Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 May 2021

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 96-93

24-25 18-21 30-20 24-27

Position#1

Record33-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game71.5

Flamengo 🏆

Sao Paulo

Position#3

Record28-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game77.1

NBBNBB - Final

Other2020-21

Meetings · Flamengo v Sao Paulo

SAO 102

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#12

77-58

+19

A05/04

NBB

Cerrado

#14

88-57

+31

H07/04

NBB

Caballos de Cocle

74-59

+15

H10/04

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

75-66

A11/04

Champions League Americas

Real Esteli

84-80

A14/04

Champions League Americas

Mogi

109-79

109

+30

A28/04

NBB

Mogi

77-67

+10

H30/04

NBB

Paulistano

92-69

+23

H10/05

NBB

Paulistano

81-75

A12/05

NBB

Paulistano

69-58

+11

A15/05

NBB

15-10

13-14

24-29

25-5

18-15

21-13

36-21

13-8

21-8

14-18

18-16

21-17

24-9

13-14

25-20

13-23

24-25

20-12

23-23

17-20

32-23

24-16

32-19

21-21

28-22

20-14

19-12

10-19

25-15

15-23

29-16

23-15

22-26

20-13

9-9

30-27

17-12

17-18

17-12

18-16

149.4Avg total

82.6Scored

66.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	89.1	71.5	160.6	+17.5	94%
Season at home (17)	92.1	69.6	161.7	+22.5	100%
Season away (18)	86.2	73.4	159.6	+12.8	89%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	66.8	149.4	+15.8	100%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	69.6	155.2	+16.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	81.7	74.3	156.0	+7.3	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	86.7	72.0	158.7	+14.7	100%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

85-78

A03/04

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

99-74

+25

A06/04

NBB

San Lorenzo

78-75

A10/04

Champions League Americas

Flamengo

66-75

-9

H11/04

Champions League Americas

Minas

58-75

-17

A13/04

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

78-71

A29/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

79-68

+11

H01/05

NBB

Minas

88-70

+18

A10/05

NBB

Minas

90-85

H12/05

NBB

Minas

80-79

H15/05

NBB

11-23

26-20

18-16

30-19

17-22

25-17

31-16

26-19

21-21

17-21

18-17

22-16

9-24

14-13

20-25

23-13

15-13

12-15

17-29

14-18

15-18

17-19

29-13

17-21

17-11

16-19

23-19

24-14

28-19

24-24

12-13

23-32

14-22

23-15

30-16

19-18

19-24

25-20

17-17

155.1Avg total

80.1Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	89.1	77.1	166.2	+12.1	80%
Season at home (18)	89.0	75.4	164.4	+13.6	83%
Season away (17)	89.3	78.8	168.1	+10.5	76%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	75.0	155.1	+5.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	74.6	157.6	+8.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	72.2	79.2	151.5	-7.0	25%
vs Similar (6)	80.7	79.3	160.0	+1.3	67%
vs Weaker (19)	86.5	72.5	158.9	+14.0	84%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	18.0	39.9	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.1	39.7	+5.6	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	16.5	39.1	+6.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.6	44.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.0	14.7	34.7	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	18.4	40.5	+3.7	63%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.1	37.1	+1.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.6	36.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	13.8	20.0	33.8	-6.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (19)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.6	35.8	+2.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	17.1	37.1	+3.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	16.1	34.7	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	15.5	33.2	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	14.0	33.3	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	19.3	16.9	36.1	+2.4	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.4	37.9	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	17.1	38.1	+3.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	17.7	37.7	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	68%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#12

28-24

A05/04

NBB

Cerrado

#14

39-28

+11

H07/04

NBB

Caballos de Cocle

35-26

H10/04

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

37-23

+14

A11/04

Champions League Americas

Real Esteli

44-37

A14/04

Champions League Americas

Mogi

56-39

+17

A28/04

NBB

Mogi

48-36

+12

H30/04

NBB

Paulistano

40-38

H10/05

NBB

Paulistano

42-39

A12/05

NBB

Paulistano

34-30

A15/05

NBB

72.3Avg total

40.3Scored

32.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	34.6	75.8	+6.6	77%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.7	34.1	76.9	+8.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	35.0	74.8	+4.8	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	32.0	72.3	+8.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	36.4	80.4	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.3	28.7	68.0	+10.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.4	35.3	76.6	+6.1	74%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

