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Sao Paulo vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 May 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 90-85
23-32 14-22 23-15 30-16
Position#3
Record26-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game76.8
vs
Position#2
Record28-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game75.1
BrazilNBBNBB - Semi-finals
Other2020-21
Meetings · Sao Paulo v Minas
12 Apr 2025
SAO 71
MINA67
08 May 2024
SAO 86
MINA84
06 May 2024
SAO 105
MINA74
23 Nov 2023
SAO 75
MINA83
27 Dec 2022
SAO 100
MINA83
04 Jan 2022
SAO 91
MINA87
15 May 2021
SAO 80
MINA79
12 May 2021
SAO 90
MINA85
25 Feb 2021
SAO 90
MINA92
02 Nov 2019
SAO 75
MINA78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A15/03
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A03/04
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A06/04
NBB
San Lorenzo
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H11/04
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H01/05
NBB
Minas
#2
W
88-70
88
70
+18
A10/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
17-22
25-28
22-13
25-20
17-18
19-19
25-23
11-23
26-20
18-16
30-19
17-22
25-17
31-16
26-19
21-21
17-21
18-17
22-16
9-24
14-13
20-25
23-13
15-13
12-15
17-29
14-18
15-18
17-19
29-13
17-21
17-11
16-19
23-19
23-19
24-14
28-19
24-24
12-13
155.2Avg total
80.7Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.476.8166.2+12.679%
Season at home (16)89.574.6164.1+14.981%
Season away (17)89.378.8168.1+10.576%
Last 10 (10)80.774.5155.2+6.280%
Last 5 (5)73.871.8145.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.279.2151.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.578.0156.5+0.550%
vs Weaker (21)85.272.4157.6+12.881%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H01/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H04/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H06/04
NBB
Quimsa
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#3
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A12/04
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H13/04
Champions League Americas
Franca
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H01/05
NBB
Franca
#7
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
H10/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-9
17-22
25-19
28-16
21-14
17-20
31-15
24-12
19-18
22-18
23-25
17-18
17-11
30-14
22-22
18-13
19-27
25-21
20-23
31-27
13-15
15-12
29-17
18-14
25-17
23-16
28-16
15-36
11-28
23-20
23-17
15-17
25-19
27-14
23-11
18-24
14-24
19-28
24-24
13-12
159.4Avg total
84.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)84.375.1159.4+9.382%
Season at home (18)83.773.7157.4+9.983%
Season away (16)85.176.6161.6+8.581%
Last 10 (10)84.974.5159.4+10.470%
Last 5 (5)80.276.2156.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.096.0190.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.582.2161.8-2.838%
vs Weaker (20)85.675.4161.0+10.275%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.8+0.8
Sao PauloMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/03
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/04
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
NBB
San Lorenzo
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H11/04
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H01/05
NBB
Minas
#2
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A10/05
NBB
73.4Avg total
36.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.473.2+4.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.532.572.0+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.136.374.4+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.936.573.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.066.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.538.271.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)41.034.875.8+6.250%-
vs Weaker (21)39.333.973.2+5.467%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/04
NBB
Quimsa
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A12/04
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H13/04
Champions League Americas
Franca
#7
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/05
NBB
Franca
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H10/05
NBB
77.1Avg total
40.4Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.238.879.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.938.478.2+1.562%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.379.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.777.1+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.677.6+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.036.073.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.541.074.5-7.525%-
vs Weaker (20)42.138.080.1+4.165%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Paulo wins
4
Minas wins
DateGameScore
10/05/21Minas v Sao Paulo70-88
13/04/21Minas v Sao Paulo75-58
25/02/21Sao Paulo v Minas90-92
19/01/21Minas v Sao Paulo70-78
19/12/20Minas v Sao Paulo96-92
08/02/20Minas v Sao Paulo85-87
02/11/19Sao Paulo v Minas75-78
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/21AMinas88-70
01/05/21HCorinthians Paulista79-68
29/04/21ACorinthians Paulista78-71
13/04/21AMinas58-75
11/04/21HFlamengo66-75
10/04/21ASan Lorenzo78-75
06/04/21ACampo Mourao99-74
03/04/21ACorinthians Paulista85-78
01/04/21ACerrado86-80
15/03/21AUnifacisa90-79
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/05/21HSao Paulo70-88
03/05/21HFranca93-68
01/05/21HFranca72-82
29/04/21AFranca91-85
13/04/21HSao Paulo75-58
12/04/21AReal Esteli95-98
10/04/21AQuimsa87-60
06/04/21HBauru81-79
04/04/21HPinheiros93-61
01/04/21HCearense92-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLLWWW81%
AwayWWWWW76%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %79%81%76%
Points / game89.489.589.3
Allowed / game76.874.678.8
Point differential+12.6+14.9+10.5
Avg total166.2164.1168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%62%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Minas
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL82%
HomeWWLWL83%
AwayWWLLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %82%83%81%
Points / game84.383.785.1
Allowed / game75.173.776.6
Point differential+9.3+9.9+8.5
Avg total159.4157.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%39%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3331294%89.971.8+18.1
2 Minas3428682%84.375.1+9.3
3 Sao Paulo3326779%89.476.8+12.6
4 Paulistano34241071%76.373.3+3.0
5 Bauru35221363%80.876.1+4.7
6 Corinthians Paulista34191556%77.574.9+2.5
7 Franca35181751%86.082.4+3.5
8 Mogi35171849%80.383.1-2.9
9 Unifacisa33151845%82.581.9+0.6
10 Cearense32141844%75.676.3-0.7
11 Pato32122038%74.683.9-9.3
12 Caxias do Sul3292328%75.780.5-4.9
13 Pinheiros3082227%71.082.9-11.9
14 Cerrado3072323%74.579.9-5.4
15 Campo Mourao3062420%76.087.0-11.0
16 Brasilia3052517%76.690.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Paulo2314233090
Minas3222151685
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