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Pato vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 73-70
19-17 14-21 22-14 18-18
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.3
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game75.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Bauru
09 Nov 2026
PATO v BAUR
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
PATO61
BAUR69
05 Feb 2025
PATO91
BAUR94
21 Apr 2024
PATO74
BAUR93
14 Nov 2023
PATO73
BAUR70
19 Dec 2022
PATO85
BAUR96
19 Apr 2022
PATO72
BAUR63
18 Dec 2021
PATO87
BAUR53
10 Dec 2020
PATO80
BAUR79
17 Dec 2019
PATO76
BAUR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
57-90
57
90
-33
no box
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
71-84
71
84
-13
66avg 69
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 69
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
62-71
62
71
-9
56avg 69
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
83-65
83
65
+18
74avg 69
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
78-80
78
80
-2
70avg 69
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 69
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 69
A08/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-11
24-13
18-25
26-21
18-19
13-17
19-28
7-26
14-16
22-34
21-17
21-25
17-23
22-15
12-26
20-20
23-15
17-17
25-22
14-17
23-22
19-18
11-13
9-18
24-16
18-15
16-22
25-12
15-20
25-22
17-12
21-26
14-22
15-25
16-28
24-25
23-15
25-16
18-24
21-15
153.9Avg total
74.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.677.3152.9-1.743%
Season at home (2)80.572.5153.0+8.050%
Season away (5)73.679.2152.8-5.640%
Last 10 (10)74.679.3153.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)75.877.2153.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.784.7158.4-11.018%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.977.6155.4+0.343%
vs Weaker (6)90.886.8177.7+4.067%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
58-90
58
90
-32
no box
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 66
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 66
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
77-80
77
80
-3
57avg 66
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
58-89
58
89
-31
39avg 66
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
80-74
80
74
+6
75avg 66
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
74-70
74
70
+4
71avg 66
H11/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
17-20
16-20
10-25
23-18
18-26
13-21
22-20
27-25
18-18
20-23
26-14
19-31
18-18
22-26
25-11
21-11
24-21
24-22
18-12
20-14
14-28
19-16
22-13
21-20
23-25
14-24
19-11
19-25
13-18
8-26
18-20
26-22
20-22
22-18
12-12
19-24
18-18
19-14
18-14
155.1Avg total
76.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.275.0150.2+0.267%
Season at home (4)79.070.2149.2+8.8100%
Season away (2)67.584.5152.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)76.079.1155.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)72.876.8149.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.282.8157.0-8.717%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.673.9148.4+0.756%
vs Weaker (14)80.570.5151.0+10.079%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +3.8+3.8
PatoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#5
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A21/04
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A23/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A15/10
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/10
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H31/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H03/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A06/11
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A08/11
NBB
75.6Avg total
38.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.980.2-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.838.279.0+2.546%-
Last 30 away (17)38.143.081.1-4.924%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.175.6+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.940.678.6-2.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.939.076.9-1.143%-
vs Weaker (6)44.544.088.5+0.533%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A31/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/11
NBB
82.2Avg total
39.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.578.0+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.137.877.9+2.247%-
Last 30 away (13)38.839.478.2-0.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.982.2-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.281.8-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.281.0-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.640.878.3-3.233%-
vs Weaker (14)41.934.576.4+7.457%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.0
53.1%
51.8%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.0
32.9%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.910.1
64.0%
72.6%10.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.5
46.0%
51.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.0
37.9%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws11.38.5
75.0%
72.6%8.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WLLWLWLLLW
Bauru
WWLLWWLWLL
#12
League position
#5
-3.6
Net rating
+0.7
103.0
Offensive rating
103.7
106.5
Defensive rating
103.0
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.17
32.9%
3-point %
37.9%
68.3%
Assist %
58.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 103.7Defence106.5 · 103.0Shooting51.3% · 50.9%3-point %32.9% · 37.9%Ball care16.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 24.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Pato   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pato wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
23/04/22Bauru v Pato82-71
20/04/22Pato v Bauru72-63
31/03/22Bauru v Pato84-74
18/12/21Pato v Bauru87-53
27/02/21Bauru v Pato101-55
10/12/20Pato v Bauru80-79
17/12/19Pato v Bauru76-79 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23AMogi87-70
06/11/23ASao Jose69-100
03/11/23HBrasilia78-80
31/10/23HCerrado83-65
27/10/23AVasco62-71
24/10/23ABotafogo79-71
15/10/23AFlamengo71-84
23/04/23APaulistano78-92
21/04/23APaulistano57-90
18/04/23HPaulistano82-70
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HPinheiros74-70
09/11/23HCorinthians Paulista80-74
02/11/23AUnifacisa58-89
31/10/23ACearense77-80
26/10/23HPaulistano75-71
24/10/23HSao Paulo87-66
06/05/23AFlamengo84-86
03/05/23HFlamengo91-80
01/05/23HFlamengo76-85
27/04/23AFlamengo58-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%50%40%
Points / game75.680.573.6
Allowed / game77.372.579.2
Point differential-1.7+8.0-5.6
Avg total152.9153.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game75.279.067.5
Allowed / game75.070.284.5
Point differential+0.2+8.8-17.0
Avg total150.2149.2152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas550100%82.268.6+13.6
2 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
3 Franca54180%90.679.4+11.2
4 Flamengo54180%80.672.6+8.0
5 Vasco64267%69.565.3+4.2
6 Uniao Corinthians64267%77.076.7+0.3
7 Bauru64267%75.275.0+0.2
8 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
9 Caxias do Sul53260%72.672.6+0.0
10 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
11 Corinthians Paulista42250%78.275.8+2.5
12 Pato73443%75.677.3-1.7
13 Brasilia52340%79.481.4-2.0
14 Pinheiros52340%74.277.4-3.2
15 Sao Jose41325%76.874.0+2.8
16 Sao Paulo51420%74.886.0-11.2
17 Cerrado61517%71.276.3-5.2
18 Mogi5050%67.477.4-10.0
19 Botafogo7070%71.784.0-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato1914221873
Bauru1721141870
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