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Dubai vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-61
23-15 16-11 21-20 24-15
Position#4
Record19-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game78.3
Dubai 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record12-12
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game85.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 25· Coca-Cola Arena
Domestic2024
Meetings · Dubai v FMP Beograd
26 Jan 2026
DUB98
FBE82
29 Mar 2025
DUB84
FBE61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubai
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
73avg 85
A05/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
107-92
107
92
+15
112avg 85
A12/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
84avg 85
H19/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
95-66
95
66
+29
92avg 85
A27/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
98-74
98
74
+24
102avg 85
H02/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
90-84
90
84
+6
89avg 85
A08/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
90-61
90
61
+29
93avg 85
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 85
H08/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 85
H17/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
93-78
93
78
+15
92avg 85
A22/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
15-20
20-16
17-27
26-24
24-21
28-19
29-28
19-20
25-17
22-32
18-16
29-12
22-22
27-15
17-17
25-16
30-21
25-19
18-18
20-16
24-20
25-24
21-24
29-19
17-14
23-17
21-11
20-19
28-20
28-23
22-24
26-14
15-15
16-19
23-24
21-20
19-20
31-26
22-12
170.0Avg total
91.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.078.3166.2+9.779%
Season at home (11)89.477.0166.4+12.482%
Season away (13)86.879.4166.2+7.477%
Last 10 (10)91.378.7170.0+12.680%
Last 5 (5)90.276.2166.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.577.0147.5-6.550%
vs Similar (5)89.486.8176.2+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.675.9165.5+13.688%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 79
H19/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 79
A25/01
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 79
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 79
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 79
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
55avg 79
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
67avg 79
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 79
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 79
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 79
A21/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
26-27
18-17
25-17
17-24
13-21
21-26
21-21
21-17
23-25
19-23
26-23
29-16
20-25
19-20
18-24
15-20
17-20
21-17
18-13
16-22
18-19
21-22
8-21
15-15
17-21
27-14
19-5
21-26
15-18
12-23
17-23
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
162.1Avg total
78.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)79.785.4165.0-5.750%
Season at home (12)82.981.0163.9+1.975%
Season away (12)76.489.8166.2-13.325%
Last 10 (10)78.283.9162.1-5.760%
Last 5 (5)75.083.4158.4-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.987.6161.5-13.721%
vs Similar (7)86.483.1169.6+3.371%
vs Weaker (3)85.381.7167.0+3.7100%
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.6+0.6
DubaiFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A05/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/01
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A27/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H02/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H02/03
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H17/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A22/03
ABA League
83.6Avg total
46.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)45.938.184.0+7.875%-
Last 30 at home (11)47.437.384.6+10.191%-
Last 30 away (13)44.738.883.5+5.962%-
Last 10 (10)46.037.683.6+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.479.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.032.066.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (5)49.642.291.8+7.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.237.683.8+8.676%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Basket
#9
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
82.0Avg total
38.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.781.4-4.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.882.1-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.243.680.8-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.482.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.042.679.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.644.180.7-7.516%-
vs Similar (7)42.339.381.6+3.071%-
vs Weaker (3)45.343.088.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.120.1
60.7%
54.0%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.211.0
45.5%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.217.1
84.7%
75.6%17.1
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.419.7
47.6%
54.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.2
31.6%
35.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.0
76.2%
75.6%16.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WWWWWWWLWL
FMP Beograd
LWLWLWWWLW
#4
League position
#11
+17.7
Net rating
-8.3
127.1
Offensive rating
102.0
109.3
Defensive rating
110.4
63.9%
Effective FG%
47.5%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.3%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
45.5%
3-point %
31.6%
60.1%
Assist %
53.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence127.1 · 102.0Defence109.3 · 110.4Shooting63.9% · 47.5%3-point %45.5% · 31.6%Ball care16.9% · 17.3%Off. rebounds30.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Dubai   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubai wins
1
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
29/11/24FMP Beograd v Dubai86-84
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25AKK Krka Novo mesto93-78
17/03/25HPartizan80-72
08/03/25HStudentski Centar98-86
02/03/25HCibona90-61
08/02/25ASpartak Subotica90-84
02/02/25HBorac Mozzart98-74
27/01/25AMega Basket95-66
19/01/25HCedevita Olimpija84-85
12/01/25ACrvena zvezda107-92
05/01/25ABuducnost78-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/25AZadar71-99
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89
10/03/25APartizan65-90
02/03/25HStudentski Centar78-55
14/02/25ACrvena zvezda63-84
12/02/25ASpartak Subotica71-70
07/02/25ACibona86-85
01/02/25HSpartak Subotica89-88
25/01/25ABorac Mozzart72-92
19/01/25HMega Basket89-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubai
ABA League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %79%82%77%
Points / game88.089.486.8
Allowed / game78.377.079.4
Point differential+9.7+12.4+7.4
Avg total166.2166.4166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%55%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game79.782.976.4
Allowed / game85.481.089.8
Point differential-5.7+1.9-13.3
Avg total165.0163.9166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2421388%91.974.0+17.9
2 Buducnost2421388%90.276.0+14.2
3 Crvena zvezda2419579%88.878.4+10.4
4 Dubai2419579%88.078.3+9.7
5 Igokea2416867%84.484.9-0.5
6 Cedevita Olimpija2415962%83.279.7+3.6
7 Zadar24121250%76.775.1+1.5
8 Spartak Subotica24121250%83.882.5+1.3
9 FMP Beograd24121250%79.785.4-5.7
10 Mega Basket24111346%82.281.7+0.5
11 Studentski Centar2491538%83.785.5-1.8
12 Split2481633%77.183.0-5.8
13 Borac Mozzart2481633%75.983.3-7.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2442017%81.988.7-6.8
15 Cibona2442017%76.187.5-11.4
16 Mornar Bar241234%74.994.7-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubai2316212484
FMP Beograd1511201561
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