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FMP Beograd vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-89
23-18 27-23 18-24 22-24
Position#16
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#4
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeABA LeagueRound 2· Belgrade
Domestic2026
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda
04 Oct 2026
FBE90
CZV89
04 May 2025
FBE93
CZV94
27 May 2024
FBE75
CZV98
23 Oct 2023
FBE72
CZV83
11 Jun 2023
FBE72
CZV82
29 Jan 2023
FBE84
CZV99
19 Jun 2022
FBE59
CZV71
26 Dec 2021
FBE74
CZV98
12 Dec 2020
FBE75
CZV111
22 May 2019
FBE62
CZV77
27 Oct 2018
FBE72
CZV81
09 Jun 2018
FBE62
CZV68
05 Feb 2018
FBE77
CZV100
14 Jun 2017
FBE76
CZV91
29 Apr 2017
FBE64
CZV91
05 Mar 2017
FBE76
CZV84
18 Feb 2017
FBE60
CZV76
15 May 2016
FBE83
CZV91
29 May 2015
FBE77
CZV91
13 May 2014
FBE65
CZV87
18 May 2011
FBE97
CZV87
10 Apr 2010
FBE64
CZV75
13 Oct 2009
FBE85
CZV81
04 Oct 2008
FBE78
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#8
W
102-87
102
87
+15
101avg 73
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 73
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
101-106
101
106
-5
94avg 73
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-89
98
89
+9
94avg 73
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
W
84-79
84
79
+5
75avg 73
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
85-55
85
55
+30
68avg 73
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
69-49
69
49
+20
56avg 73
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
54avg 73
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
84-92
84
92
-8
76avg 73
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 73
H25/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
19-18
25-28
26-24
15-18
17-22
13-17
28-20
28-22
25-33
25-24
23-27
30-21
22-23
20-20
26-25
26-19
18-25
11-16
29-19
19-15
19-13
18-15
29-12
7-13
16-11
27-15
19-10
20-13
16-28
13-27
16-8
24-19
26-29
17-20
17-24
24-13
22-29
17-25
19-21
164.1Avg total
84.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.379.8164.1+4.550%
Last 5 (5)77.072.0149.0+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.8101.2190.0-12.50%
vs Similar (19)80.379.3159.6+0.947%
vs Weaker (7)85.383.9169.1+1.457%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
65avg 84
A19/04
ABA League
Barcelona
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
64avg 84
A21/04
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 84
H07/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
86avg 84
A12/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
95-86
95
86
+9
96avg 84
H15/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
94-100
94
100
-6
87avg 84
A18/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 84
H21/05
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
66avg 84
H24/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
80-81
80
81
-1
78avg 84
H29/09
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 84
H01/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
19-26
21-14
16-17
21-29
12-18
18-16
21-17
25-24
25-23
31-27
20-18
29-18
22-22
16-21
19-31
27-15
22-31
17-24
29-16
19-25
27-27
13-26
35-22
16-28
17-21
20-18
25-22
21-28
24-15
12-16
20-24
18-28
17-17
24-22
21-14
19-21
18-15
19-17
21-19
169.0Avg total
83.4Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.485.6169.0-2.230%
Last 5 (5)81.285.0166.2-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)85.897.8183.5-12.025%
vs Similar (16)85.685.8171.4-0.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)90.483.6174.0+6.880%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +2.7+2.7
FMP BeogradCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#8
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H15/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A07/03
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A13/03
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/03
ABA League
Mega Basket
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/03
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H31/03
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
23-24
23
24
-1
H06/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
ABA League
82.6Avg total
42.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.183.3-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.239.581.7+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)40.144.784.9-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)42.540.182.6+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.675.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.847.288.0-6.525%-
vs Similar (19)40.240.981.1-0.747%-
vs Weaker (7)44.042.486.4+1.657%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A19/04
ABA League
Barcelona
#8
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A21/04
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H07/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A12/05
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H15/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/05
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H21/05
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#10
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H24/09
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H29/09
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H01/10
Euroleague
87.1Avg total
41.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.445.188.6-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.343.987.2-0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)43.646.690.1-3.036%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.587.1-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.245.084.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.850.295.0-5.525%-
vs Similar (16)42.846.188.9-3.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.041.585.5+2.560%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.4
51.6%
57.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
33.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
73.0%16.2
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.1
53.1%
57.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.3
36.9%
33.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws20.815.1
72.6%
73.0%15.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLWWWWLLW
Crvena zvezda
WLLLLWLWLL
#16
League position
#4
+5.2
Net rating
-1.0
97.1
Offensive rating
91.8
91.9
Defensive rating
92.7
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.4%
3-point %
36.9%
54.2%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.1 · 91.8Defence91.9 · 92.7Shooting52.2% · 54.0%3-point %35.4% · 36.9%Ball care14.5% · 17.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija82-88
20/04/26HVienna Basket84-92
14/04/26AZadar65-76
06/04/26HSpartak Subotica69-49
31/03/26HZadar85-55
28/03/26AMega Basket84-79
22/03/26AVienna Basket98-89
13/03/26APerspektiva Ilirija101-106
07/03/26ASpartak Subotica73-77
15/02/26HMega Basket102-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26HAnadolu Efes77-72
29/09/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv80-81
24/09/26HZalgiris Kaunas77-83
21/05/26HPartizan78-89
18/05/26APartizan94-100
15/05/26HCedevita Olimpija95-86
12/05/26ACedevita Olimpija86-92
07/05/26HCedevita Olimpija101-92
21/04/26ABarcelona72-80
19/04/26APartizan74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Bosna110100%95.079.0+16.0
2 Cedevita Olimpija110100%89.076.0+13.0
3 Cluj-Napoca110100%95.084.0+11.0
4 Igokea110100%97.089.0+8.0
5 Siroki Brijeg110100%87.081.0+6.0
6 Buducnost110100%77.072.0+5.0
7 KK Krka Novo mesto1010%72.077.0-5.0
8 Borac Mozzart1010%81.087.0-6.0
9 Slovan Bratislava1010%89.097.0-8.0
10 Vienna Basket1010%84.095.0-11.0
11 Cibona1010%76.089.0-13.0
12 Spartak Subotica1010%79.095.0-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2327182290
Crvena zvezda1823242489
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