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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-96
25-26 17-32 27-22 15-16
Position#11
Record3-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#5
Record4-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game83.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita Olimpija
12 Dec 2026
FBE v COL
upcoming
22 Sep 2024
FBE75
COL62
11 Nov 2023
FBE84
COL96
06 May 2023
FBE102
COL96
11 Feb 2023
FBE79
COL86
22 Apr 2022
FBE75
COL77
30 Dec 2020
FBE91
COL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#5
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 80
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
61avg 80
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
71avg 80
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
L
71-73
71
73
-2
60avg 80
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
85avg 80
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 80
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 80
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 80
H23/10
ABA League
Split
#8
W
84-66
84
66
+18
80avg 80
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 80
A06/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
18-18
29-17
24-19
16-29
12-24
21-20
21-21
27-23
9-20
19-18
17-21
21-23
18-12
21-14
11-24
18-27
26-26
24-21
15-9
22-20
21-31
27-14
23-24
21-19
13-17
20-19
19-28
16-21
17-20
23-20
16-22
25-21
19-10
19-23
21-12
13-16
18-20
20-21
23-16
161.4Avg total
80.2Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.282.2164.3+0.050%
Season at home (4)81.582.8164.2-1.225%
Season away (2)83.581.0164.5+2.5100%
Last 10 (10)80.281.2161.4-1.040%
Last 5 (5)79.278.8158.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.087.2165.2-9.225%
vs Similar (10)87.182.3169.4+4.870%
vs Weaker (10)90.885.4176.2+5.440%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
40avg 79
A08/10
ABA League
Joventut Badalona
#8
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
76avg 79
H11/10
Eurocup
Split
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
91avg 79
H14/10
ABA League
Besiktas
#10
L
66-73
66
73
-7
54avg 79
A18/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
64avg 79
A22/10
ABA League
Prometey
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
77avg 79
H25/10
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-93
102
93
+9
103avg 79
H28/10
ABA League
BC Wolves
#14
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 79
H31/10
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
74avg 79
H04/11
ABA League
Venezia
#12
L
87-95
87
95
-8
82avg 79
A07/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
14-31
8-27
18-17
18-20
25-12
10-19
23-25
27-23
28-9
16-16
26-20
17-20
21-23
14-16
14-14
24-20
16-22
12-21
20-20
26-18
19-29
20-25
18-18
27-18
24-21
21-24
30-30
18-22
17-26
21-15
22-23
20-25
25-14
20-17
17-22
27-21
20-21
25-20
15-33
165.3Avg total
80.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.283.8166.0-1.767%
Season at home (4)92.581.5174.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)61.588.5150.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)80.584.8165.3-4.330%
Last 5 (5)86.488.4174.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.388.2163.5-12.910%
vs Similar (10)89.983.9173.8+6.070%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.972.2155.1+10.778%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
FMP BeogradCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H23/10
ABA League
Split
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H27/10
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A06/11
ABA League
78.8Avg total
37.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.384.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.441.085.4+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)39.344.183.4-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)37.541.378.8-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.076.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.542.882.2-3.238%-
vs Similar (10)41.243.584.7-2.340%-
vs Weaker (10)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A08/10
ABA League
Joventut Badalona
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/10
Eurocup
Split
#8
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H14/10
ABA League
Besiktas
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A18/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A22/10
ABA League
Prometey
#7
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/10
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H28/10
ABA League
BC Wolves
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H31/10
Eurocup
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/11
ABA League
Venezia
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
Eurocup
83.8Avg total
42.4Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.040.583.5+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.638.685.2+8.082%-
Last 30 away (13)38.443.081.4-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)42.441.483.8+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.087.6+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.142.980.0-5.830%-
vs Similar (10)47.641.388.9+6.380%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.837.782.4+7.178%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.0
54.5%
54.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.5
32.1%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
73.8%15.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.2
52.8%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.2
29.4%
34.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws18.314.7
80.3%
73.8%14.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLLWLLLLW
Cedevita Olimpija
LWLWLLLWLL
#11
League position
#5
+0.4
Net rating
-5.0
106.4
Offensive rating
102.5
106.0
Defensive rating
107.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
19.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.1%
3-point %
29.4%
65.6%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 102.5Defence106.0 · 107.5Shooting52.1% · 50.0%3-point %32.1% · 29.4%Ball care18.0% · 19.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 29.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Beograd wins
6
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23AIgokea74-73
27/10/23HSplit84-66
23/10/23HCrvena zvezda72-83
16/10/23HMega Basket73-83
09/10/23ACibona93-89
02/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto97-99 OT
27/09/23HVarese71-73
11/06/23HCrvena zvezda72-82
09/06/23ACrvena zvezda70-94
07/06/23HMega Basket96-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23AVenezia87-95
04/11/23HBorac Mozzart82-78
31/10/23HBC Wolves78-86
28/10/23HStudentski Centar102-93
25/10/23HPrometey83-90
22/10/23AIgokea72-83
18/10/23ABesiktas66-73
14/10/23HSplit97-68
11/10/23HJoventut Badalona87-88 OT
08/10/23ACrvena zvezda51-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%25%100%
Points / game82.281.583.5
Allowed / game82.282.881.0
Point differential+0.0-1.2+2.5
Avg total164.3164.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game82.292.561.5
Allowed / game83.881.588.5
Point differential-1.7+11.0-27.0
Avg total166.0174.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan65183%93.771.5+22.2
2 Crvena zvezda65183%88.876.2+12.7
3 Buducnost65183%87.375.7+11.7
4 Igokea64267%79.277.2+2.0
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%82.283.8-1.7
6 Studentski Centar74357%84.782.3+2.4
7 Zadar63350%83.379.7+3.7
8 Mega Basket63350%84.882.0+2.8
9 FMP Beograd63350%82.282.2+0.0
10 Borac Mozzart73443%79.080.6-1.6
11 Split61517%70.781.5-10.8
12 Cibona61517%76.288.5-12.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto61517%75.388.8-13.5
14 Mornar Bar61517%72.289.8-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2517271584
Cedevita Olimpija2632221696
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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