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Zadar vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 99-71
27-22 24-13 25-16 23-20
Position#10
Record11-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game75.3
Zadar 🏆
vs
Position#11
Record12-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game84.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 24· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Domestic2024
Meetings · Zadar v FMP Beograd
14 Apr 2026
ZAD76
FBE65
21 Mar 2025
ZAD99
FBE71
28 Mar 2024
ZAD72
FBE75
02 Dec 2022
ZAD103
FBE97
06 Feb 2022
ZAD83
FBE80
12 Mar 2021
ZAD63
FBE76
21 Dec 2018
ZAD79
FBE85
15 Jan 2018
ZAD83
FBE77
30 Sep 2016
ZAD78
FBE76
21 Nov 2009
ZAD90
FBE69
29 Nov 2008
ZAD88
FBE53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 74
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
98-71
98
71
+27
98avg 74
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
75-100
75
100
-25
72avg 74
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 74
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
68-79
68
79
-11
55avg 74
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
L
76-87
76
87
-11
72avg 74
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
72-63
72
63
+9
68avg 74
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
91-71
91
71
+20
85avg 74
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 74
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
75-80 OT
75
80
-5
69avg 74
A16/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-8
26-29
12-16
38-21
30-11
13-22
17-17
16-22
19-29
25-21
15-28
21-21
22-18
15-16
12-16
13-10
18-28
22-19
15-22
10-20
31-19
13-19
22-29
13-8
16-21
16-14
27-20
26-16
17-21
23-16
25-18
25-10
21-19
20-20
9-16
10-15
25-16
15-17
16-18
154.4Avg total
78.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.775.3151.0+0.448%
Season at home (12)73.272.0145.2+1.250%
Season away (11)78.578.9157.4-0.545%
Last 10 (10)78.376.1154.4+2.250%
Last 5 (5)77.873.2151.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.885.5158.2-12.80%
vs Similar (7)72.170.1142.3+2.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)77.766.5144.2+11.283%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
58-91
58
91
-33
48avg 79
A12/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 79
H19/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
72-92
72
92
-20
61avg 79
A25/01
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
89-88
89
88
+1
80avg 79
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 79
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
71-70
71
70
+1
64avg 79
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-84
63
84
-21
55avg 79
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
67avg 79
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
65-90
65
90
-25
50avg 79
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
98-89
98
89
+9
99avg 79
H16/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
15-23
14-19
14-29
20-26
26-27
18-17
25-17
17-24
13-21
21-26
21-21
21-17
23-25
19-23
26-23
29-16
20-25
19-20
18-24
15-20
17-20
21-17
18-13
16-22
18-19
21-22
8-21
15-15
17-21
27-14
19-5
21-26
15-18
12-23
17-23
29-19
19-22
23-25
27-23
160.0Avg total
76.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.084.8164.8-4.752%
Season at home (12)82.981.0163.9+1.975%
Season away (11)76.988.9165.8-12.027%
Last 10 (10)76.983.1160.0-6.260%
Last 5 (5)75.077.6152.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.486.7161.1-12.421%
vs Similar (7)86.483.1169.6+3.371%
vs Weaker (3)85.381.7167.0+3.7100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
ZadarFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A03/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H06/02
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A10/02
ABA League
Split
#1
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
Croatian Cup
Kvarner
#4
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/02
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#5
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H06/03
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A09/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/03
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A16/03
ABA League
77.0Avg total
41.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.335.276.4+6.180%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.532.776.2+10.892%-
Last 30 away (17)39.537.176.6+2.571%-
Last 10 (10)41.635.477.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.833.071.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (7)40.637.478.0+3.186%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.032.674.6+9.483%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A12/01
ABA League
Mega Basket
#9
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/01
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#13
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A25/01
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H01/02
ABA League
Cibona
#16
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A07/02
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A14/02
Korac cup
Studentski Centar
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/03
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/03
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H16/03
ABA League
80.7Avg total
38.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.381.3-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.882.1-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.880.6-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.680.7-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.476.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.243.480.6-6.321%-
vs Similar (7)42.339.381.6+3.071%-
vs Weaker (3)45.343.088.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.0
50.4%
54.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.1
35.1%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.715.3
77.7%
75.6%15.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.8
47.2%
54.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.0
31.7%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
75.6%17.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
LWWWLLLLWW
FMP Beograd
WLWLWWWLWL
#10
League position
#11
+2.7
Net rating
-9.1
108.7
Offensive rating
101.3
106.0
Defensive rating
110.4
51.2%
Effective FG%
47.3%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.1%
3-point %
31.7%
62.0%
Assist %
56.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 101.3Defence106.0 · 110.4Shooting51.2% · 47.3%3-point %35.1% · 31.7%Ball care17.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Zadar   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Zadar wins
5
FMP Beograd wins
DateGameScore
17/11/24FMP Beograd v Zadar67-83
28/03/24Zadar v FMP Beograd72-75
15/12/23FMP Beograd v Zadar77-92
17/03/23FMP Beograd v Zadar112-87
02/12/22Zadar v FMP Beograd103-97
06/02/22Zadar v FMP Beograd83-80
31/10/21FMP Beograd v Zadar83-76
12/03/21Zadar v FMP Beograd63-76
15/12/20FMP Beograd v Zadar89-99 OT
21/12/18Zadar v FMP Beograd79-85
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25ACedevita Olimpija75-80 OT
14/03/25HGKK Sibenka75-65
09/03/25AOsijek91-71
06/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto72-63
02/03/25ACrvena zvezda76-87
28/02/25AKvarner68-79
12/02/25ASplit70-71
10/02/25APartizan75-100
06/02/25HDinamo Zagreb98-71
03/02/25AGKK Sibenka83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HKK Krka Novo mesto98-89
10/03/25APartizan65-90
02/03/25HStudentski Centar78-55
14/02/25ACrvena zvezda63-84
12/02/25ASpartak Subotica71-70
07/02/25ACibona86-85
01/02/25HSpartak Subotica89-88
25/01/25ABorac Mozzart72-92
19/01/25HMega Basket89-87
12/01/25ACedevita Olimpija58-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
ABA League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL48%
HomeWWWWW50%
AwayLLLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%50%45%
Points / game75.773.278.5
Allowed / game75.372.078.9
Point differential+0.4+1.2-0.5
Avg total151.0145.2157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %52%75%27%
Points / game80.082.976.9
Allowed / game84.881.088.9
Point differential-4.7+1.9-12.0
Avg total164.8163.9165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)80% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2320387%92.073.6+18.4
2 Buducnost2320387%90.475.7+14.7
3 Crvena zvezda2318578%88.478.7+9.7
4 Dubai2318578%87.778.3+9.4
5 Igokea2315865%84.384.9-0.7
6 Cedevita Olimpija2314961%83.380.0+3.3
7 Spartak Subotica23121152%83.982.3+1.6
8 FMP Beograd23121152%80.084.8-4.7
9 Mega Basket23111248%82.781.7+1.0
10 Zadar23111248%75.775.3+0.4
11 Studentski Centar2381535%82.985.4-2.5
12 Split2381535%76.682.1-5.5
13 Borac Mozzart2381535%76.082.7-6.6
14 KK Krka Novo mesto2341917%82.188.5-6.4
15 Cibona2341917%75.787.4-11.7
16 Mornar Bar231224%74.594.9-20.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2724252399
FMP Beograd2213162071
← all games of the day
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