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Mega Basket vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-86
16-24 19-24 22-24 24-14
Position#6
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Mega Basket
Serbia
vs
FMP Beograd 🏆
Serbia
Position#2
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game75.5
SerbiaSuper LeagueSuperleague - Quarter-finals· Hala sportova Ranko
Other2025
Meetings · Mega Basket v FMP Beograd
28 Mar 2026
MEG79
FBE84
18 May 2025
MEG81
FBE86
29 Sep 2024
MEG83
FBE80
14 Jan 2024
MEG86
FBE72
04 Jun 2023
MEG72
FBE75
08 Jan 2023
MEG77
FBE72
24 Oct 2021
MEG82
FBE89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
72-81
72
81
-9
69avg 75
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 75
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 75
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 75
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 75
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 75
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 75
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 75
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 75
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 75
H16/05
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-33
18-16
13-17
23-15
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
18-29
16-23
28-24
18-20
21-19
17-30
31-15
18-28
165.9Avg total
81.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.684.3165.9-2.750%
Last 5 (5)84.088.2172.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.087.6166.6-8.69%
vs Similar (9)78.382.6160.9-4.256%
vs Weaker (9)89.481.0170.4+8.467%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 69
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 69
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
53avg 69
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
76avg 69
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 69
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 69
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 69
A28/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
93-94
93
94
-1
86avg 69
H04/05
ABA League
Zlatibor
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
79avg 69
A08/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#8
W
108-69
108
69
+39
79avg 69
H11/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
15-23
11-16
20-21
15-24
19-10
18-15
26-25
24-22
19-17
22-22
25-15
19-18
22-22
22-23
19-30
19-27
23-29
21-13
13-18
12-18
24-25
25-27
24-20
20-22
20-26
21-19
32-12
26-25
27-11
27-29
29-13
25-16
169.4Avg total
85.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)103.575.5179.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)108.069.0177.0+39.0100%
Season away (1)99.082.0181.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.384.1169.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)90.285.0175.2+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)74.688.5163.1-13.917%
vs Similar (6)90.084.2174.2+5.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.276.8169.0+15.4100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
Mega BasketFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A17/03
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H16/05
ABA League
89.8Avg total
41.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.744.086.7-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.440.283.6+3.260%-
Last 30 away (15)42.147.789.8-5.713%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.989.8-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.448.690.0-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.645.685.3-6.027%-
vs Similar (9)41.745.987.6-4.222%-
vs Weaker (9)47.142.289.3+4.956%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/05
ABA League
Zlatibor
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/05
Super League
83.8Avg total
41.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.082.1-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.341.284.5+2.146%-
Last 30 away (17)37.642.680.2-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.983.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.891.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)38.444.182.4-5.717%-
vs Similar (6)42.540.082.5+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.837.482.2+7.480%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.5
56.4%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.1
34.6%
34.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.414.5
74.7%
73.4%14.5
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.722.8
52.2%
52.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.7
77.0%
73.4%14.7
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLLWWWWWLL
FMP Beograd
WWLLLWWLLW
#6
League position
#2
-3.3
Net rating
+1.3
105.8
Offensive rating
109.7
109.1
Defensive rating
108.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.0%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
32.7%
66.4%
Assist %
52.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 109.7Defence109.1 · 108.4Shooting54.4% · 51.0%3-point %34.6% · 32.7%Ball care18.9% · 16.0%Off. rebounds22.9% · 33.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Mega Basket   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mega Basket wins
4
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25FMP Beograd v Mega Basket89-87
29/09/24Mega Basket v FMP Beograd83-80
14/01/24Mega Basket v FMP Beograd86-72
16/10/23FMP Beograd v Mega Basket73-83
07/06/23FMP Beograd v Mega Basket96-70
04/06/23Mega Basket v FMP Beograd72-75
17/02/23FMP Beograd v Mega Basket67-86
08/01/23Mega Basket v FMP Beograd77-72
03/10/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket90-76
29/01/22FMP Beograd v Mega Basket79-86
Mega Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/25HBuducnost87-92
11/05/25ABuducnost80-96
04/05/25APartizan82-89
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81
17/03/25ACrvena zvezda72-81
FMP Beogradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25HZlatibor108-69
08/05/25AZlatibor99-82
04/05/25HCrvena zvezda93-94
28/04/25ABuducnost69-78
19/04/25HIgokea82-102
14/04/25ASplit85-72
04/04/25HMornar Bar87-72
29/03/25ADubai61-84
21/03/25AZadar71-99
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
Super League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
FMP Beograd
Super League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.5108.099.0
Allowed / game75.569.082.0
Point differential+28.0+39.0+17.0
Avg total179.0177.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd220100%103.575.5+28.0
2 Spartak Subotica110100%94.076.0+18.0
3 Borac Mozzart21150%71.581.0-9.5
4 Vrsac31233%79.379.0+0.3
5 Zlatibor2020%75.5103.5-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1619222481
FMP Beograd2424241486
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