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FMP Beograd vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 93-94
24-25 25-27 24-20 20-22
Position#11
Record14-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#5
Record22-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 30· Belgrade
Domestic2024
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Crvena zvezda
04 Oct 2026
FBE90
CZV89
04 May 2025
FBE93
CZV94
27 May 2024
FBE75
CZV98
23 Oct 2023
FBE72
CZV83
11 Jun 2023
FBE72
CZV82
29 Jan 2023
FBE84
CZV99
19 Jun 2022
FBE59
CZV71
26 Dec 2021
FBE74
CZV98
12 Dec 2020
FBE75
CZV111
22 May 2019
FBE62
CZV77
27 Oct 2018
FBE72
CZV81
09 Jun 2018
FBE62
CZV68
05 Feb 2018
FBE77
CZV100
14 Jun 2017
FBE76
CZV91
29 Apr 2017
FBE64
CZV91
05 Mar 2017
FBE76
CZV84
18 Feb 2017
FBE60
CZV76
15 May 2016
FBE83
CZV91
29 May 2015
FBE77
CZV91
13 May 2014
FBE65
CZV87
18 May 2011
FBE97
CZV87
10 Apr 2010
FBE64
CZV75
13 Oct 2009
FBE85
CZV81
04 Oct 2008
FBE78
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
55avg 69
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
67avg 69
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 69
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 69
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 69
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
53avg 69
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
76avg 69
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 69
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 69
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 69
A28/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
18-19
21-22
8-21
15-15
17-21
27-14
19-5
21-26
15-18
12-23
17-23
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
15-23
11-16
20-21
15-24
19-10
18-15
26-25
24-22
19-17
22-22
25-15
19-18
22-22
22-23
19-30
19-27
23-29
21-13
13-18
12-18
158.4Avg total
75.9Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.284.7163.9-5.648%
Season at home (14)83.181.9165.0+1.371%
Season away (15)75.587.4162.9-11.927%
Last 10 (10)75.982.5158.4-6.640%
Last 5 (5)76.881.6158.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.788.2159.9-16.516%
vs Similar (7)88.083.9171.9+4.171%
vs Weaker (3)84.777.7162.3+7.0100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
88-52
88
52
+36
91avg 81
H26/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
72-78
72
78
-6
58avg 81
H28/03
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
77-78
77
78
-1
63avg 81
H31/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
96-97 OT
96
97
-1
89avg 81
H04/04
Euroleague
Cibona
#16
W
107-81
107
81
+26
100avg 81
A07/04
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
104-111 OT
104
111
-7
97avg 81
A11/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
87avg 81
A15/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
77-85
77
85
-8
80avg 81
A21/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
81-69
81
69
+12
77avg 81
H27/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
105-77
105
77
+28
108avg 81
H01/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
23-16
18-10
19-15
9-22
18-20
18-13
27-23
22-14
19-20
21-30
15-14
24-16
27-28
13-22
24-22
30-25
24-19
29-11
24-26
26-23
23-24
28-30
19-19
23-21
23-18
15-32
23-13
18-18
14-21
24-18
21-28
17-15
22-18
22-17
20-19
26-20
25-18
26-21
28-18
172.5Avg total
90.0Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.978.3167.2+10.676%
Season at home (15)90.778.5169.2+12.380%
Season away (14)86.978.2165.1+8.771%
Last 10 (10)90.082.5172.5+7.540%
Last 5 (5)92.087.8179.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
vs Similar (11)85.388.5173.7-3.227%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.572.7160.2+14.882%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
FMP BeogradCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/04
ABA League
78.0Avg total
37.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.080.5-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.741.682.2-0.942%-
Last 30 away (18)37.042.379.3-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.378.0-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.076.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.544.280.7-7.616%-
vs Similar (7)42.740.082.7+2.771%-
vs Weaker (3)43.034.077.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H26/03
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#8
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H28/03
Euroleague
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H31/03
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H04/04
Euroleague
Cibona
#16
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A07/04
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A11/04
Euroleague
Bayern
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A15/04
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A21/04
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H27/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H01/05
ABA League
82.8Avg total
44.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.282.5+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.137.780.8+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)43.641.184.7+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)44.138.782.8+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.282.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.039.071.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (11)41.441.582.8-0.155%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.637.482.0+7.276%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.6
47.3%
54.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.8
28.7%
35.7%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.215.1
78.6%
75.6%15.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.423.1
58.6%
54.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
75.6%13.9
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLWWLLWLWL
Crvena zvezda
WWLLLWLLLW
#11
League position
#5
-9.5
Net rating
+10.5
98.9
Offensive rating
118.3
108.4
Defensive rating
107.8
45.8%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.7%
3-point %
34.8%
52.7%
Assist %
68.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 118.3Defence108.4 · 107.8Shooting45.8% · 55.9%3-point %28.7% · 34.8%Ball care16.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds28.0% · 28.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
10
Crvena zvezda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/25ABuducnost69-78
19/04/25HIgokea82-102
14/04/25ASplit85-72
04/04/25HMornar Bar87-72
29/03/25ADubai61-84
21/03/25AZadar71-99
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89
10/03/25APartizan65-90
02/03/25HStudentski Centar78-55
14/02/25ACrvena zvezda63-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/25HStudentski Centar105-77
27/04/25HKK Krka Novo mesto81-69
21/04/25APartizan77-85
15/04/25ABayern93-97 OT
11/04/25APanathinaikos104-111 OT
07/04/25ACibona107-81
04/04/25HAnadolu Efes96-97 OT
31/03/25HSpartak Subotica77-78
28/03/25HReal Madrid72-78
26/03/25HVirtus Bologna88-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%71%27%
Points / game79.283.175.5
Allowed / game84.781.987.4
Point differential-5.6+1.3-11.9
Avg total163.9165.0162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW76%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %76%80%71%
Points / game88.990.786.9
Allowed / game78.378.578.2
Point differential+10.6+12.3+8.7
Avg total167.2169.2165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost3026487%90.077.3+12.6
2 Partizan2925486%90.774.6+16.1
3 Dubai3025583%87.877.5+10.3
4 Crvena zvezda2922776%88.978.3+10.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija30191163%84.880.0+4.8
6 Igokea30191163%87.686.6+1.0
7 Spartak Subotica30171357%85.482.2+3.2
8 Mega Basket29161355%82.781.6+1.1
9 FMP Beograd29141548%79.284.7-5.6
10 Zadar30141647%76.776.1+0.6
11 Studentski Centar29101934%84.988.3-3.5
12 Borac Mozzart29101934%75.282.5-7.3
13 Split3092130%76.982.8-5.8
14 KK Krka Novo mesto3052517%81.988.2-6.3
15 Cibona3042613%76.488.9-12.5
16 Mornar Bar302287%74.893.7-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2425242093
Crvena zvezda2527202294
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