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FMP Beograd vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 72-82
27-23 9-20 19-18 17-21
Position#2
Record7-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game81.1
FMP Beograd
Serbia
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Serbia
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game70.0
SerbiaSuper LeagueSuperleague - Final· Belgrade
Other2023
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda
04 Oct 2026
FBE90
CZV89
04 May 2025
FBE93
CZV94
27 May 2024
FBE75
CZV98
23 Oct 2023
FBE72
CZV83
11 Jun 2023
FBE72
CZV82
29 Jan 2023
FBE84
CZV99
19 Jun 2022
FBE59
CZV71
26 Dec 2021
FBE74
CZV98
12 Dec 2020
FBE75
CZV111
22 May 2019
FBE62
CZV77
27 Oct 2018
FBE72
CZV81
09 Jun 2018
FBE62
CZV68
05 Feb 2018
FBE77
CZV100
14 Jun 2017
FBE76
CZV91
29 Apr 2017
FBE64
CZV91
05 Mar 2017
FBE76
CZV84
18 Feb 2017
FBE60
CZV76
15 May 2016
FBE83
CZV91
29 May 2015
FBE77
CZV91
13 May 2014
FBE65
CZV87
18 May 2011
FBE97
CZV87
10 Apr 2010
FBE64
CZV75
13 Oct 2009
FBE85
CZV81
04 Oct 2008
FBE78
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#9
W
112-81
112
81
+31
114avg 81
H03/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
102-96
102
96
+6
99avg 81
H06/05
ABA League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 81
H09/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
79-97
79
97
-18
66avg 81
A13/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
63avg 81
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
90avg 81
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
84-82
84
82
+2
73avg 81
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
66avg 81
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
96-70
96
70
+26
90avg 81
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
61avg 81
A09/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
24-26
37-20
26-14
26-17
24-28
24-22
28-29
20-21
35-26
19-20
21-24
21-27
14-26
19-19
25-25
21-29
22-12
25-23
10-18
24-13
33-24
20-16
20-25
28-24
19-19
15-18
22-21
19-21
14-19
17-14
25-18
25-16
18-18
29-17
24-19
16-29
12-24
21-20
21-21
173.1Avg total
88.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.481.1170.6+8.378%
Season at home (4)100.280.5180.8+19.8100%
Season away (5)80.881.6162.4-0.860%
Last 10 (10)88.884.3173.1+4.570%
Last 5 (5)84.479.2163.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)82.491.3173.7-8.929%
vs Similar (8)84.884.9169.6-0.150%
vs Weaker (14)92.084.2176.2+7.857%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
87-82
87
82
+5
80avg 79
A09/04
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
no box
H13/04
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 79
H17/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
87-65
87
65
+22
80avg 79
A20/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
84-70
84
70
+14
82avg 79
A24/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
100-73
100
73
+27
100avg 79
H28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
74-63
74
63
+11
69avg 79
A08/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
93-55
93
55
+38
93avg 79
H14/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
97-56
97
56
+41
98avg 79
A23/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
94-70
94
70
+24
102avg 79
H09/06
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
23-17
22-16
23-32
15-21
26-18
16-18
22-22
23-21
16-15
24-25
20-13
23-7
24-18
19-25
21-15
19-10
24-20
23-22
18-18
25-20
33-16
20-17
22-20
19-12
16-21
18-11
21-19
30-16
21-17
22-10
20-12
25-26
23-8
29-11
20-11
29-16
24-12
20-21
21-21
158.7Avg total
89.0Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)94.070.0164.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.069.7158.7+19.3100%
Last 5 (5)91.663.4155.0+28.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.082.0165.0+1.050%
vs Similar (10)80.780.1160.8+0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)88.970.7159.6+18.294%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
FMP BeogradCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatibor
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H06/05
ABA League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H09/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A13/05
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A17/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#9
W
57-37
57
37
+20
A23/05
Super League
OKK Beograd
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A31/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/06
Super League
Mega Basket
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H07/06
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A09/06
Super League
88.0Avg total
44.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.685.8+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.341.188.4+6.179%-
Last 30 away (16)39.643.983.5-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)44.044.088.0+0.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.483.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.445.987.3-4.443%-
vs Similar (8)41.245.086.2-3.838%-
vs Weaker (14)44.840.285.0+4.657%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A09/04
ABA League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
Split
#10
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H17/04
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#14
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A20/04
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A24/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H28/04
ABA League
Zadar
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A08/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H14/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A23/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H09/06
Super League
78.5Avg total
45.7Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.580.6+7.680%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.037.484.4+9.693%-
Last 30 away (16)41.535.777.2+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)45.732.878.5+12.9100%-
Last 5 (5)49.032.881.8+16.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.543.584.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (10)42.338.580.8+3.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.134.880.9+11.288%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.3
54.1%
54.2%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.57.6
35.3%
34.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.318.2
74.9%
72.9%18.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.9
62.0%
54.2%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.8
36.4%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.517.4
77.3%
72.9%17.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWWWWLLWWW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWW
#2
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+27.1
112.7
Offensive rating
120.7
107.4
Defensive rating
93.5
53.7%
Effective FG%
59.0%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.3%
3-point %
36.4%
57.9%
Assist %
68.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 120.7Defence107.4 · 93.5Shooting53.7% · 59.0%3-point %35.3% · 36.4%Ball care17.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
09/06/23Crvena zvezda v FMP Beograd94-70
29/01/23FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda84-99
24/10/22Crvena zvezda v FMP Beograd83-77
19/06/22FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda59-71
17/06/22Crvena zvezda v FMP Beograd110-71
11/04/22Crvena zvezda v FMP Beograd90-82
26/12/21FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda74-98
27/03/21Crvena zvezda v FMP Beograd101-71
12/12/20FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda75-111
22/05/19FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda62-77
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/23ACrvena zvezda70-94
07/06/23HMega Basket96-70
04/06/23AMega Basket75-72
31/05/23AOKK Beograd84-82
23/05/23AZlatibor97-78
17/05/23ASpartak Subotica78-82
13/05/23ACedevita Olimpija79-97
09/05/23HOKK Beograd95-91
06/05/23HCedevita Olimpija102-96
03/05/23HZlatibor112-81
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/23HFMP Beograd94-70
23/05/23ABuducnost97-56
14/05/23HBuducnost93-55
08/05/23AZadar74-63
28/04/23HZadar100-73
24/04/23ACedevita Olimpija84-70
20/04/23AMornar Bar87-65
17/04/23HSplit83-74
13/04/23HFenerbahce91-89 OT
09/04/23ABorac Mozzart87-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Super League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game89.4100.280.8
Allowed / game81.180.581.6
Point differential+8.3+19.8-0.8
Avg total170.6180.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Crvena zvezda
Super League 2023
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda110100%94.070.0+24.0
2 FMP Beograd97278%89.481.1+8.3
3 OKK Beograd64267%91.779.0+12.7
4 Borac Mozzart64267%85.281.0+4.2
5 Mega Basket85362%84.178.6+5.5
6 Spartak Subotica63350%83.786.7-3.0
7 Vojvodina Novi Sad63350%80.083.0-3.0
8 KK Metalac6060%78.792.0-13.3
9 Zlatibor6060%77.298.5-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd279191772
Crvena zvezda2320182182
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