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Pato vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 97-91 (OT)
21-17 20-20 19-26 21-18 16-10
Position#12
Record9-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game77.2
Pato 🏆
Brazil
vs
Flamengo
Brazil
Position#2
Record17-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game74.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pato v Flamengo
07 Nov 2026
PATO v FLAM
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
PATO84
FLAM53
03 Dec 2024
PATO103
FLAM110
13 Jan 2024
PATO97
FLAM91
22 Oct 2022
PATO64
FLAM91
03 Feb 2022
PATO87
FLAM93
12 Feb 2021
PATO61
FLAM85
05 Feb 2020
PATO71
FLAM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
60avg 68
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-76
75
76
-1
63avg 68
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
64-68
64
68
-4
50avg 68
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
76avg 68
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
77-91
77
91
-14
67avg 68
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
66avg 68
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-74
78
74
+4
65avg 68
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
77-65
77
65
+12
76avg 68
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-75
82
75
+7
77avg 68
A08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
15-24
13-25
23-7
15-17
16-19
17-20
27-20
15-17
17-18
22-14
10-19
18-18
22-14
16-29
25-24
16-25
23-14
10-28
28-24
20-23
14-23
27-16
14-22
13-15
23-13
18-9
25-26
24-16
18-17
20-20
16-21
15-19
26-16
12-15
24-15
22-15
13-21
26-16
21-23
151.6Avg total
75.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.677.2152.8-1.645%
Season at home (8)77.172.4149.5+4.862%
Season away (12)74.680.3154.9-5.833%
Last 10 (10)75.676.0151.6-0.440%
Last 5 (5)78.272.2150.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.378.8151.1-6.531%
vs Similar (10)76.478.3154.7-1.940%
vs Weaker (7)82.373.4155.7+8.986%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
81avg 78
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#10
L
62-80
62
80
-18
46avg 78
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
65avg 78
H22/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
101-73
101
73
+28
108avg 78
H23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-83
88
83
+5
82avg 78
A27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
95-72
95
72
+23
94avg 78
A29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
79-65
79
65
+14
65avg 78
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 78
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
70avg 78
A11/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
15-31
28-16
11-10
22-19
18-19
10-18
12-24
13-23
27-20
14-13
23-18
29-10
28-22
23-23
21-18
28-26
20-19
20-19
20-19
28-18
16-17
30-21
21-16
21-16
18-15
18-22
21-25
18-14
22-18
26-24
13-9
17-20
24-16
21-21
22-22
19-21
18-28
22-23
19-14
162.4Avg total
84.1Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.274.2158.4+10.085%
Season at home (10)87.171.9159.0+15.290%
Season away (10)81.276.5157.7+4.780%
Last 10 (10)84.178.3162.4+5.880%
Last 5 (5)84.277.2161.4+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)80.082.0162.0-2.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.075.7158.7+7.377%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
PatoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A22/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H29/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A22/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H27/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A06/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A08/01
NBB
72.9Avg total
36.2Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.775.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.235.474.5+3.846%-
Last 30 away (17)37.339.476.7-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.772.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.635.673.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.439.375.7-2.931%-
vs Similar (10)37.637.174.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker (7)42.035.477.4+6.671%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H14/12
Champions League Americas
Boca Juniors
#10
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H22/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H23/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A27/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A29/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A05/01
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/01
NBB
82.0Avg total
42.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.980.2+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.638.581.1+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)39.939.479.3+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)42.639.482.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.676.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.546.587.0-6.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)41.537.779.2+3.762%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.3
50.5%
51.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.6
30.7%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.510.0
69.0%
72.6%10.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.2
53.2%
51.8%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
33.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
72.6%16.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pato
WWWWLLLLLL
Flamengo
LWWWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#2
-1.4
Net rating
+9.2
105.4
Offensive rating
112.5
106.8
Defensive rating
103.3
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.0%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.7%
3-point %
33.8%
60.2%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 112.5Defence106.8 · 103.3Shooting48.6% · 52.0%3-point %30.7% · 33.8%Ball care15.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds33.2% · 30.6%Free throws0.22 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Pato   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pato wins
9
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Flamengo v Pato84-71
08/01/23Flamengo v Pato89-75
22/10/22Pato v Flamengo64-91
03/02/22Pato v Flamengo87-93
03/11/21Flamengo v Pato94-62
12/02/21Pato v Flamengo61-85
22/11/20Flamengo v Pato105-70
05/02/20Pato v Flamengo71-86
12/11/19Flamengo v Pato76-59
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24ACerrado82-75
06/01/24ABrasilia77-65
29/12/23HCaxias do Sul78-74
27/12/23HUniao Corinthians79-63
22/12/23AMinas75-84
18/12/23APinheiros77-91
16/12/23ACorinthians Paulista81-85
01/12/23HUnifacisa64-68
29/11/23HCearense75-76
22/11/23APaulistano68-79
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24AMinas78-86
08/01/24HVasco84-79
05/01/24AUniao Corinthians79-65
03/01/24ACaxias do Sul85-84 OT
29/12/23ACorinthians Paulista95-72
27/12/23APinheiros88-83
23/12/23HUnifacisa101-73
22/12/23HCearense77-74
16/12/23HBoca Juniors62-80
14/12/23HHebraica y Macabi92-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW45%
HomeWLLWW62%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %45%62%33%
Points / game75.677.174.6
Allowed / game77.272.480.3
Point differential-1.6+4.8-5.8
Avg total152.8149.5154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %85%90%80%
Points / game84.287.181.2
Allowed / game74.271.976.5
Point differential+9.9+15.2+4.7
Avg total158.3159.0157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2017385%85.572.8+12.8
2 Flamengo2017385%84.274.2+9.9
3 Franca2016480%87.575.8+11.6
4 Unifacisa1913668%83.078.3+4.7
5 Vasco1913668%74.070.3+3.7
6 Paulistano2013765%74.271.8+2.4
7 Bauru2012860%78.877.2+1.7
8 Sao Jose1911858%79.574.7+4.8
9 Cearense1910953%77.976.1+1.8
10 Pato2091145%75.677.2-1.6
11 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
12 Pinheiros1981142%76.478.8-2.5
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul1961332%72.279.2-6.9
15 Botafogo1961332%77.084.9-7.9
16 Uniao Corinthians1961332%71.980.5-8.5
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pato212019211697
Flamengo172026181091
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