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Forli vs Avellino Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game73.5
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaGalassi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Forli v Avellino Basket
27 Mar 2027
FORL v AVEL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
FORL73
AVEL71
26 Mar 2025
FORL86
AVEL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Forli
6.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.8
83.0▲ 4.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.2
81.8▼ 2.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
58%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.9
13.6▼ 0.3
🔥 Form · Avellino Basket
6.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.9
79.8▲ 3.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.1
74.4▼ 0.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
70%▲ 12%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.7
18.6▲ 2.9
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
56-89
56
89
-33
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-22
21-27
13-26
14-14
29-21
19-30
23-22
20-13
17-20
24-27
19-23
13-15
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
161.8Avg total
78.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.379.5162.8+3.850%
Season at home (3)86.778.7165.3+8.067%
Season away (3)80.080.3160.3-0.333%
Last 10 (10)78.583.3161.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)83.081.8164.8+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.685.1160.7-9.424%
vs Similar ◀ (9)83.182.4165.6+0.744%
vs Weaker (4)83.072.8155.8+10.275%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
W
94-81
94
81
+13
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
85-74
85
74
+11
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A25/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
22-17
17-18
4-12
12-21
18-24
27-13
18-13
17-23
18-14
25-16
16-14
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
150.3Avg total
76.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.073.5154.5+7.583%
Season at home (3)88.774.7163.3+14.0100%
Season away (3)73.372.3145.7+1.067%
Last 10 (10)76.274.1150.3+2.170%
Last 5 (5)79.874.4154.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.279.5152.8-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.278.8156.0-1.653%
vs Weaker (9)86.776.0162.7+10.789%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
ForliAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A08/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H12/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A19/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#17
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#8
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
87.5Avg total
42.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.584.8-2.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.886.5-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)40.043.183.1-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.187.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.644.282.8-5.512%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.845.188.9-1.333%-
vs Weaker (4)47.536.884.2+10.875%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#10
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
79.6Avg total
40.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.081.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.838.382.1+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)36.843.680.4-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.979.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.482.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.245.582.8-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.242.580.7-4.235%-
vs Weaker (9)45.636.181.7+9.478%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
70.9%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.314.1
53.6%
51.5%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.7
33.6%
34.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
70.9%12.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LLWLWWLLWL
Avellino Basket
LWWWWWLWWL
#10
League position
#2
-1.3
Net rating
+0.8
98.1
Offensive rating
98.5
99.4
Defensive rating
97.6
53.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
13.6%
Turnover %
12.4%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.0%
3-point %
33.6%
51.0%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 98.5Defence99.4 · 97.6Shooting53.0% · 51.9%3-point %35.0% · 33.6%Ball care13.6% · 12.4%Free throws0.40 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Forli   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
2
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Avellino Basket v Forli94-81
25/03/26Forli v Avellino Basket73-71
14/12/25Avellino Basket v Forli90-79
26/03/25Forli v Avellino Basket86-85
20/10/24Avellino Basket v Forli64-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
19/04/26APesaro73-85
12/04/26HLibertas Livorno91-86
08/04/26AVerona56-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
14/05/26HFortitudo Bologna76-67
12/05/26HFortitudo Bologna75-71
09/05/26AFortitudo Bologna64-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game83.386.780.0
Allowed / game79.578.780.3
Point differential+3.8+8.0-0.3
Avg total162.8165.3160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game81.088.773.3
Allowed / game73.574.772.3
Point differential+7.5+14.0+1.0
Avg total154.5163.3145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno660100%81.767.0+14.7
2 Avellino Basket65183%81.073.5+7.5
3 Pesaro65183%83.276.5+6.7
4 Basket Torino54180%75.073.4+1.6
5 Rimini75271%82.671.0+11.6
6 Brindisi64267%78.873.8+5.0
7 Fortitudo Bologna64267%81.377.3+4.0
8 Sebastiani Rieti64267%75.376.5-1.2
9 Pistoia63350%78.269.8+8.3
10 Forli63350%83.379.5+3.8
11 Sassari63350%72.876.0-3.2
12 Cividale73443%70.774.4-3.7
13 Caserta52340%80.881.2-0.4
14 Mestre62433%73.578.5-5.0
15 Ruvo Di Puglia62433%79.284.3-5.2
16 Vigevano62433%77.285.3-8.2
17 Cento72529%73.683.6-10.0
18 Montecatini61517%72.084.2-12.2
19 Urania Milano71614%75.781.7-6.0
20 JuVi Cremona6060%74.881.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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