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Minas vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 May 2021
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 70-88
14-24 19-28 24-24 13-12
Position#2
Record28-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#3
Record25-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game77.0
BrazilNBBNBB - Semi-finals
Other2020-21
Meetings · Minas v Sao Paulo
25 Jan 2025
MINA82
SAO 66
23 Dec 2024
MINA77
SAO 63
13 May 2024
MINA98
SAO 67
11 May 2024
MINA104
SAO 79
03 May 2024
MINA84
SAO 59
15 Feb 2024
MINA86
SAO 94
14 Mar 2023
MINA87
SAO 76
07 Apr 2022
MINA79
SAO 93
31 Mar 2022
MINA61
SAO 82
22 Jan 2022
MINA78
SAO 77
10 May 2021
MINA70
SAO 88
13 Apr 2021
MINA75
SAO 58
19 Jan 2021
MINA70
SAO 78
19 Dec 2020
MINA96
SAO 92
07 Feb 2020
MINA85
SAO 87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A25/03
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#10
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H01/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H04/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H06/04
NBB
Quimsa
#4
W
87-60
87
60
+27
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#3
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A12/04
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
75-58
75
58
+17
H13/04
Champions League Americas
Franca
#7
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H01/05
NBB
Franca
#7
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H03/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
14-21
18-12
14-20
22-9
17-22
25-19
28-16
21-14
17-20
31-15
24-12
19-18
22-18
23-25
17-18
17-11
30-14
22-22
18-13
19-27
25-21
20-23
31-27
13-15
15-12
29-17
18-14
25-17
23-16
28-16
15-36
11-28
23-20
23-17
15-17
25-19
27-14
23-11
18-24
156.7Avg total
84.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)84.874.7159.4+10.185%
Season at home (17)84.572.9157.4+11.688%
Season away (16)85.176.6161.6+8.581%
Last 10 (10)84.072.7156.7+11.370%
Last 5 (5)85.278.2163.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.096.0190.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.981.4162.3-0.643%
vs Weaker (21)84.974.8159.7+10.076%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
W
98-76
98
76
+22
H13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
A15/03
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A03/04
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A06/04
NBB
San Lorenzo
#2
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H11/04
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H01/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
30-17
18-23
32-24
26-16
17-22
25-28
22-13
25-20
17-18
19-19
25-23
11-23
26-20
18-16
30-19
17-22
25-17
31-16
26-19
21-21
17-21
18-17
22-16
9-24
14-13
20-25
23-13
15-13
12-15
17-29
14-18
15-18
17-19
29-13
17-21
17-11
16-19
23-19
23-19
156.8Avg total
81.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)89.477.0166.4+12.578%
Season at home (16)89.574.6164.1+14.981%
Season away (16)89.479.3168.7+10.175%
Last 10 (10)81.775.1156.8+6.680%
Last 5 (5)71.872.8144.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.279.2151.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (3)75.380.7156.0-5.333%
vs Weaker (22)85.273.3158.5+11.977%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +4.9+4.9
MinasSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A25/03
Champions League Americas
Cearense
#10
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H01/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H04/04
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/04
NBB
Quimsa
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#3
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A12/04
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H13/04
Champions League Americas
Franca
#7
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H01/05
NBB
Franca
#7
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H03/05
NBB
75.3Avg total
40.0Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.278.6+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.277.4+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.639.379.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.375.3+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.879.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.036.073.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)33.639.473.0-5.929%-
vs Weaker (21)41.937.879.7+4.167%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/03
NBB
Cerrado
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A01/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A03/04
NBB
Campo Mourao
#15
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/04
NBB
San Lorenzo
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A10/04
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H11/04
Champions League Americas
Minas
#5
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A29/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H01/05
NBB
72.6Avg total
36.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.534.572.9+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.532.572.0+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)37.436.573.9+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.172.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)30.634.865.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.538.271.8-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)37.335.372.7+2.033%-
vs Weaker (22)39.434.073.4+5.468%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minas wins
2
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
13/04/21Minas v Sao Paulo75-58
25/02/21Sao Paulo v Minas90-92
19/01/21Minas v Sao Paulo70-78
19/12/20Minas v Sao Paulo96-92
08/02/20Minas v Sao Paulo85-87
02/11/19Sao Paulo v Minas75-78
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/21HFranca93-68
01/05/21HFranca72-82
29/04/21AFranca91-85
13/04/21HSao Paulo75-58
12/04/21AReal Esteli95-98
10/04/21AQuimsa87-60
06/04/21HBauru81-79
04/04/21HPinheiros93-61
01/04/21HCearense92-66
25/03/21AFlamengo61-70
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/21HCorinthians Paulista79-68
29/04/21ACorinthians Paulista78-71
13/04/21AMinas58-75
11/04/21HFlamengo66-75
10/04/21ASan Lorenzo78-75
06/04/21ACampo Mourao99-74
03/04/21ACorinthians Paulista85-78
01/04/21ACerrado86-80
15/03/21AUnifacisa90-79
13/03/21HCearense98-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW85%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWWLLW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %85%88%81%
Points / game84.884.585.1
Allowed / game74.772.976.6
Point differential+10.1+11.6+8.5
Avg total159.4157.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%41%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeLLWWW81%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %78%81%75%
Points / game89.489.589.4
Allowed / game77.074.679.3
Point differential+12.5+14.9+10.1
Avg total166.4164.1168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%62%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3230294%89.971.9+17.9
2 Minas3328585%84.874.7+10.1
3 Sao Paulo3225778%89.477.0+12.5
4 Paulistano3324973%76.572.7+3.8
5 Bauru35221363%80.876.1+4.7
6 Corinthians Paulista34191556%77.574.9+2.5
7 Franca35181751%86.082.4+3.5
8 Mogi35171849%80.383.1-2.9
9 Unifacisa33151845%82.581.9+0.6
10 Cearense32141844%75.676.3-0.7
11 Pato32122038%74.683.9-9.3
12 Caxias do Sul3292328%75.780.5-4.9
13 Pinheiros3082227%71.082.9-11.9
14 Cerrado3072323%74.579.9-5.4
15 Campo Mourao3062420%76.087.0-11.0
16 Brasilia3052517%76.690.0-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas1419241370
Sao Paulo2428241288
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