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FMP Beograd vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-83
22-21 21-12 17-24 18-26
Position#39
Record1-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 4· Belgrade
European cup2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
75-62
75
62
+13
63avg 76
H22/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
69avg 76
A29/09
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
W
70-58
70
58
+12
63avg 76
H02/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
74-67
74
67
+7
69avg 76
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
97-101
97
101
-4
91avg 76
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 76
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
89-84
89
84
+5
89avg 76
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
50-86
50
86
-36
30avg 76
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
73avg 76
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
64-91
64
91
-27
43avg 76
H04/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
12-20
26-8
16-14
24-17
21-21
17-19
18-26
18-14
14-8
17-10
21-26
19-22
19-12
20-20
16-13
20-17
24-31
26-21
27-32
19-26
21-29
21-20
25-18
27-28
17-24
23-15
22-17
10-27
14-16
13-28
13-15
16-21
28-19
19-20
13-22
17-29
11-26
20-15
16-21
156.8Avg total
76.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.381.7154.0-9.333%
Season at home (2)83.579.5163.0+4.050%
Season away (1)50.086.0136.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)76.180.7156.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)73.087.2160.2-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)74.184.6158.7-10.625%
vs Similar (8)81.677.1158.8+4.562%
vs Weaker (5)91.879.6171.4+12.2100%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 75
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
97-103 OT
97
103
-6
91avg 75
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
74avg 75
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 75
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
85avg 75
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 75
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
86-50
86
50
+36
84avg 75
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
73avg 75
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
64-85
64
85
-21
47avg 75
H03/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-17
24-23
17-24
16-28
27-22
18-17
15-24
21-22
21-22
24-19
19-22
22-16
20-22
13-23
22-16
24-22
18-13
16-20
23-21
20-20
24-20
17-20
23-24
11-19
20-15
25-16
32-24
27-10
16-14
28-13
15-13
21-20
19-13
20-17
22-25
11-22
20-18
17-26
16-19
164.9Avg total
83.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.076.3164.3+11.767%
Season at home (2)91.576.5168.0+15.050%
Season away (1)81.076.0157.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.381.6164.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.475.8158.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.082.2158.2-6.230%
vs Similar (10)83.686.0169.6-2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.275.0159.2+9.289%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
FMP BeogradMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/09
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A29/09
ABA League
Peristeri
#36
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H02/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
ABA League
Manisa
#25
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H09/10
Champions League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A14/10
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H18/10
ABA League
Murcia
#7
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A22/10
Champions League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
28-55
28
55
-27
H04/11
ABA League
79.9Avg total
37.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.680.2-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.142.482.4-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.978.3-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.779.9-5.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.049.085.0-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.943.178.1-8.212%-
vs Similar (8)42.938.881.6+4.175%-
vs Weaker (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unicaja
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H21/09
Supercopa ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A28/09
ACB
Manisa
#25
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/10
Champions League
Bilbao
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H05/10
ACB
Peristeri
#36
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Champions League
Baskonia
#7
