PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Forli vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-74 (OT)
12-12 21-18 16-16 14-17 14-11
Position#2
Record10-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.8
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record11-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game73.2
ItalySerie A2Round 14· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Fortitudo Bologna
20 Dec 2026
FORL v FBO
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FORL65
FBO96
13 Apr 2025
FORL67
FBO58
10 Dec 2023
FORL77
FBO74
18 Dec 2022
FORL88
FBO66
07 Apr 2019
FORL88
FBO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 71
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
76-68 OT
76
68
+8
no box
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 71
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
82-96
82
96
-14
68avg 71
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
60avg 71
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
no box
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 71
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 71
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
24-13
19-21
20-23
11-17
18-20
16-15
18-11
23-27
22-13
17-15
18-22
23-20
19-18
12-17
18-17
18-30
24-18
15-23
25-25
21-13
11-11
22-19
17-19
17-22
18-19
18-19
23-16
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
160.6Avg total
82.4Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.875.8157.7+6.077%
Season at home (6)85.771.8157.5+13.8100%
Season away (7)78.679.3157.9-0.757%
Last 10 (10)82.478.2160.6+4.280%
Last 5 (5)83.278.8162.0+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)74.074.8148.8-0.853%
vs Weaker (15)82.269.5151.7+12.793%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Nardo
#15
W
97-79
97
79
+18
99avg 75
A15/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
A22/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 75
H29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
94-92
94
92
+2
95avg 75
H05/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 75
H12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
56-87
56
87
-31
41avg 75
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
69-65
69
65
+4
65avg 75
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 75
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 75
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 75
H07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
26-15
23-18
30-26
21-8
27-15
19-21
17-21
21-19
26-21
31-19
11-18
23-24
29-26
22-20
20-22
24-17
23-23
23-11
14-21
10-25
20-18
14-24
12-20
15-10
17-13
19-19
18-23
12-22
19-16
20-11
17-26
23-19
23-21
15-16
21-19
28-17
22-28
15-16
19-16
157.1Avg total
80.7Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.573.2152.8+6.385%
Season at home (7)80.672.4153.0+8.186%
Season away (6)78.374.2152.5+4.283%
Last 10 (10)80.776.4157.1+4.380%
Last 5 (5)71.875.8147.6-4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.581.2154.7-7.733%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.378.1155.4-0.850%
vs Weaker (8)82.673.8156.4+8.988%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
ForliFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H15/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H22/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A29/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H01/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A04/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H19/11
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
76.0Avg total
40.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.375.6+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.035.074.0+4.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.637.777.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)40.635.476.0+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.233.273.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.738.675.3-1.947%-
vs Weaker (15)41.934.175.9+7.887%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#15
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A15/10
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A22/10
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H29/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H05/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/11
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
A18/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
80.4Avg total
42.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.879.1+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.379.2+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.378.9+2.460%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.780.4+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.875.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.338.375.7-1.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.839.179.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (8)41.638.480.0+3.288%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.1
49.7%
50.3%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.0
34.0%
34.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.813.7
73.3%
74.2%13.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.421.6
54.8%
50.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.8
34.4%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
74.2%11.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWLWWLWWWW
Fortitudo Bologna
WWLWLWWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+3.1
Net rating
+5.9
107.8
Offensive rating
111.6
104.7
Defensive rating
105.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.6%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.0%
3-point %
34.4%
47.4%
Assist %
59.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 111.6Defence104.7 · 105.7Shooting50.2% · 53.6%3-point %34.0% · 34.4%Ball care15.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 31.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79
19/11/23HUdine87-84 OT
12/11/23AChiusi71-62
04/11/23AVerona82-96
01/11/23HCividale84-78 OT
29/10/23AAssigeco Piacenza80-77
22/10/23HRimini76-68 OT
15/10/23HOrzinuovi86-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HRimini84-77
03/12/23AChiusi82-75
26/11/23HVerona68-75
18/11/23ACividale69-65
15/11/23AUdine56-87
12/11/23HCento84-72
05/11/23HAssigeco Piacenza94-92
29/10/23HOrzinuovi89-77
22/10/23ATrieste84-65
15/10/23ANardo97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game81.885.778.6
Allowed / game75.871.879.3
Point differential+6.0+13.8-0.7
Avg total157.7157.5157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %31%50%14%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW85%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game79.580.678.3
Allowed / game73.272.474.2
Point differential+6.3+8.1+4.2
Avg total152.8153.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%57%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1312192%92.278.2+14.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna1311285%79.573.2+6.3
3 Cantu1310377%89.181.9+7.2
4 Forli1310377%81.875.8+6.0
5 Trieste1310377%79.674.3+5.3
6 Udine1410471%80.471.1+9.4
7 Basket Torino1410471%85.380.6+4.7
8 Verona149564%76.172.7+3.4
9 Urania Milano138562%83.683.1+0.5
10 JuVi Cremona148657%89.284.7+4.5
11 Sebastiani Rieti148657%82.980.2+2.6
12 Treviglio148657%83.683.0+0.6
13 Assigeco Piacenza147750%79.477.6+1.9
14 Nardo147750%79.585.3-5.8
15 Cento145936%73.878.7-4.9
16 Cividale1441029%73.675.3-1.7
17 Rimini1441029%75.978.6-2.7
18 Monferrato1441029%80.483.2-2.9
19 Agrigento1441029%75.679.9-4.4
20 Vigevano1441029%77.184.3-7.1
21 Luiss Roma1441029%76.286.1-9.9
22 Orzinuovi1431121%70.777.6-6.9
23 Latina1321115%78.787.7-9.0
24 Chiusi1321115%64.574.2-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Forli122116141477
Fortitudo Bologna121816171174
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.