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Florida State vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-76
34-44 33-32
Position#196
Record13-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Duke 🏆
USA
Position#32
Record19-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Florida State v Duke
03 Jan 2026
FLOR87
DUKE91
17 Feb 2024
FLOR67
DUKE76
18 Jan 2022
FLOR79
DUKE78
02 Jan 2021
FLOR v DUKE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H27/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
92-101
92
101
-9
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-41
45-41
33-29
34-29
45-35
39-40
30-30
37-48
35-36
50-33
41-36
27-39
35-47
57-54
37-31
26-31
30-34
46-46
39-39
36-44
152.7Avg total
76.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.574.7151.2+1.854%
Season at home (14)77.072.5149.5+4.557%
Season away (10)75.977.8153.7-1.950%
Last 10 (10)76.476.3152.7+0.150%
Last 5 (5)74.880.2155.0-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.877.6147.3-7.831%
vs Similar (12)78.471.1149.5+7.367%
vs Weaker (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#69
W
75-53
75
53
+22
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
84-93
84
93
-9
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
48-23
27-30
39-39
45-40
34-38
42-42
45-34
38-35
32-26
40-45
35-29
42-38
35-45
49-48
33-25
38-28
36-32
44-33
29-27
48-42
147.8Avg total
77.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.567.7148.2+12.879%
Season at home (16)83.166.6149.7+16.488%
Season away (8)75.469.8145.1+5.662%
Last 10 (10)77.969.9147.8+8.080%
Last 5 (5)77.869.4147.2+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.058.0121.0+5.050%
vs Similar (6)75.369.3144.7+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.066.4147.4+14.686%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.9+0.91st half: +4.8+4.82nd half2nd half: -0.8-0.82nd half: +3.2+3.2
Florida StateDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A07/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/02
NCAA
72.5Avg total
36.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.967.9-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.731.564.2+1.253%-
Last 30 away (13)33.439.372.7-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)36.735.872.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.473.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)30.036.966.9-6.938%-
vs Similar (12)36.932.569.4+4.458%-
vs Weaker (2)33.533.066.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Duke) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#69
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H13/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A30/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A03/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H13/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.6Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.330.666.9+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.031.269.2+6.878%-
Last 30 away (12)33.829.863.5+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)36.631.868.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.665.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.525.055.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (6)34.533.067.5+1.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.330.567.8+6.977%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Florida State wins
3
Duke wins
DateGameScore
31/12/22Duke v Florida State86-67
19/02/22Duke v Florida State88-70
19/01/22Florida State v Duke79-78 OT
11/02/20Duke v Florida State70-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AVirginia Tech75-83
11/02/24HVirginia76-80
07/02/24ABoston College63-62
04/02/24ALouisville92-101
27/01/24HNorth Carolina68-75
24/01/24ASyracuse85-69
20/01/24HClemson67-78
18/01/24AMiami (FL)84-75
13/01/24ANotre Dame67-58
10/01/24HWake Forest87-82
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24HWake Forest77-69
10/02/24HBoston College80-65
08/02/24HNotre Dame71-53
03/02/24ANorth Carolina84-93
30/01/24AVirginia Tech77-67
27/01/24HClemson72-71
24/01/24ALouisville83-69
21/01/24HPittsburgh76-80
13/01/24HGeorgia Tech84-79
10/01/24APittsburgh75-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL54%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %54%57%50%
Points / game76.577.075.9
Allowed / game74.772.577.8
Point differential+1.8+4.5-1.9
Avg total151.2149.5153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Duke
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %79%88%62%
Points / game80.583.175.4
Allowed / game67.766.669.8
Point differential+12.8+16.4+5.6
Avg total148.2149.7145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2419579%80.567.7+12.8
2 Virginia2620677%65.057.9+7.1
3 North Carolina2519676%82.371.0+11.3
4 SMU Mustangs2518772%76.665.2+11.5
5 Clemson2417771%78.971.7+7.2
6 Pittsburgh2416867%75.266.5+8.7
7 Wake Forest2516964%79.069.8+9.2
8 Syracuse2516964%76.074.7+1.4
9 NC State2415962%75.470.6+4.8
10 Virginia Tech24141058%74.369.7+4.7
11 Boston College24141058%75.872.6+3.2
12 Miami (FL)26151158%77.472.0+5.3
13 Florida State24131154%76.574.7+1.8
14 Stanford24121250%78.276.2+2.1
15 California25101540%74.676.2-1.6
16 Georgia Tech25101540%71.175.6-4.4
17 Notre Dame2591636%61.965.3-3.4
18 Louisville2581732%74.078.6-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State343367
Duke443276
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