Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 May 2021

Tip-off: 23:45

Final 92-69

25-15 15-23 29-16 23-15

Position#1

Record30-2

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.9

Allowed / game71.9

Flamengo 🏆

Paulistano

Position#4

Record24-9

FormWWWLW

Points / game76.5

Allowed / game72.7

NBBNBB - Semi-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · Flamengo v Paulistano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Paulistano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Flamengo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

98-85

+13

H18/03

NBB

Minas

70-61

H25/03

Champions League Americas

Instituto de Cordoba

#11

90-80

+10

A26/03

Champions League Americas

Caxias do Sul

#12

77-58

+19

A05/04

NBB

Cerrado

#14

88-57

+31

H07/04

NBB

Caballos de Cocle

74-59

+15

H10/04

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

75-66

A11/04

Champions League Americas

Real Esteli

84-80

A14/04

Champions League Americas

Mogi

109-79

109

+30

A28/04

NBB

Mogi

77-67

+10

H30/04

NBB

24-19

19-23

29-18

26-25

17-15

21-14

12-18

20-14

24-25

24-18

27-14

15-23

15-10

13-14

24-29

25-5

18-15

21-13

36-21

13-8

21-8

14-18

18-16

21-17

24-9

13-14

25-20

13-23

24-25

20-12

23-23

17-20

32-23

24-16

32-19

21-21

28-22

20-14

19-12

10-19

153.4Avg total

84.2Scored

69.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	89.9	71.9	161.8	+17.9	94%
Season at home (16)	92.1	69.6	161.8	+22.5	100%
Season away (16)	87.6	74.2	161.9	+13.4	88%
Last 10 (10)	84.2	69.2	153.4	+15.0	100%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	70.2	154.0	+13.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	81.7	74.3	156.0	+7.3	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	86.7	72.3	159.1	+14.4	96%

This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Paulistano Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

69-62

A09/03

NBB

Unifacisa

81-65

+16

H12/03

NBB

Pato

#11

87-49

+38

A02/04

NBB

Brasilia

#16

70-66

H05/04

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

69-47

+22

A07/04

NBB

Cerrado

#14

75-67

A11/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

97-92 OT

A13/04

NBB

Bauru

78-66

+12

A28/04

NBB

Bauru

77-87

-10

H30/04

NBB

Bauru

78-65

+13

H02/05

NBB

10-6

18-23

20-9

21-24

20-8

20-19

21-23

20-15

22-11

13-15

26-14

26-9

18-23

11-18

16-12

25-13

19-6

19-16

17-22

14-3

21-16

20-10

16-21

18-20

24-14

18-24

15-21

21-19

14-17

25-17

24-14

15-18

21-25

20-22

17-19

19-21

15-15

12-12

17-17

34-21

144.7Avg total

78.1Scored

66.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	76.5	72.7	149.3	+3.8	73%
Season at home (17)	75.4	71.2	146.6	+4.2	82%
Season away (16)	77.8	74.4	152.1	+3.4	62%
Last 10 (10)	78.1	66.6	144.7	+11.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	75.4	156.4	+5.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	68.7	80.2	148.8	-11.5	17%
vs Similar (12)	80.5	79.6	160.1	+0.9	67%
vs Weaker (11)	76.5	64.5	141.1	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FlamengoPaulistano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	17.7	39.6	+4.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	18.6	40.1	+2.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	17.1	39.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	17.4	43.2	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.0	14.7	34.7	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	16.5	33.6	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	16.5	34.7	+1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	16.5	32.5	-0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	14.1	32.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.4	16.3	34.8	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.1	14.6	31.7	+2.5	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	16.3	36.1	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	16.5	38.0	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	16.2	34.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	15.6	34.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	14.8	33.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	14.0	33.3	+5.3	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	19.6	16.5	36.1	+3.1	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	17.6	35.3	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.7	16.4	32.1	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.9	38.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.2	17.7	34.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.0	15.7	32.7	+1.3	64%	-

FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

43-42

H18/03

NBB

Minas

38-29

H25/03

Champions League Americas

Instituto de Cordoba

#11

48-43

A26/03

Champions League Americas

Caxias do Sul

#12

28-24

A05/04

NBB

Cerrado

#14

39-28

+11

H07/04

NBB

Caballos de Cocle

35-26

H10/04

Champions League Americas

Sao Paulo

37-23

+14

A11/04

Champions League Americas

Real Esteli

44-37

A14/04

Champions League Americas

Mogi

56-39

+17

A28/04

NBB

Mogi

48-36

+12

H30/04

NBB

74.3Avg total

41.6Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	34.2	77.6	+9.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.6	34.8	74.4	+4.8	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	32.7	74.3	+8.9	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	32.2	76.2	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.3	28.7	68.0	+10.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	41.6	34.7	76.3	+6.8	73%	-

This opponent (Paulistano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mogi

