PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Flamengo vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-78
30-23 22-21 22-14 14-20
Position#2
Record26-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game73.5
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
vs
Sao Paulo
Brazil
Position#11
Record15-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game79.5
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Sao Paulo
03 Apr 2025
FLAM105
SAO 86
28 Mar 2024
FLAM88
SAO 78
12 May 2023
FLAM72
SAO 80
01 Apr 2023
FLAM79
SAO 70
02 Apr 2022
FLAM88
SAO 78
22 May 2021
FLAM96
SAO 93
27 Feb 2021
FLAM93
SAO 74
25 Oct 2019
FLAM95
SAO 102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
111-76
111
76
+35
112avg 81
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
W
86-83
86
83
+3
70avg 81
A15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
86-74
86
74
+12
89avg 81
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
77-49
77
49
+28
57avg 81
H29/02
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
113-80
113
80
+33
109avg 81
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
80-67
80
67
+13
73avg 81
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
W
69-67
69
67
+2
63avg 81
H12/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
72-74
72
74
-2
72avg 81
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
88-73
88
73
+15
83avg 81
A21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
81avg 81
H26/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-22
22-12
23-24
35-18
25-19
23-24
22-22
16-18
20-28
19-11
23-14
24-21
20-5
14-12
25-13
18-19
37-22
25-17
30-27
21-14
22-18
19-19
27-17
12-13
15-20
16-7
19-23
19-17
29-19
15-17
11-21
17-17
36-19
16-20
16-12
20-22
18-18
22-18
23-14
18-18
157.4Avg total
86.3Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)84.873.5158.4+11.384%
Season at home (15)86.169.1155.2+17.193%
Season away (16)83.677.8161.3+5.875%
Last 10 (10)86.371.1157.4+15.290%
Last 5 (5)78.069.8147.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)83.080.3163.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)86.174.1160.2+12.088%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
L
82-86
82
86
-4
75avg 72
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Pato
#12
W
80-74
80
74
+6
78avg 72
A07/02
NBB
Nacional
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
89avg 72
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
94-82
94
82
+12
86avg 72
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
90avg 72
A15/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-90
82
90
-8
77avg 72
H17/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
79-74
79
74
+5
78avg 72
H29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
74-67
74
67
+7
72avg 72
H20/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
71-60
71
60
+11
67avg 72
H22/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-83
79
83
-4
73avg 72
A25/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
22-24
17-20
19-20
15-13
21-20
24-15
20-26
15-9
32-22
24-21
22-24
23-15
28-19
15-21
28-27
17-28
27-11
22-23
28-24
19-24
23-14
17-22
23-30
23-30
20-17
14-14
22-13
24-20
20-13
14-22
16-12
11-13
18-20
20-11
22-16
21-20
21-25
15-12
22-26
160.6Avg total
82.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.479.5157.9-1.150%
Season at home (16)78.477.9156.3+0.450%
Season away (14)78.481.2159.6-2.850%
Last 10 (10)82.877.8160.6+5.070%
Last 5 (5)77.074.8151.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.689.6172.1-7.044%
vs Similar (13)81.779.2160.9+2.554%
vs Weaker (8)75.070.8145.8+4.275%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
FlamengoSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Cerrado
#17
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H29/02
NBB
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
62-39
62
39
+23
A04/03
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Sao Jose
#10
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H12/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A21/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/03
NBB
79.1Avg total
44.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.336.280.4+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.934.178.9+10.887%-
Last 30 away (15)43.738.381.9+5.473%-
Last 10 (10)44.434.779.1+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.076.6+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)43.039.382.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)44.036.080.0+8.081%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A29/01
Champions League Americas
Pato
#12
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A07/02
NBB
Nacional
#7
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/02
Champions League Americas
Minas
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H17/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H29/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H22/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A25/03
NBB
80.3Avg total
42.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.479.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.839.979.8-0.135%-
Last 30 away (13)38.441.179.5-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)42.437.980.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.142.384.4-0.244%-
vs Similar (13)39.041.780.7-2.731%-
vs Weaker (8)36.236.272.5+0.038%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.821.0
58.7%
51.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.3
34.9%
33.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.313.1
71.6%
72.6%13.1
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.217.1
54.8%
51.8%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.5
35.6%
33.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.516.3
83.6%
72.6%16.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLWWWWWWW
Sao Paulo
LWWWLWWWWL
#2
League position
#11
+21.5
Net rating
+7.3
118.6
Offensive rating
111.0
97.1
Defensive rating
103.7
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.1%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
35.6%
63.9%
Assist %
60.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.6 · 111.0Defence97.1 · 103.7Shooting55.8% · 54.1%3-point %34.9% · 35.6%Ball care16.4% · 18.4%Off. rebounds34.0% · 26.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Flamengo wins
3
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo70-83
17/05/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo72-69
15/05/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo96-79
12/05/23Flamengo v Sao Paulo72-80
01/04/23Flamengo v Sao Paulo79-70
26/01/23Sao Paulo v Flamengo70-74
20/12/22Sao Paulo v Flamengo66-91
02/04/22Flamengo v Sao Paulo88-78
23/10/21Sao Paulo v Flamengo61-86
27/05/21Sao Paulo v Flamengo85-93
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/24HPaulistano81-68
21/03/24AFranca88-73
19/03/24ABauru72-74
12/03/24HSao Jose69-67
07/03/24HObras Sanitarias80-67
04/03/24AObras Sanitarias113-80
29/02/24HMogi77-49
17/02/24ABrasilia86-74
15/02/24ACerrado86-83
11/02/24HHebraica y Macabi111-76
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24ABotafogo79-83
22/03/24HUniao Corinthians71-60
20/03/24HCaxias do Sul74-67
29/02/24HPinheiros79-74
17/02/24HCorinthians Paulista82-90
15/02/24AMinas94-86
13/02/24HQuimsa94-82
11/02/24HNacional93-76
07/02/24APato80-74
29/01/24ANacional82-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW84%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %84%93%75%
Points / game84.886.183.6
Allowed / game73.569.177.8
Point differential+11.3+17.1+5.8
Avg total158.4155.2161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%73%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (3)83% (6)
Overtime %10%0%19%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWLWWW50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game78.478.478.4
Allowed / game79.577.981.2
Point differential-1.1+0.4-2.8
Avg total157.9156.3159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3126584%87.675.8+11.8
2 Flamengo3126584%84.873.5+11.3
3 Minas3224875%85.873.4+12.3
4 Vasco3123874%76.572.7+3.8
5 Bauru34231168%81.778.8+2.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano31181358%74.871.9+2.9
8 Cearense32181456%79.677.1+2.4
9 Corinthians Paulista31171455%80.979.0+2.0
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pato32141844%78.279.9-1.8
13 Pinheiros31131842%74.678.2-3.5
14 Uniao Corinthians32102231%74.883.7-8.8
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3182326%74.876.7-1.9
17 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3282425%72.080.3-8.2
19 Brasilia3142713%72.988.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo3022221488
Sao Paulo2321142078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.