0-12.30%
Last 10 (10)77.277.4154.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)71.877.2149.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.282.8157.0-8.717%
vs Similar (9)75.975.0150.9+0.956%
vs Weaker (14)80.570.5151.0+10.079%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +5.3+5.3
MinasBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H16/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/05
NBB
Franca
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A21/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A13/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A23/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A08/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A10/11
NBB
89.3Avg total
46.8Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.684.8+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.938.084.9+8.979%-
Last 30 away (16)43.741.184.8+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.589.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.481.4+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.246.893.0-0.525%-
vs Similar (8)40.935.276.1+5.688%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)47.038.185.1+8.964%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
Pato
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A14/11
NBB
81.6Avg total
39.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.678.3+1.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.137.877.9+2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)39.239.678.8-0.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.781.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)37.843.281.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (9)38.241.179.3-2.933%-
vs Weaker (14)41.934.576.4+7.457%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.6
54.0%
51.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
33.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
72.6%16.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.3
35.6%
33.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws11.48.7
76.2%
72.6%8.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/7 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWLWLWL
Bauru
LWWLLWWLWL
#3
League position
#5
+16.5
Net rating
-0.4
111.1
Offensive rating
102.5
94.6
Defensive rating
102.9
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.0%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.18
34.3%
3-point %
35.6%
74.5%
Assist %
56.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 102.5Defence94.6 · 102.9Shooting52.8% · 50.0%3-point %34.3% · 35.6%Ball care19.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.7% · 23.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minas   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Minas wins
3
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
12/04/22Bauru v Minas101-69
09/01/22Minas v Bauru76-64
06/04/21Minas v Bauru81-79
05/01/21Bauru v Minas75-85
07/03/20Bauru v Minas84-94
19/11/19Minas v Bauru87-68
08/04/19Bauru v Minas85-64
06/04/19Bauru v Minas66-59
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23AMogi79-70
08/11/23ASao Jose77-67
23/10/23AVasco72-60
21/10/23ABotafogo96-76
13/10/23AFlamengo87-70
23/05/23AFranca79-93
21/05/23AFranca93-90
18/05/23HFranca91-95
16/05/23HFranca103-89
13/05/23AFranca98-112
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23APato70-73
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70
09/11/23HCorinthians Paulista80-74
02/11/23AUnifacisa58-89
31/10/23ACearense77-80
26/10/23HPaulistano75-71
24/10/23HSao Paulo87-66
06/05/23AFlamengo84-86
03/05/23HFlamengo91-80
01/05/23HFlamengo76-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
Home--
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games5-5
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.2-82.2
Allowed / game68.6-68.6
Point differential+13.6-+13.6
Avg total150.8-150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%-80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%100%0%
Points / game74.479.068.3
Allowed / game74.770.280.7
Point differential-0.3+8.8-12.3
Avg total149.1149.2149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas550100%82.268.6+13.6
2 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
3 Franca54180%90.679.4+11.2
4 Flamengo54180%80.672.6+8.0
5 Vasco75271%70.166.1+4.0
6 Caxias do Sul64267%74.073.3+0.7
7 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
8 Corinthians Paulista53260%78.876.2+2.6
9 Bauru74357%74.474.7-0.3
10 Uniao Corinthians74357%76.676.9-0.3
11 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
12 Pato84450%75.276.4-1.1
13 Sao Jose52340%77.074.0+3.0
14 Pinheiros52340%74.277.4-3.2
15 Brasilia62433%79.282.7-3.5
16 Sao Paulo61517%75.385.2-9.8
17 Cerrado71614%71.176.0-4.9
18 Botafogo81712%73.983.2-9.4
19 Mogi6060%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2625262299
Bauru1625201980
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