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FMP Beograd vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-83
16-21 17-20 23-20 16-22
Position#11
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWLWLL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game67.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4· Belgrade
Domestic2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda
04 Oct 2026
FBE90
CZV89
04 May 2025
FBE93
CZV94
27 May 2024
FBE75
CZV98
23 Oct 2023
FBE72
CZV83
11 Jun 2023
FBE72
CZV82
29 Jan 2023
FBE84
CZV99
19 Jun 2022
FBE59
CZV71
26 Dec 2021
FBE74
CZV98
12 Dec 2020
FBE75
CZV111
22 May 2019
FBE62
CZV77
27 Oct 2018
FBE72
CZV81
09 Jun 2018
FBE62
CZV68
05 Feb 2018
FBE77
CZV100
14 Jun 2017
FBE76
CZV91
29 Apr 2017
FBE64
CZV91
05 Mar 2017
FBE76
CZV84
18 Feb 2017
FBE60
CZV76
15 May 2016
FBE83
CZV91
29 May 2015
FBE77
CZV91
13 May 2014
FBE65
CZV87
18 May 2011
FBE97
CZV87
10 Apr 2010
FBE64
CZV75
13 Oct 2009
FBE85
CZV81
04 Oct 2008
FBE78
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
90avg 82
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 82
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 82
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 82
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
61avg 82
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
71avg 82
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
L
71-73
71
73
-2
60avg 82
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
85avg 82
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
93-89
93
89
+4
91avg 82
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 82
H16/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
33-24
20-16
20-25
28-24
19-19
15-18
22-21
19-21
14-19
17-14
25-18
25-16
18-18
29-17
24-19
16-29
12-24
21-20
21-21
27-23
9-20
19-18
17-21
21-23
18-12
21-14
11-24
18-27
26-26
24-21
15-9
22-20
21-31
27-14
23-24
21-19
13-17
20-19
19-28
165.0Avg total
82.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.790.3178.0-2.733%
Season at home (2)85.091.0176.0-6.00%
Season away (1)93.089.0182.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.882.2165.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.285.2166.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.589.2168.8-9.825%
vs Similar (9)85.785.3171.0+0.356%
vs Weaker (11)91.285.9177.1+5.345%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
W
91-78
91
78
+13
84avg 80
H18/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
68-56
68
56
+12
no box
H20/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
85-96
85
96
-11
76avg 80
A22/06
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
78avg 80
A30/09
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
94-73
94
73
+21
88avg 80
H05/10
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
94-51
94
51
+43
96avg 80
H08/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 80
A13/10
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
93-87
93
87
+6
97avg 80
A15/10
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 80
H18/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 80
A20/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
19-20
24-18
29-19
20-13
12-11
17-15
19-17
18-30
16-24
34-21
17-21
20-17
20-15
26-13
15-18
29-18
23-13
17-24
25-18
19-11
31-14
27-8
17-18
21-19
17-16
18-15
18-29
24-20
19-15
22-20
28-32
23-14
21-24
19-26
13-18
15-26
18-18
22-18
24-23
158.5Avg total
83.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.367.0156.3+22.3100%
Season at home (1)94.051.0145.0+43.0100%
Season away (2)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.575.0158.5+8.560%
Last 5 (5)83.276.8160.0+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Similar (11)80.779.6160.4+1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.068.4156.4+19.6100%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -0.8-0.8
FMP BeogradCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/06
Super League
Varese
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/09
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A09/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#4
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H16/10
ABA League
82.9Avg total
40.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.285.7-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.042.487.4+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)39.644.183.7-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.582.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.644.485.0-3.838%-
vs Similar (9)41.445.787.1-4.233%-
vs Weaker (11)44.442.086.4+2.455%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H20/06
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A22/06
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A30/09
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H05/10
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H08/10
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A13/10
Euroleague
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/10
ABA League
Monaco
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/10
Euroleague
76.3Avg total
40.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.836.879.6+6.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.335.380.6+10.086%-
Last 30 away (16)40.638.178.8+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.435.976.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.641.379.9-2.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.833.178.9+12.694%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.0
56.5%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.7
29.6%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
73.8%16.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.0
50.6%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.8
36.6%
34.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
73.8%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWLLLLWWWW
Crvena zvezda
LLWLWWWLWW
#11
League position
#1
+1.4
Net rating
+11.8
107.9
Offensive rating
114.1
106.5
Defensive rating
102.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.5%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
35.7%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.6%
3-point %
36.6%
62.0%
Assist %
67.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 114.1Defence106.5 · 102.4Shooting52.2% · 52.5%3-point %29.6% · 36.6%Ball care18.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 35.7%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/23HMega Basket73-83
09/10/23ACibona93-89
02/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto97-99 OT
27/09/23HVarese71-73
11/06/23HCrvena zvezda72-82
09/06/23ACrvena zvezda70-94
07/06/23HMega Basket96-70
04/06/23AMega Basket75-72
31/05/23AOKK Beograd84-82
23/05/23AZlatibor97-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23AVirtus Bologna79-85
18/10/23HMonaco76-82
15/10/23ABorac Mozzart93-87
13/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas74-79
08/10/23HCedevita Olimpija94-51
05/10/23HLyon-Villeurbanne94-73
30/09/23AIgokea81-63
22/06/23APartizan85-96
20/06/23HPartizan68-56
18/06/23HPartizan91-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game87.785.093.0
Allowed / game90.391.089.0
Point differential-2.7-6.0+4.0
Avg total178.0176.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.394.087.0
Allowed / game67.051.075.0
Point differential+22.3+43.0+12.0
Avg total156.3145.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan330100%100.767.0+33.7
2 Crvena zvezda330100%89.367.0+22.3
3 Buducnost440100%91.272.0+19.2
4 Studentski Centar43175%85.079.2+5.8
5 Igokea43175%83.081.2+1.8
6 Zadar42250%82.080.8+1.2
7 Borac Mozzart42250%81.084.0-3.0
8 Cedevita Olimpija42250%77.283.0-5.8
9 Mega Basket31233%86.384.0+2.3
10 FMP Beograd31233%87.790.3-2.7
11 Split41325%76.282.2-6.0
12 KK Krka Novo mesto41325%74.890.8-16.0
13 Cibona4040%80.092.0-12.0
14 Mornar Bar4040%68.895.8-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1617231672
Crvena zvezda2120202283
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