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Forli vs JuVi Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-61
18-18 25-14 11-14 24-15
Position#2
Record23-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game73.0
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record13-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game84.6
ItalySerie A2Round 29· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v JuVi Cremona
31 Jan 2027
FORL v JUVI
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
FORL69
JUVI79
09 Mar 2025
FORL83
JUVI82
30 Mar 2024
FORL78
JUVI61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JuVi Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 70
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
62avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
92-64
92
64
+28
83avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
83-73
83
73
+10
79avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
80-69
80
69
+11
75avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
73-59
73
59
+14
69avg 70
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
81-79
81
79
+2
71avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
52avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 70
A23/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
9-20
22-14
19-14
23-13
25-18
21-16
18-16
28-14
24-16
17-22
22-18
20-17
17-20
25-22
19-13
19-14
20-19
17-14
21-15
15-11
22-20
23-15
22-27
14-17
20-17
24-18
14-23
11-20
20-13
20-21
21-21
16-20
148.6Avg total
78.6Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.273.0152.2+6.382%
Season at home (14)80.669.9150.6+10.793%
Season away (14)77.976.0153.9+1.971%
Last 10 (10)78.670.0148.6+8.690%
Last 5 (5)76.072.0148.0+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)75.173.7148.8+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.673.0155.6+9.693%
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
87-81
87
81
+6
79avg 74
A13/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 74
H20/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
82-89
82
89
-7
68avg 74
A28/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
88-99
88
99
-11
76avg 74
H04/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
59avg 74
A11/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 74
H18/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
72-86
72
86
-14
62avg 74
H03/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
68-86
68
86
-18
53avg 74
A10/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 74
A17/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
58-64
58
64
-6
38avg 74
H25/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
25-18
18-25
26-14
20-32
18-11
32-21
17-16
22-24
10-27
24-24
26-14
24-28
24-22
21-26
19-23
17-21
18-23
17-23
20-26
20-16
16-29
17-18
23-19
14-24
27-19
23-21
8-22
18-16
12-26
21-22
17-22
11-18
16-10
23-14
21-28
15-14
9-20
20-22
14-8
159.1Avg total
76.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.684.6168.3-1.046%
Season at home (14)86.583.1169.6+3.457%
Season away (14)80.886.1166.9-5.436%
Last 10 (10)76.183.0159.1-6.930%
Last 5 (5)69.077.6146.6-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.287.0163.2-10.88%
vs Similar (18)86.982.1169.0+4.872%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
ForliJuVi Cremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H04/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A18/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H24/02
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A03/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H10/03
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/03
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
40.3Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.375.6+3.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.333.572.7+5.887%-
Last 30 away (15)39.339.178.4+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.335.475.7+4.980%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.877.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)36.437.473.8-0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)42.635.077.6+7.686%-
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A13/01
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/01
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A28/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H04/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A11/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H18/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H03/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/03
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A17/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H25/03
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
35.4Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.943.484.3-2.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.942.186.0+1.947%-
Last 30 away (15)37.944.882.7-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.277.6-6.810%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.470.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.646.385.9-6.88%-
vs Similar (18)41.841.583.3+0.350%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.3
48.7%
50.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
74.2%13.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JuVi Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JuVi Cremona: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.8
44.6%
50.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.217.1
77.0%
74.2%17.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLWWWWWWWW
JuVi Cremona
LWLLLLLLWW
#2
League position
#17
+11.9
Net rating
-8.8
108.0
Offensive rating
98.8
96.1
Defensive rating
107.6
50.1%
Effective FG%
46.1%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.7%
3-point %
32.5%
49.3%
Assist %
48.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 98.8Defence96.1 · 107.6Shooting50.1% · 46.1%3-point %34.7% · 32.5%Ball care16.0% · 17.7%Off. rebounds29.8% · 25.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Forli   ■ JuVi Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forli wins
0
JuVi Cremona wins
No previous meetings.
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AMonferrato77-75
10/03/24HBasket Torino69-78
03/03/24ALuiss Roma81-79
24/02/24HUrania Milano73-59
18/02/24AAgrigento80-69
11/02/24HSebastiani Rieti83-73
04/02/24HTrieste92-64
28/01/24AUdine73-61
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
JuVi Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24HRimini58-64
17/03/24AChiusi71-70
10/03/24AUdine68-86
03/03/24HCividale72-86
18/02/24HCento76-82
11/02/24AFortitudo Bologna72-93
04/02/24HBasket Torino88-99
28/01/24AAgrigento82-89
20/01/24HTreviglio87-80
13/01/24AUrania Milano87-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW82%
HomeWWWWL93%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%93%71%
Points / game79.280.677.9
Allowed / game73.069.976.0
Point differential+6.3+10.7+1.9
Avg total152.2150.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %18%29%7%
JuVi Cremona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeWLLLL57%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %46%57%36%
Points / game83.686.580.8
Allowed / game84.683.186.1
Point differential-1.0+3.4-5.4
Avg total168.3169.6166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2725293%89.376.5+12.8
2 Forli2823582%79.273.0+6.3
3 Fortitudo Bologna2720774%76.671.6+5.0
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Cantu2820871%86.979.8+7.1
6 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
7 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%81.178.0+3.1
8 Verona28171161%76.173.8+2.4
9 Trieste28161257%80.278.8+1.4
10 Rimini28141450%77.876.1+1.7
11 Urania Milano28141450%82.484.0-1.6
12 Assigeco Piacenza28131546%77.476.1+1.3
13 Cividale28131546%75.275.7-0.4
14 JuVi Cremona28131546%83.684.6-1.0
15 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
16 Treviglio28121643%79.079.5-0.5
17 Vigevano28111739%78.280.9-2.7
18 Nardo28111739%74.880.6-5.8
19 Luiss Roma2891932%78.185.1-7.0
20 Orzinuovi2882029%74.278.0-3.7
21 Chiusi2882029%66.673.9-7.2
22 Monferrato2862221%79.484.6-5.1
23 Agrigento2862221%74.080.8-6.8
24 Latina2962321%76.284.8-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1825112478
JuVi Cremona1814141561
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