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Forli vs Assigeco Piacenza Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 63-58
14-10 15-11 18-21 16-16
Position#2
Record13-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game74.9
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#13
Record9-7
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.8
ItalySerie A2Round 17· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Assigeco Piacenza
01 Dec 2024
FORL88
ASSI82
30 Dec 2023
FORL63
ASSI58
05 Dec 2018
FORL83
ASSI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Assigeco Piacenza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 70
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
60avg 70
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 70
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 70
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 70
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 70
A23/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
19-18
12-17
18-17
18-30
24-18
15-23
25-25
21-13
11-11
22-19
17-19
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
159.2Avg total
81.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.874.9155.8+5.981%
Season at home (7)84.472.1156.6+12.3100%
Season away (9)78.077.1155.1+0.967%
Last 10 (10)81.178.1159.2+3.080%
Last 5 (5)85.076.4161.4+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.475.0150.4+0.462%
vs Weaker (14)82.469.4151.8+13.1100%
This opponent (Assigeco Piacenza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Assigeco PiacenzaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPiacenza
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
76avg 71
H01/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
92-94
92
94
-2
85avg 71
A05/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 71
H12/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
no box
A19/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
57-54
57
54
+3
45avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 71
A03/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
69-67
69
67
+2
62avg 71
H06/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
77-59
77
59
+18
69avg 71
H10/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
85-62
85
62
+23
79avg 71
A16/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
80-65
80
65
+15
72avg 71
H23/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
24-27
16-16
23-20
24-23
26-29
20-22
22-20
18-19
24-18
14-16
19-19
24-18
19-26
17-20
22-18
17-19
15-7
2-16
23-12
15-20
21-17
14-23
28-23
15-5
15-13
19-19
20-30
26-20
8-16
19-11
24-12
16-10
26-15
26-23
17-14
25-22
19-9
16-14
20-20
152.9Avg total
78.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.875.8155.6+4.056%
Season at home (9)76.970.4147.3+6.478%
Season away (7)83.682.7166.3+0.929%
Last 10 (10)78.974.0152.9+4.960%
Last 5 (5)77.867.2145.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.984.1164.0-4.238%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.178.2159.3+2.850%
vs Weaker (4)81.076.5157.5+4.550%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
ForliAssigeco Piacenza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
77.3Avg total
39.8Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.475.7+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.734.172.8+4.679%-
Last 30 away (16)39.938.478.3+1.656%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.577.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.880.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.038.875.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (14)42.133.675.7+8.486%-
This opponent (Assigeco Piacenza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Assigeco PiacenzaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H01/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A05/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A19/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H26/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A03/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
30-18
30
18
+12
H06/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H10/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A16/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H23/12
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
39.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.580.8+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.937.078.9+4.969%-
Last 30 away (14)40.642.483.0-1.729%-
Last 10 (10)39.835.775.5+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.229.466.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.439.280.6+2.150%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.839.981.8+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.1
48.4%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.1
35.4%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
74.2%13.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Assigeco Piacenzatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Assigeco Piacenza: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
50.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.3
31.2%
34.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
74.2%13.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWWWWLWWLW
Assigeco Piacenza
WWWWLWLWLL
#2
League position
#13
+3.8
Net rating
+8.2
107.1
Offensive rating
107.7
103.3
Defensive rating
99.5
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.3%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
31.2%
45.4%
Assist %
63.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 107.7Defence103.3 · 99.5Shooting50.2% · 51.3%3-point %35.4% · 31.2%Ball care15.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds28.2% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Forli   ■ Assigeco Piacenza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
1
Assigeco Piacenza wins
DateGameScore
29/10/23Assigeco Piacenza v Forli77-80
17/03/19Assigeco Piacenza v Forli88-78
05/12/18Forli v Assigeco Piacenza83-79
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
12/11/23AChiusi71-62
04/11/23AVerona82-96
01/11/23HCividale84-78 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HNardo80-65
16/12/23ACividale85-62
10/12/23HCento77-59
06/12/23HUdine69-67
03/12/23ARimini78-83
26/11/23HOrzinuovi57-54
19/11/23AChiusi92-97 OT
12/11/23HVerona75-72
05/11/23AFortitudo Bologna92-94
01/11/23HTrieste84-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %81%100%67%
Points / game80.884.478.0
Allowed / game74.972.177.1
Point differential+5.9+12.3+0.9
Avg total155.8156.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %31%57%11%
Assigeco Piacenza
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW56%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%78%29%
Points / game79.876.983.6
Allowed / game75.870.482.7
Point differential+4.0+6.4+0.9
Avg total155.6147.3166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)60% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1615194%91.577.2+14.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna1613381%79.273.3+5.9
3 Forli1613381%80.874.9+5.9
4 Udine1713476%81.168.1+13.0
5 Cantu1612475%88.581.3+7.2
6 Basket Torino1612475%85.881.1+4.7
7 Trieste1511473%79.374.7+4.6
8 Verona1611569%77.273.5+3.7
9 Urania Milano1610662%83.583.5+0.0
10 Sebastiani Rieti1710759%81.979.1+2.9
11 Assigeco Piacenza169756%79.875.8+4.0
12 Treviglio169756%83.481.8+1.6
13 JuVi Cremona179853%86.584.5+2.0
14 Nardo167944%77.984.1-6.1
15 Cento1761135%72.478.0-5.6
16 Vigevano1651131%77.983.8-5.9
17 Agrigento1751229%76.180.0-3.9
18 Luiss Roma1751229%78.987.7-8.8
19 Rimini1641225%75.579.0-3.5
20 Monferrato1641225%78.982.5-3.6
21 Cividale1641225%71.976.9-5.0
22 Orzinuovi1631319%71.377.8-6.4
23 Chiusi1521313%62.974.3-11.3
24 Latina1621412%77.287.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1415181663
Assigeco Piacenza1011211658
← all games of the day
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