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FMP Beograd vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 67-83
14-17 21-27 13-15 19-24
Position#11
Record4-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Zadar 🏆
Position#10
Record3-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game78.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Belgrade
Domestic2024
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zadar
31 Mar 2026
FBE85
ZAD55
17 Nov 2024
FBE67
ZAD83
15 Dec 2023
FBE77
ZAD92
17 Mar 2023
FBE112
ZAD87
31 Oct 2021
FBE83
ZAD76
15 Dec 2020
FBE89
ZAD99
01 Oct 2018
FBE99
ZAD86
23 Oct 2017
FBE91
ZAD76
16 Dec 2016
FBE94
ZAD77
27 Feb 2010
FBE83
ZAD81
27 Feb 2009
FBE82
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#36
W
70-58
70
58
+12
63avg 77
H02/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 77
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
97-101
97
101
-4
91avg 77
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 77
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 77
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
50-86
50
86
-36
30avg 77
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
73avg 77
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
43avg 77
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
62avg 77
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
109-106 OT
109
106
+3
99avg 77
A11/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
14-8
17-10
21-26
19-22
19-12
20-20
16-13
20-17
24-31
26-21
27-32
19-26
21-29
21-20
25-18
27-28
17-24
23-15
22-17
10-27
14-16
13-28
13-15
16-21
28-19
19-20
13-22
17-29
11-26
20-15
16-21
22-21
21-12
17-24
18-26
28-21
24-20
13-19
21-26
164.4Avg total
79.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.683.5165.1-1.950%
Season at home (4)75.576.0151.5-0.575%
Season away (4)87.891.0178.8-3.225%
Last 10 (10)79.385.1164.4-5.840%
Last 5 (5)75.489.6165.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.384.5158.8-10.224%
vs Similar (8)86.280.8167.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (4)92.577.8170.2+14.8100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
75-63
75
63
+12
70avg 78
H17/10
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
71-75
71
75
-4
59avg 78
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
78-68
78
68
+10
71avg 78
H24/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
77-84
77
84
-7
70avg 78
H26/10
ABA League
Split
#2
W
78-61
78
61
+17
78avg 78
A30/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 78
A02/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 78
H04/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
81-73
81
73
+8
71avg 78
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
68-65
68
65
+3
62avg 78
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 78
H15/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-10
26-22
19-6
16-25
19-20
12-22
27-12
13-21
20-14
19-17
13-25
26-12
31-14
13-27
16-22
17-21
20-17
18-18
18-16
22-10
22-27
16-20
19-10
24-16
18-26
23-20
33-9
16-24
17-7
24-25
19-17
21-24
19-16
23-17
10-11
16-21
34-14
21-11
13-17
22-22
149.4Avg total
78.9Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.878.8152.5-5.038%
Season at home (5)72.080.4152.4-8.420%
Season away (3)76.776.0152.7+0.767%
Last 10 (10)78.970.5149.4+8.480%
Last 5 (5)82.070.8152.8+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.082.5151.5-13.50%
vs Similar (4)74.274.8149.0-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)85.467.5153.0+17.991%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -0.3-0.3
FMP BeogradZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#36
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H02/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H04/11
ABA League
Murcia
#7
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A11/11
ABA League
81.2Avg total
38.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.580.8-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.641.682.1-1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.479.6-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.942.381.2-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.480.6-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)35.442.577.9-7.118%-
vs Similar (8)44.938.483.2+6.588%-
vs Weaker (4)45.843.589.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H17/10
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H20/10
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H24/10
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H26/10
ABA League
Split
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A30/10
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A02/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#11
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H09/11
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
55-25
55
25
+30
H15/11
Premijer liga
77.3Avg total
40.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.177.0+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.335.776.9+5.663%-
Last 30 away (11)40.436.777.1+3.673%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.477.3+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.680.0+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.243.577.8-9.225%-
vs Similar (4)34.837.572.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.334.577.7+8.877%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.017.4
45.8%
54.0%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.0
33.6%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
75.6%16.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.1
53.7%
54.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.314.9
66.8%
75.6%14.9
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WLLLLWLLWW
Zadar
WWWWWWLWLW
#11
League position
#10
-7.5
Net rating
+12.1
104.4
Offensive rating
110.6
111.8
Defensive rating
98.4
47.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.6%
3-point %
34.4%
61.0%
Assist %
61.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 110.6Defence111.8 · 98.4Shooting47.7% · 52.8%3-point %33.6% · 34.4%Ball care16.4% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 35.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FMP Beograd wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
28/03/24Zadar v FMP Beograd72-75
15/12/23FMP Beograd v Zadar77-92
17/03/23FMP Beograd v Zadar112-87
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
01/10/18FMP Beograd v Zadar99-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto109-106 OT
06/11/24HMurcia78-83
04/11/24HPartizan64-91
28/10/24AStudentski Centar76-82
22/10/24AMurcia50-86
18/10/24HCibona89-84
14/10/24ASpartak Subotica86-93
09/10/24HManisa97-101
06/10/24HBorac Mozzart74-67
02/10/24HPeristeri70-58
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/24HGKK Sibenka90-64
11/11/24ACedevita Junior68-65
09/11/24HCedevita Olimpija81-73
04/11/24HDubrovnik90-79
02/11/24AKK Krka Novo mesto81-73
30/10/24ASplit78-61
26/10/24HCrvena zvezda77-84
24/10/24HCibona78-68
20/10/24HPartizan71-75
17/10/24HOsijek75-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game81.675.587.8
Allowed / game83.576.091.0
Point differential-1.9-0.5-3.2
Avg total165.1151.5178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%25%
Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game73.872.076.7
Allowed / game78.880.476.0
Point differential-5.0-8.4+0.7
Avg total152.5152.4152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan880100%90.267.9+22.4
2 Buducnost87188%86.468.6+17.8
3 Crvena zvezda86275%84.577.9+6.6
4 Dubai86275%84.480.8+3.6
5 Spartak Subotica85362%84.979.5+5.4
6 Igokea95456%78.178.7-0.6
7 FMP Beograd84450%81.683.5-1.9
8 Studentski Centar94544%82.481.3+1.1
9 Mega Basket94544%77.978.1-0.2
10 Split94544%77.979.9-2.0
11 Zadar83538%73.878.8-5.0
12 Borac Mozzart83538%75.981.4-5.5
13 Cedevita Olimpija93633%79.484.4-5.0
14 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%81.087.5-6.5
15 Cibona92722%77.288.8-11.6
16 Mornar Bar81712%75.191.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1421131967
Zadar1727152483
← all games of the day
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