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Florida vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-76
37-40 41-36
Position#28
Record1-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game78.5
Florida 🏆
USA
vs
Florida State
USA
Position#167
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida v Florida State
11 Nov 2025
FLOR78
FLOR76
17 Nov 2023
FLOR89
FLOR68
14 Nov 2021
FLOR71
FLOR55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H15/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H16/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H23/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H27/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H29/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A05/04
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/04
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A04/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
104-64
104
64
+40
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-45
57-37
39-30
47-47
53-32
42-37
31-31
46-44
40-38
47-33
40-37
44-42
38-46
41-27
28-31
37-32
46-50
41-43
52-28
52-36
161.4Avg total
86.8Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.578.5174.0+17.050%
Season at home (1)104.064.0168.0+40.0100%
Season away (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)86.874.6161.4+12.290%
Last 5 (5)83.874.4158.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)82.076.7158.7+5.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.070.9155.8+14.183%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
19-36
27-36
31-31
43-35
31-45
50-44
43-49
42-47
30-47
35-53
28-27
29-33
33-32
43-37
26-30
36-36
58-44
50-32
46-30
55-34
151.3Avg total
75.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)104.570.0174.5+34.5100%
Season at home (2)104.570.0174.5+34.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.575.8151.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)80.867.0147.8+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.082.1153.1-11.125%
vs Similar (12)74.271.3145.6+2.958%
vs Weaker (10)84.068.0152.0+16.070%
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +2.3+2.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -2.6-2.62nd half2nd half: +7.6+7.62nd half: +2.3+2.3
FloridaFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#23
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H16/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#64
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H21/03
NCAA
Uconn
#63
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H23/03
NCAA
Maryland
#35
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/03
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/04
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A08/04
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H07/11
NCAA
78.2Avg total
41.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.974.1+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.932.474.4+9.583%-
Last 30 away (12)35.038.773.7-3.725%-
Last 10 (10)41.436.878.2+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.838.479.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)39.033.772.6+5.362%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#22
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
34.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.032.666.6+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.331.867.1+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)32.233.665.8-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)34.537.171.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.232.670.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.038.571.5-5.525%-
vs Similar (12)31.429.360.8+2.167%-
vs Weaker (10)37.831.869.6+6.070%-
This opponent (Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida wins
1
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
15/11/24Florida State v Florida74-87
18/11/23Florida v Florida State89-68
19/11/22Florida State v Florida67-76
14/11/21Florida v Florida State71-55
12/12/20Florida State v Florida83-71
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25HNorth Florida104-64
04/11/25AArizona87-93
08/04/25AHouston65-63
05/04/25AAuburn79-73
29/03/25HTexas Tech84-79
27/03/25HMaryland87-71
23/03/25HUconn77-75
21/03/25HNorfolk State95-69
16/03/25HTennessee86-77
15/03/25HAlabama104-82
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HAlabama State101-64
05/11/25HAlcorn State108-76
11/03/25HSyracuse62-66
08/03/25HSMU Mustangs76-69
05/03/25AVirginia57-60
02/03/25ADuke65-100
25/02/25HNorth Carolina85-96
22/02/25ALouisville81-89
20/02/25HMiami (FL)74-66
15/02/25HClemson46-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game95.5104.087.0
Allowed / game78.564.093.0
Point differential+17.0+40.0-6.0
Avg total174.0168.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game104.5104.5-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+34.5+34.5-
Avg total174.5174.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia330100%106.056.3+49.7
2 Kentucky220100%92.055.0+37.0
3 LSU220100%94.559.0+35.5
4 Vanderbilt220100%105.077.0+28.0
5 Tennessee220100%85.558.5+27.0
6 Ole Miss220100%87.061.5+25.5
7 Auburn220100%95.073.5+21.5
8 Missouri330100%94.373.0+21.3
9 Mississippi St.220100%91.071.0+20.0
10 Alabama220100%97.079.0+18.0
11 South Carolina220100%87.075.5+11.5
12 Texas A&M32167%88.375.0+13.3
13 Florida21150%95.578.5+17.0
14 Arkansas21150%87.573.0+14.5
15 Texas21150%78.567.5+11.0
16 Oklahoma21150%85.074.5+10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville220100%105.057.5+47.5
2 Clemson220100%92.548.5+44.0
3 Syracuse220100%84.045.0+39.0
4 NC State220100%104.068.0+36.0
5 Florida State220100%104.570.0+34.5
6 Miami (FL)330100%96.363.7+32.7
7 Duke220100%85.057.0+28.0
8 Notre Dame220100%95.568.5+27.0
9 North Carolina220100%90.564.0+26.5
10 Virginia220100%84.057.5+26.5
11 California330100%85.764.0+21.7
12 Virginia Tech220100%102.584.0+18.5
13 Stanford220100%90.073.5+16.5
14 SMU Mustangs220100%82.567.0+15.5
15 Pittsburgh330100%76.761.7+15.0
16 Georgia Tech330100%66.752.3+14.3
17 Wake Forest32167%84.374.7+9.7
18 Boston College21150%77.065.0+12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida374178
Florida State403676
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