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Florida State vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-83
33-37 42-46
Position#342
Record8-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#72
Record17-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Florida State v Pittsburgh
30 Jan 2027
FLOR v PITT
upcoming
15 Jan 2025
FLOR82
PITT70
11 Feb 2023
FLOR75
PITT83
09 Feb 2022
FLOR51
PITT56
18 Feb 2020
FLOR82
PITT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
75-90
75
90
-15
A12/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
58-67
58
67
-9
H14/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
66-94
66
94
-28
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H09/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
36-28
35-44
40-46
25-33
33-34
39-29
45-42
39-29
32-35
28-54
35-32
34-33
47-49
27-49
39-45
45-36
36-42
35-29
32-47
149.3Avg total
72.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.075.3145.3-5.332%
Season at home (14)72.474.6147.1-2.236%
Season away (11)66.976.2143.1-9.327%
Last 10 (10)72.177.2149.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)71.683.2154.8-11.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.575.9145.4-6.429%
vs Similar (4)66.276.5142.8-10.250%
vs Weaker (2)78.065.5143.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A14/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-54
75
54
+21
A19/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H21/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H26/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
65-64
65
64
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
91-57
91
57
+34
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
23-33
45-32
40-38
34-37
43-32
26-45
38-34
33-26
37-28
38-26
29-39
35-32
49-39
32-40
28-33
43-35
34-33
31-31
47-27
44-30
139.9Avg total
72.9Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.667.5142.1+7.071%
Season at home (15)75.368.0143.3+7.373%
Season away (9)73.366.8140.1+6.667%
Last 10 (10)72.967.0139.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)74.467.8142.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.276.4135.6-17.220%
vs Similar (15)71.170.0141.1+1.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.563.9142.4+14.680%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.6-2.61st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +2.7+2.7
Florida StatePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/01
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H25/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H28/01
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A04/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H09/02
NCAA
71.8Avg total
34.6Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.135.969.0-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.336.872.1-1.547%-
Last 30 away (13)30.234.865.0-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.271.8-2.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.274.0-6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.836.168.9-3.342%-
vs Similar (4)31.237.568.8-6.225%-
vs Weaker (2)40.530.070.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#36
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A12/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A19/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H21/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H26/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H28/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A02/02
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
36.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.733.567.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.235.368.5-2.237%-
Last 30 away (11)34.730.465.1+4.473%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.670.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.271.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)25.834.059.8-8.220%-
vs Similar (15)34.233.968.1+0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)37.032.769.7+4.360%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
1
Pittsburgh wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/23HSyracuse67-76
04/02/23ALouisville81-78
02/02/23ANC State66-94
28/01/23HClemson81-82
25/01/23HMiami (FL)63-86
21/01/23APittsburgh71-64
18/01/23ANotre Dame84-71
14/01/23HVirginia58-67
12/01/23AWake Forest75-90
07/01/23HGeorgia Tech75-64
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HLouisville91-57
02/02/23ANorth Carolina65-64
28/01/23HMiami (FL)71-68
26/01/23HWake Forest81-79
21/01/23HFlorida State64-71
19/01/23ALouisville75-54
14/01/23AGeorgia Tech71-60
12/01/23ADuke69-77
07/01/23HClemson74-75
04/01/23HVirginia68-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayLWWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game70.072.466.9
Allowed / game75.374.676.2
Point differential-5.3-2.2-9.3
Avg total145.3147.1143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24159
Win %71%73%67%
Points / game74.675.373.3
Allowed / game67.568.066.8
Point differential+7.0+7.3+6.6
Avg total142.1143.3140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia2218482%70.060.4+9.6
2 NC State2519676%78.469.3+9.1
3 Clemson2418675%73.867.1+6.7
4 Duke2417771%71.964.1+7.8
5 Pittsburgh2417771%74.667.5+7.0
6 Wake Forest2516964%78.073.2+4.8
7 North Carolina2415962%77.972.2+5.7
8 Syracuse25151060%74.670.3+4.3
9 Virginia Tech24141058%74.068.1+5.9
10 Miami (FL)48272156%76.472.6+3.8
11 Boston College25121348%66.569.7-3.2
12 Stanford24101442%68.466.4+2.0
13 Notre Dame24101442%70.371.9-1.5
14 Georgia Tech2491538%67.271.0-3.8
15 SMU Mustangs2591636%69.474.1-4.7
16 Florida State2581732%70.075.3-5.3
17 California2432112%59.168.7-9.5
18 Louisville2432112%63.175.4-12.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State334275
Pittsburgh374683
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