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Split vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 14 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-85
17-19 22-22 15-25 18-19
Position#14
Record8-18
FormLWLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#11
Record13-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 27· Dvorana KK Split
Domestic2024
Meetings · Split v FMP Beograd
12 Jan 2026
SPL76
FBE85
14 Apr 2025
SPL72
FBE85
29 Jan 2024
SPL78
FBE66
20 Jan 2023
SPL91
FBE95
02 Apr 2022
SPL85
FBE90
12 Oct 2020
SPL86
FBE71
18 Oct 2008
SPL68
FBE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
W
103-66
103
66
+37
108avg 78
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#16
W
88-82
88
82
+6
86avg 78
H17/03
ABA League
Zabok
#8
L
76-91
76
91
-15
66avg 78
A21/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
L
89-102
89
102
-13
79avg 78
A24/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
107-72
107
72
+35
112avg 78
H27/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
64-81
64
81
-17
55avg 78
H30/03
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
61avg 78
A04/04
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
L
73-82
73
82
-9
60avg 78
A06/04
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
92avg 78
H09/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
87-74
87
74
+13
83avg 78
A11/04
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
26-17
24-11
26-18
31-21
22-24
22-19
13-18
18-25
21-22
13-25
24-19
22-29
15-19
25-27
27-27
32-20
25-21
24-11
26-20
19-21
11-20
20-23
14-17
23-12
18-10
21-19
8-24
21-22
19-16
15-17
18-27
23-20
25-28
20-16
26-22
26-18
25-23
14-18
22-15
165.2Avg total
85.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.582.8159.3-6.431%
Season at home (14)76.078.7154.7-2.750%
Season away (12)77.087.7164.7-10.78%
Last 10 (10)85.180.1165.2+5.060%
Last 5 (5)77.677.6155.2+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.784.7155.4-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.474.4145.8-3.040%
vs Weaker (18)86.670.7157.2+15.989%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 77
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 77
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 77
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
55avg 77
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
67avg 77
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 77
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 77
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
71-99
71
99
-28
50avg 77
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
53avg 77
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-72
87
72
+15
76avg 77
H04/04
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-25
19-23
26-23
29-16
20-25
19-20
18-24
15-20
17-20
21-17
18-13
16-22
18-19
21-22
8-21
15-15
17-21
27-14
19-5
21-26
15-18
12-23
17-23
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
22-27
13-24
16-25
20-23
15-23
11-16
20-21
15-24
19-10
18-15
26-25
24-22
158.5Avg total
76.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.284.8164.0-5.650%
Season at home (13)83.280.3163.5+2.977%
Season away (13)75.289.3164.5-14.123%
Last 10 (10)76.981.6158.5-4.760%
Last 5 (5)76.486.8163.2-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)73.488.9162.4-15.516%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.585.8174.3+2.767%
vs Weaker (4)85.879.2165.0+6.5100%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
SplitFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cibona
#16
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H17/03
ABA League
Zabok
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A21/03
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A24/03
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H27/03
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H30/03
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
W
41-22
41
22
+19
A04/04
Premijer liga
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A06/04
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H09/04
Premijer liga
Cibona
#5
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A11/04
Premijer liga
85.7Avg total
44.9Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.779.3+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.037.979.9+4.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.137.678.7+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)44.940.885.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.444.477.9-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.239.276.4-2.040%-
vs Weaker (18)45.934.780.6+11.283%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A21/03
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A29/03
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#17
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H04/04
ABA League
77.3Avg total
37.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.443.081.4-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.942.683.5-1.738%-
Last 30 away (17)36.543.379.8-6.824%-
Last 10 (10)37.340.077.3-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.076.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.345.081.3-8.711%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.040.283.2+2.867%-
vs Weaker (4)43.238.581.8+4.875%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.5
55.2%
54.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.0
39.3%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.314.3
78.1%
75.6%14.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.3
47.0%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.9
30.0%
35.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.616.4
75.9%
75.6%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Split
WWLWLWLLWW
FMP Beograd
WLLWLWLWWW
#14
League position
#11
+7.4
Net rating
-7.2
120.3
Offensive rating
98.7
112.9
Defensive rating
105.9
56.9%
Effective FG%
46.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
39.3%
3-point %
30.0%
67.1%
Assist %
53.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.3 · 98.7Defence112.9 · 105.9Shooting56.9% · 46.3%3-point %39.3% · 30.0%Ball care14.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.5% · 28.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Split   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Split wins
8
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
13/12/24FMP Beograd v Split98-91 OT
29/01/24Split v FMP Beograd78-66
27/10/23FMP Beograd v Split84-66
20/01/23Split v FMP Beograd91-95
17/10/22FMP Beograd v Split90-73
02/04/22Split v FMP Beograd85-90 OT
14/12/21FMP Beograd v Split93-77
15/01/21FMP Beograd v Split96-92 OT
12/10/20Split v FMP Beograd86-71
17/01/09FMP Beograd v Split86-59
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/25ACibona87-74
09/04/25HDinamo Zagreb94-86
06/04/25AKK Krka Novo mesto73-82
04/04/25AKvarner70-65
30/03/25HPartizan64-81
27/03/25HDubrava107-72
24/03/25AStudentski Centar89-102
21/03/25AZabok76-91
17/03/25HCibona88-82
14/03/25HAlkar103-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25HMornar Bar87-72
29/03/25ADubai61-84
21/03/25AZadar71-99
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89
10/03/25APartizan65-90
02/03/25HStudentski Centar78-55
14/02/25ACrvena zvezda63-84
12/02/25ASpartak Subotica71-70
07/02/25ACibona86-85
01/02/25HSpartak Subotica89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Split
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %31%50%8%
Points / game76.576.077.0
Allowed / game82.878.787.7
Point differential-6.4-2.7-10.7
Avg total159.3154.7164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%21%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %8%7%8%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLWLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%77%23%
Points / game79.283.275.2
Allowed / game84.880.389.3
Point differential-5.6+2.9-14.1
Avg total164.0163.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2623388%91.874.4+17.4
2 Buducnost2623388%91.077.1+13.9
3 Dubai2722581%87.877.0+10.8
4 Crvena zvezda2620677%89.078.5+10.5
5 Cedevita Olimpija27171063%84.379.6+4.7
6 Igokea27171063%86.186.7-0.6
7 Spartak Subotica26141254%84.282.6+1.6
8 Mega Basket26131350%81.981.2+0.7
9 FMP Beograd26131350%79.284.8-5.6
10 Zadar27121544%75.975.8+0.1
11 Studentski Centar26101638%85.387.2-1.8
12 Borac Mozzart2791833%75.182.9-7.7
13 Split2681831%76.582.8-6.4
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2752219%81.987.9-6.1
15 Cibona2742315%76.788.8-12.1
16 Mornar Bar272257%74.893.0-18.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Split1722151872
FMP Beograd1922251985
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