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North Carolina vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-67
46-30 46-37
Position#19
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#196
Record17-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game75.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · North Carolina v Florida State
30 Dec 2025
NORT79
FLOR66
14 Mar 2024
NORT92
FLOR67
02 Dec 2023
NORT78
FLOR70
12 Feb 2022
NORT94
FLOR74
27 Feb 2021
NORT78
FLOR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
96-81
96
81
+15
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H02/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
84-51
84
51
+33
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-35
48-49
34-43
42-37
40-41
35-31
42-42
37-44
50-39
46-42
26-16
28-28
37-32
38-39
37-45
42-25
41-25
43-26
40-31
44-48
151.3Avg total
79.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.670.1151.7+11.581%
Season at home (18)87.370.8158.1+16.689%
Season away (13)73.769.1142.8+4.669%
Last 10 (10)79.571.8151.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)75.263.0138.2+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.087.0163.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)85.877.2163.0+8.783%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)80.667.5148.0+13.183%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A14/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H17/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A25/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A02/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
46-46
39-39
36-44
34-44
33-32
43-43
41-33
28-38
35-36
41-33
49-50
41-44
35-41
31-42
42-46
37-32
46-43
36-37
50-39
156.9Avg total
77.3Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.875.8152.7+1.053%
Season at home (18)77.973.6151.5+4.361%
Season away (14)75.578.6154.1-3.143%
Last 10 (10)77.379.6156.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)81.681.4163.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.077.2148.2-6.229%
vs Similar (13)79.073.4152.4+5.677%
vs Weaker (3)83.385.7169.0-2.333%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +3.4+3.42nd half: +0.3+0.3
North CarolinaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#32
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H03/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H17/02
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
26-16
26
16
+10
A24/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H27/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H06/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A09/03
NCAA
74.1Avg total
39.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.834.273.0+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.234.475.6+6.865%-
Last 30 away (13)35.633.969.5+1.746%-
Last 10 (10)39.234.974.1+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.229.866.0+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.044.083.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)41.334.575.8+6.867%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)38.133.771.8+4.457%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#66
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A14/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/02
NCAA
Boston College
#169
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A25/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A13/03
NCAA
74.6Avg total
36.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.735.168.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.132.665.6+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)34.538.072.5-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.038.674.6-2.620%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.674.8-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.736.467.1-5.736%-
vs Similar (13)36.533.369.8+3.254%-
vs Weaker (3)36.036.772.7-0.733%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
North Carolina wins
3
Florida State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ADuke84-79
06/03/24HNotre Dame84-51
02/03/24HNC State79-70
27/02/24HMiami (FL)75-71
24/02/24AVirginia54-44
17/02/24HVirginia Tech96-81
14/02/24ASyracuse79-86
10/02/24AMiami (FL)75-72
07/02/24HClemson76-80
03/02/24HDuke93-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/24AVirginia Tech86-76
09/03/24HMiami (FL)83-75
06/03/24APittsburgh73-88
02/03/24AGeorgia Tech76-85
28/02/24HNC State90-83
25/02/24AClemson63-74
21/02/24HBoston College84-76
17/02/24HDuke67-76
14/02/24AVirginia Tech75-83
11/02/24HVirginia76-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeLWWWW89%
AwayLWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %81%89%69%
Points / game81.687.373.7
Allowed / game70.170.869.1
Point differential+11.5+16.6+4.6
Avg total151.7158.1142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%61%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeLLWWW61%
AwayLLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %53%61%43%
Points / game76.877.975.5
Allowed / game75.873.678.6
Point differential+1.0+4.3-3.1
Avg total152.7151.5154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3125681%81.670.1+11.5
2 Duke3124777%80.267.2+13.0
3 Virginia3122971%63.559.1+4.3
4 Pittsburgh31211068%75.867.5+8.3
5 Clemson32211166%77.471.3+6.1
6 SMU Mustangs31201165%76.967.6+9.3
7 Wake Forest32201262%78.570.1+8.3
8 Syracuse32201262%76.375.6+0.7
9 NC State33191458%76.372.9+3.4
10 Boston College33191458%75.072.3+2.7
11 Virginia Tech32181456%75.071.1+3.9
12 Florida State32171553%76.875.8+1.0
13 Miami (FL)33151845%75.473.6+1.8
14 Stanford31141745%76.876.4+0.4
15 Georgia Tech32141844%71.075.2-4.2
16 California32131941%74.077.0-3.1
17 Notre Dame33132039%64.067.2-3.1
18 Louisville3282425%72.079.1-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina464692
Florida State303767
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