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FMP Beograd vs Mega Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 77-73
17-14 24-27 21-14 15-18
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game97.7
Allowed / game77.3
vs
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game86.0
SerbiaSuper LeagueSuperleague - Quarter-finals· Belgrade
Other2025
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Mega Basket
15 Feb 2026
FBE102
MEG87
21 May 2025
FBE77
MEG73
19 Jan 2025
FBE89
MEG87
16 Oct 2023
FBE73
MEG83
07 Jun 2023
FBE96
MEG70
17 Feb 2023
FBE67
MEG86
03 Oct 2022
FBE90
MEG76
29 Jan 2022
FBE79
MEG86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 69
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
53avg 69
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
76avg 69
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 69
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 69
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 69
A28/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
93-94
93
94
-1
86avg 69
H04/05
ABA League
Zlatibor
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
79avg 69
A08/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#8
W
108-69
108
69
+39
79avg 69
H11/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#6
W
86-81
86
81
+5
55avg 69
A18/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
15-23
11-16
20-21
15-24
19-10
18-15
26-25
24-22
19-17
22-22
25-15
19-18
22-22
22-23
19-30
19-27
23-29
21-13
13-18
12-18
24-25
25-27
24-20
20-22
20-26
21-19
32-12
26-25
27-11
27-29
29-13
25-16
24-16
24-19
24-22
14-24
167.4Avg total
84.1Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)97.777.3175.0+20.3100%
Season at home (1)108.069.0177.0+39.0100%
Season away (2)92.581.5174.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.183.3167.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)91.080.8171.8+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.488.8163.2-14.518%
vs Similar (6)90.084.2174.2+5.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.277.5168.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
59avg 75
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
70avg 75
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
79avg 75
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
97-90
97
90
+7
100avg 75
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
88-83
88
83
+5
81avg 75
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
72avg 75
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
82-89
82
89
-7
78avg 75
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
68avg 75
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 75
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
56avg 75
H18/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
20-22
16-25
18-11
24-25
19-18
14-15
18-16
26-26
17-24
17-18
20-8
30-25
22-24
27-18
18-23
20-27
27-24
10-11
31-21
21-18
28-19
13-24
21-20
23-34
16-20
19-22
24-13
18-29
16-23
28-24
18-20
21-19
17-30
31-15
18-28
16-24
19-24
22-24
24-14
167.3Avg total
82.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)81.086.0167.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.584.8167.3-2.350%
Last 5 (5)82.688.8171.4-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.287.5166.7-8.38%
vs Similar (9)78.382.6160.9-4.256%
vs Weaker (8)90.679.9170.5+10.875%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
FMP BeogradMega Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/05
ABA League
Zlatibor
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/05
Super League
Zlatibor
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/05
Super League
Mega Basket
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A18/05
Super League
83.2Avg total
41.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.242.182.3-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.341.985.2+1.442%-
Last 30 away (18)38.242.280.3-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.383.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)47.242.890.0+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.144.782.8-6.612%-
vs Similar (6)42.540.082.5+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.337.082.3+8.383%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H23/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/03
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A05/04
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H15/04
ABA League
Cibona
#16
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A21/04
ABA League
Studentski Centar
#12
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H28/04
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A04/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A11/05
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H16/05
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/05
Super League
89.6Avg total
41.8Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.086.5-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.783.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)42.247.789.9-5.514%-
Last 10 (10)41.847.889.6-6.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.048.087.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.245.885.1-6.625%-
vs Similar (9)41.745.987.6-4.222%-
vs Weaker (8)48.041.589.5+6.562%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.822.8
52.1%
52.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.7
30.4%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.714.2
75.9%
73.4%14.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.021.1
58.6%
52.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.0
31.6%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.115.7
74.4%
73.4%15.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WWWLLLWWLL
Mega Basket
LLLLWWWWWL
#2
League position
#6
+0.3
Net rating
-2.2
106.9
Offensive rating
106.6
106.6
Defensive rating
108.9
49.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.9%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.4%
3-point %
31.6%
51.1%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 106.6Defence106.6 · 108.9Shooting49.7% · 54.0%3-point %30.4% · 31.6%Ball care15.2% · 17.9%Off. rebounds31.7% · 22.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Mega Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
FMP Beograd wins
5
Mega Basket wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25AMega Basket86-81
11/05/25HZlatibor108-69
08/05/25AZlatibor99-82
04/05/25HCrvena zvezda93-94
28/04/25ABuducnost69-78
19/04/25HIgokea82-102
14/04/25ASplit85-72
04/04/25HMornar Bar87-72
29/03/25ADubai61-84
21/03/25AZadar71-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/25HFMP Beograd81-86
16/05/25HBuducnost87-92
11/05/25ABuducnost80-96
04/05/25APartizan82-89
28/04/25HStudentski Centar83-81
21/04/25ACibona88-83
15/04/25HSpartak Subotica97-90
05/04/25ABorac Mozzart80-76
30/03/25HZadar75-74
23/03/25HCedevita Olimpija72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Super League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game97.7108.092.5
Allowed / game77.369.081.5
Point differential+20.3+39.0+11.0
Avg total175.0177.0174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mega Basket
Super League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd330100%97.777.3+20.3
2 Spartak Subotica220100%89.079.5+9.5
3 Borac Mozzart21150%71.581.0-9.5
4 Vrsac41325%80.280.2+0.0
5 Mega Basket1010%81.086.0-5.0
6 Zlatibor2020%75.5103.5-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1724211577
Mega Basket1427141873
← all games of the day
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