28-29

-1

A09/03

NBB

Unifacisa

40-27

+13

H12/03

NBB

Pato

#11

35-26

A02/04

NBB

Brasilia

#16

29-41

-12

H05/04

NBB

Pinheiros

#13

38-22

+16

A07/04

NBB

Cerrado

#14

41-26

+15

A11/04

NBB

Cearense

#10

42-38

A13/04

NBB

Bauru

39-34

A28/04

NBB

Bauru

41-47

-6

H30/04

NBB

Bauru

27-27

H02/05

NBB

67.7Avg total

36.0Scored

31.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	34.1	68.9	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	33.9	32.9	66.7	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	35.3	71.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	31.7	67.7	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	34.4	72.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	32.3	36.5	68.8	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	34.1	30.4	64.5	+3.7	64%	-

This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.2	18.5	41.7	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	16.5	38.6	+5.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	20.5	44.9	+3.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.0	41.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	20.3	22.7	43.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	23.6	18.0	41.6	+5.6	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	18.4	36.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.2	20.2	39.3	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (12)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.3	41.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.5	35.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.9	38.7	+2.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	16.3	37.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.7	20.7	37.3	-4.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	15.5	37.1	+6.2	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.1	37.6	81.8	+6.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	34.5	77.0	+8.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	40.8	86.5	+4.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	36.5	79.1	+6.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	38.0	77.8	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	42.3	45.7	88.0	-3.3	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	44.3	36.9	81.2	+7.5	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.9	75.3	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.4	36.7	76.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	37.2	74.6	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	33.5	73.7	+6.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	38.2	77.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.8	40.8	76.7	-5.0	17%	-
vs Similar (12)	37.6	38.9	76.5	-1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	40.7	32.6	73.4	+8.1	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Flamengo wins

Paulistano wins

Date	Game	Score
25/02/21	Paulistano v Flamengo	70-84
10/12/20	Flamengo v Paulistano	104-76
10/02/20	Paulistano v Flamengo	70-86
22/10/19	Flamengo v Paulistano	78-75
01/02/19	Flamengo v Paulistano	95-87
16/11/18	Paulistano v Flamengo	97-84
03/02/18	Flamengo v Paulistano	71-72
14/11/17	Paulistano v Flamengo	72-67
23/02/17	Paulistano v Flamengo	103-96
03/12/16	Flamengo v Paulistano	81-72

Flamengolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/04/21	H	Mogi	77-67
28/04/21	A	Mogi	109-79
14/04/21	A	Real Esteli	84-80
11/04/21	A	Sao Paulo	75-66
10/04/21	H	Caballos de Cocle	74-59
07/04/21	H	Cerrado	88-57
05/04/21	A	Caxias do Sul	77-58
26/03/21	A	Instituto de Cordoba	90-80
25/03/21	H	Minas	70-61
18/03/21	H	Corinthians Paulista	98-85

Paulistanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/05/21	H	Bauru	78-65
30/04/21	H	Bauru	77-87
28/04/21	A	Bauru	78-66
13/04/21	A	Cearense	97-92 OT
11/04/21	A	Cerrado	75-67
07/04/21	A	Pinheiros	69-47
05/04/21	H	Brasilia	70-66
02/04/21	A	Pato	87-49
12/03/21	H	Unifacisa	81-65
09/03/21	A	Mogi	69-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	94%	100%	88%
Points / game	89.9	92.1	87.6
Allowed / game	71.9	69.6	74.2
Point differential	+17.9	+22.5	+13.4
Avg total	161.8	161.8	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	72%	75%	69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (6)	100% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

Paulistano

NBB 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	73%
Home	WWWLW	82%
Away	WWWWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	17	16
Win %	73%	82%	62%
Points / game	76.5	75.4	77.8
Allowed / game	72.7	71.2	74.4
Point differential	+3.8	+4.2	+3.4
Avg total	149.3	146.6	152.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	24%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (9)	100% (7)	100% (2)
Overtime %	15%	12%	19%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Flamengo	32	30	2	94%	89.9	71.9	+17.9
2	Minas	34	28	6	82%	84.3	75.1	+9.3
3	Sao Paulo	33	26	7	79%	89.4	76.8	+12.6
4	Paulistano	33	24	9	73%	76.5	72.7	+3.8
5	Bauru	35	22	13	63%	80.8	76.1	+4.7
6	Corinthians Paulista	34	19	15	56%	77.5	74.9	+2.5
7	Franca	35	18	17	51%	86.0	82.4	+3.5
8	Mogi	35	17	18	49%	80.3	83.1	-2.9
9	Unifacisa	33	15	18	45%	82.5	81.9	+0.6
10	Cearense	32	14	18	44%	75.6	76.3	-0.7
11	Pato	32	12	20	38%	74.6	83.9	-9.3
12	Caxias do Sul	32	9	23	28%	75.7	80.5	-4.9
13	Pinheiros	30	8	22	27%	71.0	82.9	-11.9
14	Cerrado	30	7	23	23%	74.5	79.9	-5.4
15	Campo Mourao	30	6	24	20%	76.0	87.0	-11.0
16	Brasilia	30	5	25	17%	76.6	90.0	-13.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Flamengo	25	15	29	23	92
Paulistano	15	23	16	15	69

← all games of the day

Flamengo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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