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H19/10
ACB
FMP Beograd
#39
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H22/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A26/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H03/11
ACB
77.0Avg total
39.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.577.8+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.774.1+0.743%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.181.0+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.577.0+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.834.272.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.340.375.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (10)41.541.382.8+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.433.775.1+7.878%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.716.5
46.2%
52.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.6
31.9%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.916.3
71.2%
74.0%16.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.6
50.6%
52.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.3
32.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
74.0%15.4
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLWLLWWLW
Murcia
LWWWLWWLLL
#39
League position
#7
-5.9
Net rating
+2.7
100.7
Offensive rating
106.3
106.6
Defensive rating
103.6
46.9%
Effective FG%
50.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.5%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.9%
3-point %
32.7%
62.5%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.7 · 106.3Defence106.6 · 103.6Shooting46.9% · 50.0%3-point %31.9% · 32.7%Ball care17.6% · 17.5%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FMP Beograd wins
1
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
22/10/24Murcia v FMP Beograd86-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/24HPartizan64-91
28/10/24AStudentski Centar76-82
22/10/24AMurcia50-86
18/10/24HCibona89-84
14/10/24ASpartak Subotica86-93
09/10/24HManisa97-101
06/10/24HBorac Mozzart74-67
02/10/24HPeristeri70-58
29/09/24AMega Basket80-83
22/09/24HCedevita Olimpija75-62
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/24HReal Madrid64-85
26/10/24ABasquet Girona82-75
22/10/24HFMP Beograd86-50
19/10/24HBasket Zaragoza88-74
12/10/24ABaskonia92-95 OT
08/10/24APeristeri81-76
05/10/24HBilbao89-83 OT
01/10/24HManisa97-103 OT
28/09/24AJoventut Badalona76-91
21/09/24HUnicaja78-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Champions League 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.383.550.0
Allowed / game81.779.586.0
Point differential-9.3+4.0-36.0
Avg total154.0163.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game88.091.581.0
Allowed / game76.376.576.0
Point differential+11.7+15.0+5.0
Avg total164.3168.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja440100%98.870.8+28.0
2 Tenerife330100%76.361.3+15.0
3 Nymburk660100%87.573.5+14.0
4 Tortona330100%87.074.7+12.3
5 Bonn54180%85.680.0+5.6
6 Wurzburg43175%89.883.8+6.0
7 Galatasaray43175%87.081.8+5.2
8 Manisa43175%90.290.2+0.0
9 Petkim Spor75271%78.182.1-4.0
10 Manresa32167%94.075.0+19.0
11 Murcia32167%88.076.3+11.7
12 Rytas32167%89.378.3+11.0
13 Karsiyaka32167%77.073.3+3.7
14 Reggiana32167%73.770.0+3.7
15 AEK Athens32167%78.077.7+0.3
16 Szombathely32167%81.783.0-1.3
17 CSM Oradea21150%85.070.0+15.0
18 Levice21150%93.585.5+8.0
19 MoraBanc Andorra21150%91.086.0+5.0
20 Oostende42250%77.574.2+3.2
21 Rilski Sportist21150%79.576.5+3.0
22 Norrkoping21150%77.075.5+1.5
23 Nanterre42250%83.883.0+0.8
24 Hapoel Holon42250%81.080.5+0.5
25 Juventus21150%80.080.5-0.5
26 Sassari21150%74.075.5-1.5
27 Trepca21150%80.081.5-1.5
28 Fribourg Olympic21150%82.585.0-2.5
29 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%75.078.0-3.0
30 PAOK21150%75.079.5-4.5
31 Benfica52340%75.488.0-12.6
32 Saint Quentin31233%73.069.7+3.3
33 VEF Riga31233%75.376.7-1.3
34 Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan31233%75.779.0-3.3
35 Chemnitz31233%81.089.0-8.0
36 FMP Beograd31233%72.381.7-9.3
37 Peristeri41325%75.277.0-1.8
38 Promitheas41325%78.885.5-6.8
39 Igokea41325%81.889.0-7.2
40 Keravnos1010%79.082.0-3.0
41 Spartak Subotica1010%84.087.0-3.0
42 Sabah Baku1010%71.075.0-4.0
43 Cholet1010%70.076.0-6.0
44 BC Nokia1010%64.071.0-7.0
45 Slask Wroclaw3030%71.785.0-13.3
46 Vechta4040%80.294.8-14.5
47 Szczecin4040%64.579.8-15.2
48 Antwerp Giants1010%73.091.0-18.0
49 Den Bosch1010%72.092.0-20.0
50 Kolossos Rhodes3030%53.375.3-22.0
51 Kutaisi1010%87.0111.0-24.0
52 Caledonia Gladiators1010%59.090.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2221171878
Murcia2112242683
← all games of the day
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