37-43

-6

A03/04

NBB

Campo Mourao

#15

42-39

A06/04

NBB

San Lorenzo

38-42

-4

A10/04

Champions League Americas

Flamengo

23-37

-14

H11/04

Champions League Americas

Minas

27-28

-1

A13/04

Champions League Americas

Corinthians Paulista

32-37

-5

A29/04

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

33-30

H01/05

NBB

Minas

52-33

+19

A10/05

NBB

Minas

37-54

-17

H12/05

NBB

Minas

38-42

-4

H15/05

NBB

74.4Avg total

35.9Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	35.7	75.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	35.2	75.2	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	36.3	74.6	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.5	74.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	39.2	77.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	33.5	38.2	71.8	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	40.2	34.5	74.7	+5.7	68%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	17.9	41.2	+5.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	16.4	39.4	+6.5	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.6	19.2	42.9	+4.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	17.7	40.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	13.6	34.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	23.6	17.4	41.0	+6.2	70%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.3	41.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	18.8	42.5	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	19.8	40.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.2	43.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.0	22.0	43.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	23.8	18.5	42.3	+5.3	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.3	38.6	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.1	36.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.9	18.6	39.6	+2.3	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.1	38.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (19)	22.1	19.3	41.4	+2.8	68%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	37.0	81.3	+7.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.3	34.7	78.0	+8.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	45.2	39.0	84.2	+6.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	34.8	77.1	+7.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	33.2	74.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	42.3	45.7	88.0	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.6	36.0	80.6	+8.5	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	38.7	82.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	38.6	83.6	+6.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	38.7	80.8	+3.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	36.5	80.7	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	35.4	80.0	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.8	40.2	81.0	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (19)	45.9	37.7	83.6	+8.2	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
11/04/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	66-75
27/02/21	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	93-74
23/01/21	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	71-79
08/12/20	Sao Paulo v Flamengo	80-68
26/10/19	Flamengo v Sao Paulo	95-102

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/21	A	Paulistano	69-58
12/05/21	A	Paulistano	81-75
10/05/21	H	Paulistano	92-69
30/04/21	H	Mogi	77-67
28/04/21	A	Mogi	109-79
14/04/21	A	Real Esteli	84-80
11/04/21	A	Sao Paulo	75-66
10/04/21	H	Caballos de Cocle	74-59
07/04/21	H	Cerrado	88-57
05/04/21	A	Caxias do Sul	77-58

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/05/21	H	Minas	80-79
12/05/21	H	Minas	90-85
10/05/21	A	Minas	88-70
01/05/21	H	Corinthians Paulista	79-68
29/04/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	78-71
13/04/21	A	Minas	58-75
11/04/21	H	Flamengo	66-75
10/04/21	A	San Lorenzo	78-75
06/04/21	A	Campo Mourao	99-74
03/04/21	A	Corinthians Paulista	85-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	17	18
Win %	94%	100%	89%
Points / game	89.1	92.1	86.2
Allowed / game	71.5	69.6	73.4
Point differential	+17.5	+22.5	+12.8
Avg total	160.6	161.7	159.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	71%	76%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (6)	100% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	80%
Home	WWWWW	83%
Away	WWWWW	76%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	18	17
Win %	80%	83%	76%
Points / game	89.1	89.0	89.3
Allowed / game	77.1	75.4	78.8
Point differential	+12.1	+13.6	+10.5
Avg total	166.2	164.4	168.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	51%	56%	47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	60% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	35	33	2	94%	89.1	71.5	+17.5
2	Sao Paulo	35	28	7	80%	89.1	77.1	+12.1
3	Minas	36	28	8	78%	84.2	75.6	+8.6
4	Paulistano	36	24	12	67%	75.8	73.4	+2.4
5	Bauru	35	22	13	63%	80.8	76.1	+4.7
6	Corinthians Paulista	34	19	15	56%	77.5	74.9	+2.5
7	Franca	35	18	17	51%	86.0	82.4	+3.5
8	Mogi	35	17	18	49%	80.3	83.1	-2.9
9	Unifacisa	33	15	18	45%	82.5	81.9	+0.6
10	Cearense	32	14	18	44%	75.6	76.3	-0.7
11	Pato	32	12	20	38%	74.6	83.9	-9.3
12	Caxias do Sul	32	9	23	28%	75.7	80.5	-4.9
13	Pinheiros	30	8	22	27%	71.0	82.9	-11.9
14	Cerrado	30	7	23	23%	74.5	79.9	-5.4
15	Campo Mourao	30	6	24	20%	76.0	87.0	-11.0
16	Brasilia	30	5	25	17%	76.6	90.0	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	24	18	30	24	96
Sao Paulo	25	21	20	27	93

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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