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Forli vs Avellino Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
6.5/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game74.7
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaGalassi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Forli v Avellino Basket
27 Mar 2027
FORL v AVEL
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
FORL73
AVEL71
26 Mar 2025
FORL86
AVEL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
55avg 70
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 70
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-73
80
73
+7
70avg 70
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
81-94
81
94
-13
66avg 70
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-71
93
71
+22
93avg 70
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
87-92
87
92
-5
74avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
20-30
9-22
21-23
27-15
21-8
16-23
21-22
31-18
16-19
18-19
15-17
19-25
21-24
23-24
18-21
25-11
30-33
13-15
25-12
20-20
20-23
21-17
13-19
19-31
22-26
23-23
23-12
28-24
15-14
19-14
24-19
20-23
9-15
23-29
22-13
21-24
15-21
21-12
24-13
160.0Avg total
80.6Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.377.6159.9+4.856%
Season at home (5)85.475.4160.8+10.080%
Season away (4)78.580.2158.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)80.679.4160.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)80.478.4158.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)74.984.7159.6-9.825%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.980.3163.2+2.650%
vs Weaker (4)81.272.8154.0+8.575%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 69
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 69
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 69
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 69
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
77-62
77
62
+15
82avg 69
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
85-74
85
74
+11
105avg 69
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
55avg 69
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
79-70
79
70
+9
78avg 69
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
31-13
20-16
14-14
12-19
24-11
21-21
19-16
21-26
19-27
18-24
23-17
10-15
21-19
27-18
16-13
15-20
22-25
22-22
22-16
16-13
34-23
17-26
16-14
15-19
156.6Avg total
80.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.274.7156.9+7.689%
Season at home (5)87.675.8163.4+11.8100%
Season away (4)75.573.2148.8+2.275%
Last 10 (10)80.176.5156.6+3.680%
Last 5 (5)81.877.6159.4+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.582.0153.5-10.550%
vs Similar ◀ (17)77.578.4155.9-0.859%
vs Weaker (11)85.074.6159.6+10.491%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.1-2.1
ForliAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H26/04
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
A26/09
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H03/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A21/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H25/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/11
Serie A2
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.943.285.1-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)38.942.581.4-3.520%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.282.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.344.082.3-5.712%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.144.086.1-1.930%-
vs Weaker (4)44.535.279.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
51-29
51
29
+22
A17/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#19
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A25/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H01/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A08/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H11/11
Serie A2
84.3Avg total
44.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.982.3+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.238.983.2+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)38.143.281.3-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.184.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.288.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.546.085.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.642.180.8-3.535%-
vs Weaker (11)45.938.284.1+7.773%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.7
53.3%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.914.9
65.1%
71.0%14.9
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.414.4
54.5%
51.2%28.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
34.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.4
77.9%
71.0%13.4
They take 54.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWLLWLWWL
Avellino Basket
WWWLWWWWWL
#9
League position
#2
-1.3
Net rating
+2.9
98.1
Offensive rating
102.4
99.4
Defensive rating
99.5
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.6%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.0%
3-point %
34.8%
51.0%
Assist %
66.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.1 · 102.4Defence99.4 · 99.5Shooting53.0% · 53.3%3-point %35.0% · 34.8%Ball care13.6% · 10.9%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Forli   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
2
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Avellino Basket v Forli94-81
25/03/26Forli v Avellino Basket73-71
14/12/25Avellino Basket v Forli90-79
26/03/25Forli v Avellino Basket86-85
20/10/24Avellino Basket v Forli64-73
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HRimini81-70
07/11/26ABrindisi74-80
01/11/26HRuvo Di Puglia86-71
25/10/26HLibertas Livorno87-92
21/10/26AVigevano74-79
18/10/26HSebastiani Rieti93-71
11/10/26AAvellino Basket81-94
03/10/26HCento80-73
26/09/26ACividale85-68
26/04/26HFortitudo Bologna65-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HUrania Milano93-85 OT
08/11/26ACaserta82-76
01/11/26HPesaro79-70
25/10/26ABrindisi70-83
21/10/26HMontecatini85-74
17/10/26ACividale77-62
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game82.385.478.5
Allowed / game77.675.480.2
Point differential+4.8+10.0-1.8
Avg total159.9160.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game82.287.675.5
Allowed / game74.775.873.2
Point differential+7.6+11.8+2.2
Avg total156.9163.4148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
20 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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