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Kentucky vs Mississippi St. Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-77
47-29 43-48
Position#50
Record12-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game76.0
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
Mississippi St.
USA
Position#130
Record12-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kentucky v Mississippi St.
10 Jan 2026
KENT92
MISS68
17 Jan 2024
KENT90
MISS77
25 Jan 2022
KENT82
MISS74
11 Mar 2021
KENT73
MISS74
04 Feb 2020
KENT80
MISS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mississippi St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#289
W
118-82
118
82
+36
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H02/12
NCAA
Penn
#295
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H09/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
96-70
96
70
+26
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
90-77
90
77
+13
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
69-41
49-41
42-37
53-36
33-41
40-39
–
–
40-38
47-45
53-33
42-43
45-30
51-40
37-45
50-40
47-42
43-35
45-46
44-43
170.3Avg total
91.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.876.0166.8+14.880%
Season at home (12)90.773.5164.2+17.283%
Season away (3)91.386.0177.3+5.367%
Last 10 (10)91.478.9170.3+12.580%
Last 5 (5)92.081.0173.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (13)77.074.8151.8+2.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.471.6157.9+14.875%
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
106-76
106
76
+30
H09/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H17/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
77-72
77
72
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-39
33-28
31-28
28-32
–
–
53-41
32-40
36-32
36-22
29-29
41-31
41-22
44-40
28-30
34-38
35-22
42-50
38-40
36-42
143.1Avg total
74.9Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.264.8140.1+10.475%
Season at home (12)78.164.8142.9+13.283%
Season away (4)66.864.8131.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)74.968.2143.1+6.760%
Last 5 (5)73.668.8142.4+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)63.072.0135.0-9.050%
vs Similar (17)71.665.8137.4+5.859%
vs Weaker (11)72.561.3133.8+11.391%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.4+6.41st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: +0.3+0.3
KentuckyMississippi St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#289
W
69-41
69
41
+28
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H29/11
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#60
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/12
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A21/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H30/12
NCAA
Florida
#73
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A06/01
NCAA
Missouri
#345
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A13/01
NCAA
84.9Avg total
45.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.035.275.2+4.762%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.434.776.1+6.674%-
Last 30 away (10)37.336.273.5+1.140%-
Last 10 (9)45.739.284.9+6.467%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.284.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.019.058.0+20.0100%-
vs Similar (13)37.035.872.8+1.254%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.635.878.4+6.867%-
This opponent (Mississippi St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mississippi St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#265
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#166
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H03/12
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/12
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#241
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A23/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#194
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H31/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#26
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A06/01
NCAA
Tennessee
#33
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H11/01
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H14/01
NCAA
66.7Avg total
35.2Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.729.863.6+3.966%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.728.864.5+6.978%-
Last 30 away (11)30.531.562.0-1.145%-
Last 10 (9)35.231.466.7+3.856%-
Last 5 (5)34.228.662.8+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)28.031.559.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (16)33.230.463.6+2.862%-
vs Weaker (11)35.528.764.3+6.873%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kentucky wins
1
Mississippi St. wins
DateGameScore
16/02/23Mississippi St. v Kentucky68-71
26/01/22Kentucky v Mississippi St.82-74 OT
11/03/21Kentucky v Mississippi St.73-74
02/01/21Mississippi St. v Kentucky73-78 OT
05/02/20Kentucky v Mississippi St.80-72
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24ATexas A&M92-97 OT
10/01/24HMissouri90-77
06/01/24AFlorida87-85
30/12/23HIllinois State96-70
21/12/23ALouisville95-76
16/12/23HNorth Carolina87-83
09/12/23HPenn81-66
02/12/23HNC Wilmington73-80
29/11/23HMiami (FL)95-73
25/11/23HMarshall118-82
Mississippi St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/24HAlabama74-82
11/01/24HTennessee77-72
06/01/24ASouth Carolina62-68
31/12/23HBethune-Cookman85-62
23/12/23ARutgers70-60
17/12/23HNorth Texas72-54
14/12/23HMurray State85-81
09/12/23HTulane106-76
03/12/23HSouthern Univ.59-60
29/11/23AGeorgia Tech59-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %80%83%67%
Points / game90.890.791.3
Allowed / game76.073.586.0
Point differential+14.8+17.2+5.3
Avg total166.8164.2177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %13%8%33%
Mississippi St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL75%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16124
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game75.278.166.8
Allowed / game64.864.864.8
Point differential+10.4+13.2+2.0
Avg total140.1142.9131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ole Miss1615194%77.669.5+8.1
2 Auburn1614288%84.165.7+18.4
3 South Carolina1714382%72.764.6+8.1
4 Oklahoma1613381%80.165.2+14.9
5 Kentucky1512380%90.876.0+14.8
6 Tennessee1713476%79.166.0+13.1
7 Georgia1713476%75.570.0+5.5
8 Texas1612475%77.766.4+11.2
9 Mississippi St.1612475%75.264.8+10.4
10 Alabama1712571%90.273.9+16.3
11 Florida1711665%85.276.5+8.6
12 LSU1610662%76.369.5+6.8
13 Texas A&M1710759%74.868.8+6.0
14 Arkansas1710759%78.477.6+0.8
15 Missouri178947%75.573.9+1.6
16 Vanderbilt1651131%68.171.7-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky474390
Mississippi St.294877
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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