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FMP Beograd vs Zlatibor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 108-69
27-11 27-29 29-13 25-16
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game99.0
SerbiaSuper League· Belgrade
Other2025
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zlatibor
11 May 2025
FBE108
ZLA69
03 May 2023
FBE112
ZLA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zlatibor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 69
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 69
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 69
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
53avg 69
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
76avg 69
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 69
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 69
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
53avg 69
A28/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
93-94
93
94
-1
86avg 69
H04/05
ABA League
Zlatibor
#8
W
99-82
99
82
+17
79avg 69
A08/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
15-18
12-23
17-23
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
15-23
11-16
20-21
15-24
19-10
18-15
26-25
24-22
19-17
22-22
25-15
19-18
22-22
22-23
19-30
19-27
23-29
21-13
13-18
12-18
24-25
25-27
24-20
20-22
20-26
21-19
32-12
26-25
167.2Avg total
81.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.082.0181.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)99.082.0181.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.086.2167.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)85.685.6171.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.088.6162.6-14.616%
vs Similar (6)90.084.2174.2+5.883%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)88.278.8167.0+9.5100%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborSerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Cacak 94
#13
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 78
H23/03
First League
KK Mladost SP
#15
W
92-88
92
88
+4
89avg 78
A26/03
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
97-91
97
91
+6
88avg 78
H29/03
First League
KK Bosna
#1
L
57-98
57
98
-41
44avg 78
A02/04
ABA League 2
OKK Beograd
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
82avg 78
A05/04
First League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
69avg 78
H09/04
ABA League 2
Tamis
#12
W
101-97
101
97
+4
99avg 78
H12/04
First League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
59-87
59
87
-28
46avg 78
A16/04
ABA League 2
Mladost Zemun
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
81avg 78
A19/04
First League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
82-99
82
99
-17
59avg 78
H08/05
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
28-13
30-18
18-20
21-24
28-21
20-30
23-13
27-16
27-19
27-27
16-29
19-23
9-29
14-20
15-26
34-21
28-21
19-23
14-23
23-21
27-20
22-27
10-22
25-32
30-18
21-26
25-21
14-21
18-27
16-18
11-21
21-28
23-17
19-28
19-23
26-20
19-21
12-32
25-26
174.9Avg total
84.4Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.099.0181.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)82.099.0181.0-17.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.490.5174.9-6.150%
Last 5 (5)81.293.8175.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.687.9164.4-11.343%
vs Similar (9)88.783.9172.6+4.867%
vs Weaker (14)91.179.1170.2+11.986%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
FMP BeogradZlatibor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A14/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/04
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A28/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H04/05
ABA League
Zlatibor
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A08/05
Super League
82.4Avg total
40.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.242.581.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.342.483.7-1.138%-
Last 30 away (17)37.642.680.2-5.029%-
Last 10 (10)40.142.382.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.844.688.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.844.682.5-6.816%-
vs Similar (6)42.540.082.5+2.567%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.536.879.2+5.875%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cacak 94
#13
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H23/03
First League
KK Mladost SP
#15
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A26/03
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H29/03
First League
KK Bosna
#1
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A02/04
ABA League 2
OKK Beograd
#7
W
62-42
62
42
+20
A05/04
First League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H09/04
ABA League 2
Tamis
#12
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H12/04
First League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A16/04
ABA League 2
Mladost Zemun
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A19/04
First League
FMP Beograd
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/05
Super League
90.0Avg total
46.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.840.587.3+6.383%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.440.990.3+8.593%-
Last 30 away (15)44.240.184.3+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)46.843.290.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.090.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.744.986.6-3.157%-
vs Similar (9)46.140.086.1+6.189%-
vs Weaker (14)49.838.788.5+11.193%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.0
49.6%
52.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.8
32.1%
34.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.520.1
56.6%
52.9%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
34.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
73.4%14.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
WLLLWWLLWL
Zlatibor
LLLWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#8
-7.6
Net rating
-7.3
104.8
Offensive rating
108.0
112.4
Defensive rating
115.3
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.1%
3-point %
32.7%
54.9%
Assist %
56.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 108.0Defence112.4 · 115.3Shooting49.1% · 53.2%3-point %32.1% · 32.7%Ball care16.1% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 24.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zlatibor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
FMP Beograd wins
0
Zlatibor wins
DateGameScore
08/05/25Zlatibor v FMP Beograd82-99
23/05/23Zlatibor v FMP Beograd78-97
03/05/23FMP Beograd v Zlatibor112-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/25AZlatibor99-82
04/05/25HCrvena zvezda93-94
28/04/25ABuducnost69-78
19/04/25HIgokea82-102
14/04/25ASplit85-72
04/04/25HMornar Bar87-72
29/03/25ADubai61-84
21/03/25AZadar71-99
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89
10/03/25APartizan65-90
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/25HFMP Beograd82-99
19/04/25AMladost Zemun82-96
16/04/25APerspektiva Ilirija59-87
12/04/25HTamis101-97
09/04/25HPerspektiva Ilirija82-90
05/04/25AOKK Beograd95-88
02/04/25AKK Bosna57-98
29/03/25HDynamic97-91
26/03/25AKK Mladost SP92-88
23/03/25HCacak 9497-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
Super League 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game99.0-99.0
Allowed / game82.0-82.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total181.0-181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Zlatibor
Super League 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game99.099.0-
Point differential-17.0-17.0-
Avg total181.0181.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FMP Beograd110100%99.082.0+17.0
2 Vrsac21150%81.071.5+9.5
3 Borac Mozzart21150%71.581.0-9.5
4 Zlatibor1010%82.099.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd27272925108
Zlatibor1129131669
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