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Murcia vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-50
27-10 16-14 28-13 15-13
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game89.5
Murcia 🏆
vs
Position#39
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
76-84
76
84
-8
59avg 75
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 75
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
55avg 75
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 75
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 75
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 75
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
85avg 75
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 75
H19/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
20-19
15-27
28-20
15-18
15-22
22-17
11-22
19-17
21-15
16-34
17-18
21-20
16-17
24-23
17-24
16-28
27-22
18-17
15-24
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
22-16
20-22
13-23
22-16
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
20-20
24-20
17-20
23-24
11-19
20-15
25-16
32-24
166.6Avg total
81.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.089.5178.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)97.0103.0200.0-6.00%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.385.3166.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)89.486.2175.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.381.9159.2-4.633%
vs Similar (11)85.086.0171.0-1.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.677.4163.0+8.189%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#3
W
111-90
111
90
+21
98avg 79
H08/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
87-97
87
97
-10
58avg 79
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
52avg 79
H27/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
63avg 79
H22/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 79
A29/09
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
W
70-58
70
58
+12
63avg 79
H02/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 79
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
97-101
97
101
-4
91avg 79
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 79
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 79
H18/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
33-25
30-24
27-19
13-27
29-18
23-25
22-27
13-24
17-26
28-22
17-26
21-20
12-20
26-8
16-14
24-17
21-21
17-19
18-26
18-14
14-8
17-10
21-26
19-22
19-12
20-20
16-13
20-17
24-31
26-21
27-32
19-26
21-29
21-20
25-18
27-28
17-24
23-15
22-17
167.7Avg total
84.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.579.5163.0+4.050%
Season at home (2)83.579.5163.0+4.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.483.3167.7+1.150%
Last 5 (5)83.280.6163.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.584.4160.9-7.925%
vs Similar (7)82.476.4158.9+6.071%
vs Weaker (6)89.378.8168.2+10.5100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
MurciaFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A08/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A10/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H12/06
ACB
Unicaja
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/10
ACB
77.1Avg total
38.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.937.476.2+1.550%-
Last 30 away (16)40.840.781.4+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.777.1-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.840.376.1-4.622%-
vs Similar (11)42.341.283.5+1.155%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.335.777.0+5.767%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Borac Mozzart
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H08/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A24/05
Super League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H27/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/09
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H02/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/10
ABA League
83.3Avg total
40.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.180.7-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.541.683.1-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.878.6-2.925%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.183.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.281.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.942.279.1-5.319%-
vs Similar (7)42.738.681.3+4.171%-
vs Weaker (6)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.717.9
46.3%
52.1%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
35.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.614.5
70.4%
74.0%14.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.9
50.9%
52.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.8
34.9%
35.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.6
73.8%
74.0%16.6
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLWWLLLLLL
FMP Beograd
WLLWWLWLLW
#7
League position
#39
-5.2
Net rating
+2.5
105.3
Offensive rating
111.9
110.5
Defensive rating
109.3
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
34.9%
60.6%
Assist %
64.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 111.9Defence110.5 · 109.3Shooting49.5% · 51.5%3-point %36.0% · 34.9%Ball care16.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 32.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Murcia   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murcia wins
0
FMP Beograd wins
No previous meetings.
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HBasket Zaragoza88-74
12/10/24ABaskonia92-95 OT
08/10/24APeristeri81-76
05/10/24HBilbao89-83 OT
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
28/09/24AJoventut Badalona76-91
21/09/24HUnicaja78-84
12/06/24HReal Madrid73-84
10/06/24AReal Madrid63-79
08/06/24AReal Madrid76-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HCibona89-84
14/10/24ASpartak Subotica86-93
09/10/24HManisa97-101
06/10/24HBorac Mozzart74-67
02/10/24HPeristeri70-58
29/09/24AMega Basket80-83
22/09/24HCedevita Olimpija75-62
27/05/24HCrvena zvezda75-98
24/05/24ACrvena zvezda87-97
08/05/24HBorac Mozzart111-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
Champions League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game89.097.081.0
Allowed / game89.5103.076.0
Point differential-0.5-6.0+5.0
Avg total178.5200.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%100%0%
FMP Beograd
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game83.583.5-
Allowed / game79.579.5-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife220100%79.061.5+17.5
2 Unicaja220100%87.572.5+15.0
3 Wurzburg220100%91.578.0+13.5
4 Nymburk550100%86.074.2+11.8
5 Tortona220100%94.583.0+11.5
6 Petkim Spor550100%81.871.0+10.8
7 Szombathely220100%81.073.0+8.0
8 Manisa330100%94.390.3+4.0
9 Bonn43175%85.580.5+5.0
10 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
11 Chemnitz21150%92.081.0+11.0
12 Saint Quentin21150%79.069.0+10.0
13 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
14 Rytas21150%82.576.0+6.5
15 Manresa21150%88.583.0+5.5
16 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
17 FMP Beograd21150%83.579.5+4.0
18 VEF Riga21150%78.575.0+3.5
19 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
20 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
21 Reggiana21150%74.072.5+1.5
22 Galatasaray21150%89.089.0+0.0
23 Nanterre21150%78.078.0+0.0
24 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
25 Karsiyaka21150%80.080.5-0.5
26 Murcia21150%89.089.5-0.5
27 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan21150%74.575.5-1.0
28 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
29 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
30 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
31 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
32 Promitheas21150%83.086.0-3.0
33 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
34 AEK Athens21150%77.082.0-5.0
35 Benfica42250%79.892.0-12.2
36 Oostende31233%81.080.7+0.3
37 Hapoel Holon31233%79.381.0-1.7
38 Igokea31233%82.790.0-7.3
39 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
40 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
41 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
42 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
43 Peristeri3030%70.376.7-6.3
44 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
45 Vechta3030%83.794.7-11.0
46 Slask Wroclaw2020%75.091.0-16.0
47 Szczecin3030%67.784.0-16.3
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
51 Kolossos Rhodes2020%50.577.5-27.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia2716281586
FMP Beograd1014131350
← all games of the day
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