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FMP Beograd vs Dubai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-107
19-25 22-27 26-27 24-28
Position#10
Record3-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Dubai 🏆
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game67.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7· Belgrade
Domestic2025
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Dubai
17 Nov 2025
FBE91
DUB107
29 Nov 2024
FBE86
DUB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
55avg 68
A18/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
49avg 68
H21/05
Super League
Partizan
#1
L
74-84
74
84
-10
47avg 68
A15/06
Super League
Partizan
#1
W
78-69
78
69
+9
57avg 68
H17/06
Super League
Partizan
#1
L
80-90
80
90
-10
60avg 68
A19/06
Super League
Igokea
#14
L
88-92
88
92
-4
69avg 68
A03/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
87-80
87
80
+7
44avg 68
H11/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
96avg 68
A20/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 68
A03/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 68
H08/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
24-19
24-22
14-24
17-14
24-27
21-14
15-18
16-8
21-21
19-26
18-29
17-16
17-15
25-13
19-25
23-23
22-30
17-19
18-18
20-28
25-21
19-20
24-23
14-26
31-16
12-17
30-21
23-21
16-26
30-21
21-22
24-22
16-21
23-12
20-19
25-20
18-18
23-9
16-14
165.1Avg total
83.8Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.683.2171.8+5.460%
Season at home (2)84.570.5155.0+14.0100%
Season away (3)91.391.7183.0-0.333%
Last 10 (10)83.881.3165.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)88.683.2171.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)75.591.9167.4-16.417%
vs Similar (10)81.776.6158.3+5.170%
vs Weaker (7)90.179.1169.3+11.086%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 83
H19/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
79-85
79
85
-6
80avg 83
A23/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
83-79
83
79
+4
71avg 83
A26/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
L
85-92
85
92
-7
73avg 83
A28/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
79avg 83
H03/11
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
97-109
97
109
-12
88avg 83
H06/11
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 83
H09/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
102-86
102
86
+16
100avg 83
H11/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
95-89
95
89
+6
91avg 83
H14/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
13-12
18-21
22-22
24-21
20-23
24-15
11-26
24-16
15-21
20-22
24-20
20-26
22-15
18-23
25-28
20-23
21-15
23-22
14-20
18-19
23-24
25-12
16-15
26-25
22-22
19-35
30-27
21-16
16-16
18-18
22-19
29-21
22-26
18-18
33-21
24-34
21-14
28-16
22-25
169.5Avg total
85.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.067.7149.7+14.3100%
Season at home (4)83.068.5151.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)80.066.0146.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.983.6169.5+2.360%
Last 5 (5)90.684.6175.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.099.2183.2-15.225%
vs Similar (13)88.786.2174.9+2.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.875.4160.2+9.477%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.4-0.4
FMP BeogradDubai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/05
Super League
Partizan
#1
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A15/06
Super League
Partizan
#1
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H17/06
Super League
Partizan
#1
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A19/06
Super League
Igokea
#14
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A03/10
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#16
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H11/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A20/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/11
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/11
ABA League
82.5Avg total
41.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.881.9-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.140.583.6+2.658%-
Last 30 away (18)38.142.780.8-4.628%-
Last 10 (10)41.740.882.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.443.886.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.445.183.5-6.717%-
vs Similar (10)39.539.779.2-0.260%-
vs Weaker (7)45.039.484.4+5.657%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cluj-Napoca
#7
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/10
ABA League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A23/10
Euroleague
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A26/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/11
ABA League
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H06/11
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H11/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Euroleague
84.0Avg total
42.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.885.0+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.139.984.0+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)44.341.886.1+2.571%-
Last 10 (10)42.941.184.0+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.487.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.848.890.5-7.050%-
vs Similar (13)45.042.587.5+2.554%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.136.680.7+7.585%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.119.3
49.4%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.2%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.317.8
76.4%
75.3%17.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.5
53.9%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.519.1
78.0%
75.3%19.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWLWLLWLWW
Dubai
WWWLWLLWLW
#10
League position
#1
+2.6
Net rating
+2.8
108.9
Offensive rating
115.2
106.3
Defensive rating
112.3
51.3%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.2%
Turnover %
13.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.2%
3-point %
31.5%
48.2%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 115.2Defence106.3 · 112.3Shooting51.3% · 51.4%3-point %36.2% · 31.5%Ball care17.2% · 13.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 32.1%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Dubai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
FMP Beograd wins
1
Dubai wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Dubai v FMP Beograd84-61
29/11/24FMP Beograd v Dubai86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HKK Krka Novo mesto82-61
03/11/25ABorac Mozzart83-74
20/10/25APartizan103-109 OT
11/10/25HStudentski Centar87-80
03/10/25AIgokea88-92
19/06/25APartizan80-90
17/06/25HPartizan78-69
15/06/25APartizan74-84
21/05/25HMega Basket77-73
18/05/25AMega Basket86-81
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas95-89
11/11/25HCrvena zvezda102-86
09/11/25HStudentski Centar77-69
06/11/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-109
03/11/25HPartizan82-70
30/10/25AValencia78-80
28/10/25ABaskonia85-92
26/10/25AKK Krka Novo mesto83-79
23/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne79-85
19/10/25HCluj-Napoca81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game88.684.591.3
Allowed / game83.270.591.7
Point differential+5.4+14.0-0.3
Avg total171.8155.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Dubai
ABA League 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.083.080.0
Allowed / game67.768.566.0
Point differential+14.3+14.5+14.0
Avg total149.7151.5146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai660100%82.067.7+14.3
2 Cedevita Olimpija54180%93.478.4+15.0
3 Partizan54180%86.883.6+3.2
4 Igokea54180%89.286.8+2.4
5 Buducnost75271%88.084.0+4.0
6 Cluj-Napoca64267%90.082.2+7.8
7 Spartak Subotica64267%79.776.5+3.2
8 Crvena zvezda53260%89.881.8+8.0
9 FMP Beograd53260%88.683.2+5.4
10 KK Bosna63350%80.582.5-2.0
11 Mega Basket62433%87.293.0-5.8
12 Split62433%79.586.0-6.5
13 Vienna Basket62433%74.080.7-6.7
14 Perspektiva Ilirija62433%82.589.5-7.0
15 Studentski Centar72529%80.182.9-2.7
16 Zadar72529%80.385.0-4.7
17 Borac Mozzart61517%72.784.5-11.8
18 KK Krka Novo mesto6060%74.584.3-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1922262491
Dubai25272728107
← all games of the day
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