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FMP Beograd vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 84-99
19-24 23-30 24-24 18-21
Position#5
Record12-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game69.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 17
Domestic2022
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda
04 Oct 2026
FBE90
CZV89
04 May 2025
FBE93
CZV94
27 May 2024
FBE75
CZV98
23 Oct 2023
FBE72
CZV83
11 Jun 2023
FBE72
CZV82
29 Jan 2023
FBE84
CZV99
19 Jun 2022
FBE59
CZV71
26 Dec 2021
FBE74
CZV98
12 Dec 2020
FBE75
CZV111
22 May 2019
FBE62
CZV77
27 Oct 2018
FBE72
CZV81
09 Jun 2018
FBE62
CZV68
05 Feb 2018
FBE77
CZV100
14 Jun 2017
FBE76
CZV91
29 Apr 2017
FBE64
CZV91
05 Mar 2017
FBE76
CZV84
18 Feb 2017
FBE60
CZV76
15 May 2016
FBE83
CZV91
29 May 2015
FBE77
CZV91
13 May 2014
FBE65
CZV87
18 May 2011
FBE97
CZV87
10 Apr 2010
FBE64
CZV75
13 Oct 2009
FBE85
CZV81
04 Oct 2008
FBE78
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
101-97
101
97
+4
104avg 77
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
86avg 77
H27/11
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
no box
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
111-75
111
75
+36
no box
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
86avg 77
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
90-73
90
73
+17
82avg 77
H24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
113-102
113
102
+11
111avg 77
A03/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
L
72-77
72
77
-5
66avg 77
A08/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
107-81
107
81
+26
108avg 77
H13/01
ABA League
Split
#10
W
95-91
95
91
+4
no box
A20/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
22-29
24-13
22-31
24-15
17-30
23-16
25-16
20-20
33-27
14-28
30-28
35-19
28-22
21-18
27-16
17-21
18-24
12-28
39-17
22-21
18-9
31-24
19-19
18-24
33-29
25-25
37-24
19-18
18-19
22-19
13-21
31-23
24-11
25-23
27-24
19-26
19-12
29-23
28-30
182.7Avg total
96.1Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)93.184.9177.9+8.275%
Season at home (8)96.880.4177.1+16.4100%
Season away (8)89.489.4178.8+0.050%
Last 10 (10)96.186.6182.7+9.570%
Last 5 (5)95.484.8180.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.683.9158.4-9.30%
vs Similar (4)89.887.5177.2+2.275%
vs Weaker (15)93.281.4174.6+11.887%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
72-63
72
63
+9
70avg 75
A02/01
ABA League
Valencia
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
76avg 75
A06/01
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#15
W
80-57
80
57
+23
77avg 75
A08/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
59-79
59
79
-20
49avg 75
H10/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
92-68
92
68
+24
96avg 75
H12/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
76-56
76
56
+20
74avg 75
A15/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
66-71
66
71
-5
59avg 75
A20/01
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
100-95
100
95
+5
96avg 75
H23/01
ABA League
Partizan
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 75
H27/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
23-15
25-14
19-27
19-17
13-13
26-14
14-19
24-19
23-23
14-16
16-17
17-15
19-18
27-8
17-16
16-25
18-13
17-19
8-22
23-15
31-21
18-14
20-18
19-12
18-13
16-18
23-13
14-20
16-18
26-12
10-21
26-23
29-26
29-23
16-23
18-20
19-25
17-12
24-22
153.6Avg total
79.4Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.669.5155.1+16.193%
Season at home (10)88.872.1160.9+16.790%
Season away (5)79.264.4143.6+14.8100%
Last 10 (10)79.474.2153.6+5.260%
Last 5 (5)82.473.8156.2+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.088.0169.0-7.033%
vs Similar (13)78.075.8153.8+2.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)85.169.9155.0+15.393%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -3.1-3.1
FMP BeogradCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#15
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H18/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/11
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A02/12
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
63-41
63
41
+22
H12/12
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/12
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H24/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A03/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A08/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H13/01
ABA League
Split
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A20/01
ABA League
89.1Avg total
46.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.683.8+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.583.8+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.683.7-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)46.842.389.1+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.482.6+5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.444.380.8-7.911%-
vs Similar (4)46.243.890.0+2.575%-
vs Weaker (15)45.239.985.1+5.353%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H30/12
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A02/01
ABA League
Valencia
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/01
Euroleague
MZT Skopje
#15
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A08/01
ABA League
Real Madrid
#2
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H10/01
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/01
Euroleague
Buducnost
#3
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A15/01
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A20/01
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H23/01
ABA League
Partizan
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H27/01
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
40.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.479.7+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.239.582.7+3.767%-
Last 30 away (12)38.536.775.2+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)40.237.978.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.681.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.342.080.3-3.70%-
vs Similar (13)39.339.578.8-0.246%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.836.580.3+7.393%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.2
55.5%
55.6%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.111.3
46.9%
35.2%33.9
🏀 Free throws27.120.8
76.8%
75.8%20.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.819.8
58.6%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.9
34.4%
35.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.211.3
74.3%
75.8%11.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLWWLWLWW
Crvena zvezda
LWLWWLWWWL
#5
League position
#2
+11.8
Net rating
+12.4
123.3
Offensive rating
112.3
111.5
Defensive rating
99.9
61.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.9%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.25
46.9%
3-point %
34.4%
64.1%
Assist %
67.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence123.3 · 112.3Defence111.5 · 99.9Shooting61.4% · 55.5%3-point %46.9% · 34.4%Ball care18.3% · 17.9%Off. rebounds34.7% · 31.9%Free throws0.45 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/23ASplit95-91
13/01/23HBorac Mozzart107-81
08/01/23AMega Basket72-77
03/01/23AMornar Bar113-102
24/12/22HStudentski Centar90-73
19/12/22APartizan86-90
12/12/22HCibona111-75
02/12/22AZadar97-103
27/11/22HIgokea89-77
18/11/22HMZT Skopje101-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HPartizan78-79
23/01/23HCedevita Olimpija100-95
20/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas66-71
15/01/23ABuducnost76-56
12/01/23HMonaco92-68
10/01/23HReal Madrid59-79
08/01/23AMZT Skopje80-57
06/01/23AValencia77-75
02/01/23ASplit72-63
30/12/22HBarcelona94-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game93.196.889.4
Allowed / game84.980.489.4
Point differential+8.2+16.4+0.0
Avg total177.9177.1178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %93%90%100%
Points / game85.688.879.2
Allowed / game69.572.164.4
Point differential+16.1+16.7+14.8
Avg total155.1160.9143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1514193%85.669.5+16.1
2 Partizan1614288%93.475.9+17.4
3 Cedevita Olimpija1512380%91.180.0+11.1
4 FMP Beograd1612475%93.184.9+8.2
5 Buducnost1610662%88.081.8+6.2
6 Zadar179853%89.488.2+1.1
7 Studentski Centar178947%85.190.5-5.4
8 Mega Basket1771041%84.786.0-1.3
9 Split1761135%79.486.4-7.1
10 Cibona1761135%79.391.1-11.8
11 Mornar Bar1551033%86.191.9-5.8
12 Igokea1651131%84.187.0-2.9
13 Borac Mozzart1741324%78.687.6-9.0
14 MZT Skopje1721512%78.991.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1923241884
Crvena zvezda2430242199
← all games of the day
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