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FMP Beograd vs Cedevita Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-96
26-17 24-28 24-22 28-29
Position#5
Record14-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#4
Record18-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.4
EuropeABA LeagueABA League - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Cedevita Olimpija
12 Dec 2026
FBE v COL
upcoming
22 Sep 2024
FBE75
COL62
11 Nov 2023
FBE84
COL96
06 May 2023
FBE102
COL96
11 Feb 2023
FBE79
COL86
22 Apr 2022
FBE75
COL77
30 Dec 2020
FBE91
COL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cedevita Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
L
82-87
82
87
-5
71avg 83
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
66avg 83
A11/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
112-87
112
87
+25
101avg 83
H17/03
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
99-110 OT
99
110
-11
no box
A27/03
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
84avg 83
H03/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
61avg 83
A10/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
101-76
101
76
+25
90avg 83
H15/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
98-80
98
80
+18
94avg 83
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 83
A29/04
ABA League
Zlatibor
#9
W
112-81
112
81
+31
114avg 83
H03/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
21-22
18-30
26-22
18-22
15-23
18-14
19-18
28-29
28-20
27-24
29-14
23-29
27-21
20-21
22-21
18-24
25-25
23-25
25-23
18-28
15-12
17-22
24-22
25-18
22-17
29-12
25-29
26-24
30-17
14-14
28-25
24-23
16-26
16-15
21-23
25-21
24-26
37-20
26-14
178.2Avg total
91.6Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.586.4175.9+3.152%
Season at home (13)95.583.7179.2+11.877%
Season away (14)83.988.9172.8-4.929%
Last 10 (10)91.686.6178.2+5.040%
Last 5 (5)92.481.6174.0+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)87.089.0176.0-2.043%
vs Weaker (17)93.583.8177.3+9.671%
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
78avg 79
A15/03
Eurocup
Cibona
#11
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 79
H18/03
ABA League
Brescia
#13
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A21/03
Eurocup
Partizan
#1
L
73-76
73
76
-3
65avg 79
A26/03
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
61avg 79
H29/03
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
68avg 79
H04/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
L
75-78
75
78
-3
65avg 79
A11/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
82avg 79
H15/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
60avg 79
H24/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
87-77
87
77
+10
81avg 79
H29/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
15-23
20-19
24-25
22-26
25-15
18-19
26-25
16-24
20-28
21-17
25-15
23-17
23-27
20-20
7-12
17-20
27-15
13-29
18-24
19-23
15-21
24-15
26-24
21-23
24-21
25-17
5-17
26-11
17-23
19-18
23-18
10-19
20-24
22-23
18-18
23-24
26-16
15-16
23-21
162.9Avg total
80.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.979.4164.3+5.467%
Season at home (14)86.479.7166.1+6.779%
Season away (13)83.279.2162.4+4.154%
Last 10 (10)80.782.2162.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)80.278.4158.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.590.6172.1-9.29%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.077.2159.2+4.867%
vs Weaker (13)84.377.8162.1+6.577%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.4-0.4
FMP BeogradCedevita Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/03
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A11/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H17/03
ABA League
Cibona
#11
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A27/03
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H03/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H25/04
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A29/04
ABA League
Zlatibor
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/05
Super League
88.5Avg total
44.5Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.887.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.242.190.4+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.543.684.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.088.5+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.042.487.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.045.885.8-5.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.445.991.3-0.457%-
vs Weaker (17)45.441.286.6+4.259%-
This opponent (Cedevita Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cedevita OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#6
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A15/03
Eurocup
Cibona
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H18/03
ABA League
Brescia
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/03
Eurocup
Partizan
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A26/03
ABA League
JL Bourg
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H29/03
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#8
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H04/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A11/04
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H15/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H24/04
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#5
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/04
ABA League
84.5Avg total
41.5Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.283.9-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.340.783.0+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)41.343.484.8-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.543.084.5-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.241.081.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.747.589.3-5.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.236.777.8+4.567%-
vs Weaker (13)42.140.282.2+1.969%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.2
54.7%
55.6%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.8
33.2%
35.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.418.8
74.0%
75.8%18.8
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cedevita Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Olimpija: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.7
56.2%
55.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.3
29.7%
35.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.6
76.0%
75.8%14.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WLWWLLLWLL
Cedevita Olimpija
WLWLWLLLWL
#5
League position
#4
+7.2
Net rating
-1.4
113.3
Offensive rating
104.5
106.2
Defensive rating
106.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
29.7%
59.0%
Assist %
61.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 104.5Defence106.2 · 106.0Shooting53.0% · 50.5%3-point %33.2% · 29.7%Ball care16.2% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.8% · 24.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Cedevita Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Beograd wins
5
Cedevita Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/23HZlatibor112-81
29/04/23ACedevita Olimpija77-87
25/04/23HSpartak Subotica98-80
15/04/23HMornar Bar101-76
10/04/23AStudentski Centar74-84
03/04/23HPartizan91-97
27/03/23ACibona99-110 OT
17/03/23HZadar112-87
11/03/23AIgokea70-77
03/03/23AMZT Skopje82-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23HFMP Beograd87-77
24/04/23HCrvena zvezda70-84
15/04/23HMega Basket85-70
11/04/23AMornar Bar75-78
04/04/23HStudentski Centar84-83
29/03/23HJL Bourg75-88
26/03/23APartizan73-76
21/03/23ABrescia82-84
18/03/23HCibona91-85
15/03/23AUlm85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeLLWLW77%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %52%77%29%
Points / game89.595.583.9
Allowed / game86.483.788.9
Point differential+3.1+11.8-4.9
Avg total175.9179.2172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%62%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Cedevita Olimpija
ABA League 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayLWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%79%54%
Points / game84.986.483.2
Allowed / game79.479.779.2
Point differential+5.4+6.7+4.1
Avg total164.3166.1162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%57%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2624292%93.277.9+15.3
2 Crvena zvezda2724389%87.572.7+14.8
3 Buducnost2719870%87.377.9+9.4
4 Cedevita Olimpija2718967%84.979.4+5.4
5 FMP Beograd27141352%89.586.4+3.1
6 Mega Basket27121544%84.486.2-1.8
7 Igokea26111542%80.584.2-3.7
8 Studentski Centar26111542%84.288.5-4.3
9 Zadar27111641%85.386.4-1.1
10 Split26101638%82.586.4-4.0
11 Cibona2691735%79.789.9-10.2
12 Helios Domzale31233%84.098.0-14.0
13 Borac Mozzart2992031%84.289.2-5.1
14 Mornar Bar2681831%83.391.3-8.1
15 MZT Skopje2671927%80.389.1-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd26242428102
Cedevita Olimpija1728222996
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