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Florida State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-75
41-36 27-39
Position#196
Record12-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game73.3
vs
Position#19
Record16-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida State v North Carolina
13 Jan 2027
FLOR v NORT
upcoming
24 Feb 2025
FLOR85
NORT96
27 Jan 2024
FLOR68
NORT75
27 Feb 2023
FLOR66
NORT77
12 Mar 2021
FLOR69
NORT66
16 Jan 2021
FLOR82
NORT75
03 Feb 2020
FLOR65
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#201
W
91-75
91
75
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H23/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-33
45-42
25-24
42-37
31-46
44-32
32-19
50-52
27-30
50-44
42-41
45-41
33-29
34-29
45-35
39-40
30-30
37-48
35-36
50-33
150.3Avg total
78.2Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.073.3150.3+3.763%
Season at home (12)77.871.7149.5+6.267%
Season away (7)75.676.0151.6-0.457%
Last 10 (10)78.272.1150.3+6.180%
Last 5 (5)78.072.4150.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)70.479.0149.4-8.626%
vs Similar (9)80.869.8150.6+11.078%
vs Weaker (2)81.574.5156.0+7.0100%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A16/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
81-69
81
69
+12
A21/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
105-60
105
60
+45
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
70-57
70
57
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
67-54
67
54
+13
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
103-67
103
67
+36
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-40
45-47
36-28
45-41
51-28
54-32
31-28
39-29
34-34
31-21
30-28
37-26
52-30
51-37
46-29
40-41
34-31
42-35
33-34
52-30
147.0Avg total
82.1Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.569.1152.6+14.584%
Season at home (12)89.169.8158.8+19.392%
Season away (7)74.067.9141.9+6.171%
Last 10 (10)82.164.9147.0+17.290%
Last 5 (5)83.464.2147.6+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (12)74.973.0147.9+1.942%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.265.4147.6+16.994%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +9.7+9.7
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.3+2.31st half: +7.5+7.52nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +9.7+9.7
Florida StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Florida
#201
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#179
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/01
NCAA
66.9Avg total
34.6Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.734.867.5-2.050%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.631.363.9+1.356%-
Last 30 away (12)32.939.972.8-7.042%-
Last 10 (10)34.632.366.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.271.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.936.966.8-7.137%-
vs Similar (9)37.431.869.2+5.767%-
vs Weaker (2)38.527.566.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/12
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/12
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H30/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H13/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H18/01
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/01
NCAA
69.5Avg total
38.5Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.032.869.8+4.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.833.173.9+7.765%-
Last 30 away (13)32.032.564.5-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)38.531.069.5+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.469.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (12)35.333.869.1+1.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.131.569.6+6.571%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
4
North Carolina wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/24ASyracuse85-69
20/01/24HClemson67-78
18/01/24AMiami (FL)84-75
13/01/24ANotre Dame67-58
10/01/24HWake Forest87-82
06/01/24HVirginia Tech77-74
04/01/24HGeorgia Tech82-71
30/12/23HLipscomb75-78
23/12/23HWinthrop67-61
20/12/23HNorth Florida91-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HWake Forest85-64
20/01/24ABoston College76-66
18/01/24HLouisville86-70
13/01/24HSyracuse103-67
11/01/24ANC State67-54
06/01/24AClemson65-55
03/01/24APittsburgh70-57
30/12/23HCharleston Southern105-60
21/12/23AOklahoma81-69
16/12/23AKentucky83-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW63%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %63%67%57%
Points / game77.077.875.6
Allowed / game73.371.776.0
Point differential+3.7+6.2-0.4
Avg total150.3149.5151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%8%0%
North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW84%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %84%92%71%
Points / game83.589.174.0
Allowed / game69.169.867.9
Point differential+14.5+19.3+6.1
Avg total152.6158.8141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+74%75%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina1916384%83.569.1+14.5
2 Duke1814478%81.767.0+14.7
3 Virginia2015575%65.357.6+7.7
4 Clemson1813572%80.773.1+7.7
5 SMU Mustangs1913668%75.762.7+13.1
6 Wake Forest1913668%80.270.6+9.6
7 NC State1913668%76.169.6+6.4
8 Syracuse1913668%75.372.4+2.9
9 Miami (FL)2013765%81.072.2+8.8
10 Pittsburgh1912763%76.366.6+9.6
11 Virginia Tech1912763%73.868.3+5.6
12 Florida State1912763%77.073.3+3.7
13 Boston College2012860%76.272.4+3.8
14 Stanford1910953%78.876.3+2.6
15 Georgia Tech1991047%73.175.1-2.0
16 California2081240%75.576.3-0.8
17 Notre Dame2071335%62.565.3-2.9
18 Louisville2061430%71.877.7-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State412768
North Carolina363975
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