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Louisville vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 101-92
47-35 54-57
Position#348
Record6-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#196
Record12-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Louisville v Florida State
22 Feb 2025
LOUI89
FLOR81
03 Feb 2024
LOUI101
FLOR92
04 Feb 2023
LOUI78
FLOR81
18 Jan 2021
LOUI65
FLOR78
04 Jan 2020
LOUI65
FLOR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
76-95
76
95
-19
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
65-90
65
90
-25
A20/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-53
43-42
22-37
31-40
34-40
36-43
37-41
43-30
35-44
48-45
29-46
41-40
33-48
32-42
34-45
35-38
13-41
39-28
22-34
42-36
149.5Avg total
68.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)71.577.3148.8-5.829%
Season at home (14)73.877.1150.9-3.336%
Season away (7)66.977.7144.6-10.914%
Last 10 (10)68.281.3149.5-13.110%
Last 5 (5)64.079.6143.6-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)69.179.3148.4-10.215%
vs Similar (2)81.576.0157.5+5.5100%
vs Weaker (2)64.558.0122.5+6.550%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#179
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H23/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
68-75
68
75
-7
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-24
42-37
31-46
44-32
32-19
50-52
27-30
50-44
42-41
45-41
33-29
34-29
45-35
39-40
30-30
37-48
35-36
50-33
41-36
27-39
148.0Avg total
75.9Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.573.3149.9+3.260%
Season at home (13)77.171.9149.0+5.262%
Season away (7)75.676.0151.6-0.457%
Last 10 (10)75.972.1148.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)74.271.0145.2+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.778.6148.3-8.926%
vs Similar (9)80.869.8150.6+11.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)81.574.5156.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: -13.7-13.71st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +2.3+2.3
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: -13.7-13.71st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +2.3+2.3
LouisvilleFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kentucky
#50
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H21/12
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A04/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H06/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H13/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/01
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H24/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
L
13-41
13
41
-28
H27/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A31/01
NCAA
72.1Avg total
29.2Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.337.667.9-7.320%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.035.966.9-4.924%-
Last 30 away (13)29.539.869.2-10.315%-
Last 10 (10)29.242.972.1-13.70%-
Last 5 (5)26.242.869.0-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.038.969.9-7.919%-
vs Similar (2)25.028.553.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (2)27.029.556.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winthrop
#179
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H23/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#105
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H30/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H06/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#119
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H10/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Clemson
#74
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A24/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H27/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.1Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.034.967.8-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.031.564.5+1.556%-
Last 30 away (12)32.939.972.8-7.042%-
Last 10 (10)34.132.666.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.270.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)30.337.167.4-6.837%-
vs Similar (9)37.431.869.2+5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)38.527.566.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
6
Florida State wins
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24AClemson64-70
27/01/24HVirginia52-69
24/01/24HDuke69-83
20/01/24AWake Forest65-90
18/01/24ANorth Carolina70-86
13/01/24HNC State83-89
11/01/24AMiami (FL)80-71
06/01/24HPittsburgh70-83
04/01/24AVirginia53-77
21/12/23HKentucky76-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24HNorth Carolina68-75
24/01/24ASyracuse85-69
20/01/24HClemson67-78
18/01/24AMiami (FL)84-75
13/01/24ANotre Dame67-58
10/01/24HWake Forest87-82
06/01/24HVirginia Tech77-74
04/01/24HGeorgia Tech82-71
30/12/23HLipscomb75-78
23/12/23HWinthrop67-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %29%36%14%
Points / game71.573.866.9
Allowed / game77.377.177.7
Point differential-5.8-3.3-10.9
Avg total148.8150.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %5%7%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %60%62%57%
Points / game76.577.175.6
Allowed / game73.371.976.0
Point differential+3.2+5.2-0.4
Avg total149.9149.0151.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%31%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina2218482%83.169.9+13.2
2 Virginia2217577%65.457.8+7.6
3 Duke2116576%81.168.4+12.7
4 NC State2215768%75.770.2+5.5
5 SMU Mustangs2114767%75.864.0+11.8
6 Wake Forest2114767%80.770.9+9.8
7 Clemson2114767%79.072.2+6.8
8 Miami (FL)2315865%80.172.2+7.9
9 Pittsburgh2214864%75.666.8+8.8
10 Syracuse2214864%75.173.6+1.5
11 Boston College2113862%76.472.5+3.9
12 Florida State2012860%76.573.3+3.2
13 Virginia Tech2213959%74.369.2+5.1
14 Stanford2011955%78.575.5+2.9
15 Georgia Tech22101245%73.076.0-3.0
16 California2291341%75.376.5-1.2
17 Notre Dame2271532%61.965.5-3.6
18 Louisville2161529%71.577.3-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville4754101
Florida State355792
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