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Udine vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-73
20-9 14-22 14-19 13-23
Position#6
Record15-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.3
Udine
Italy
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record16-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game74.2
ItalySerie A2Round 21· PalaCarnera
Other2023-24
Meetings · Udine v Forli
13 Nov 2024
UDI84
FORL75
28 Jan 2024
UDI61
FORL73
07 Jun 2023
UDI65
FORL83
11 Dec 2022
UDI81
FORL92
25 Apr 2021
UDI79
FORL70
31 Mar 2019
UDI84
FORL75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Udine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UdineItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUdine
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
83avg 76
H26/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
79-57
79
57
+22
75avg 76
H02/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
67-69
67
69
-2
61avg 76
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-63
76
63
+13
71avg 76
H10/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
79-43
79
43
+36
78avg 76
A17/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
92-59
92
59
+33
93avg 76
A23/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-61
82
61
+21
78avg 76
H29/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
42avg 76
A06/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
87-83
87
83
+4
125avg 76
H12/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
78-77
78
77
+1
63avg 76
A21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
28-22
22-23
15-17
17-13
27-17
20-20
15-7
5-15
13-15
19-19
30-20
20-10
20-14
12-16
24-23
26-16
20-9
17-12
16-6
29-23
24-10
18-8
21-18
21-16
21-17
20-8
20-20
13-23
14-14
11-18
16-13
22-21
20-16
16-23
29-23
17-15
15-13
19-21
27-28
145.3Avg total
78.6Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.969.3149.2+10.675%
Season at home (10)84.469.0153.4+15.4100%
Season away (10)75.469.6145.0+5.850%
Last 10 (10)78.666.7145.3+11.980%
Last 5 (5)78.669.6148.2+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.379.3143.7-15.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.474.9154.3+4.558%
vs Weaker (15)82.169.0151.1+13.187%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
44avg 69
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
82-62
82
62
+20
82avg 69
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
no box
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
72-71
72
71
+1
60avg 69
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
80-68
80
68
+12
73avg 69
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-58
63
58
+5
53avg 69
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
77-86
77
86
-9
70avg 69
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
64avg 69
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
80avg 69
H21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-16
14-14
13-30
24-15
25-14
22-18
11-15
27-21
23-16
22-23
19-31
12-12
21-18
16-16
14-17
22-21
18-22
11-15
21-13
23-26
17-24
19-8
21-10
14-10
15-11
18-21
16-16
20-13
19-25
17-28
21-20
21-12
14-22
20-21
21-13
19-9
23-26
19-27
21-12
153.2Avg total
78.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.574.2153.8+5.380%
Season at home (10)81.270.5151.7+10.7100%
Season away (10)77.978.0155.9-0.160%
Last 10 (10)78.574.7153.2+3.880%
Last 5 (5)75.670.8146.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.574.6148.1-1.157%
vs Weaker (16)82.170.7152.8+11.494%
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +0.1+0.1
UdineForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UdineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#10
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H26/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H02/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
18-30
18
30
-12
A06/12
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H10/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A17/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A23/12
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H29/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A06/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H12/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
72.3Avg total
39.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.274.9+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.936.480.3+7.587%-
Last 30 away (15)35.434.169.5+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)39.932.472.3+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.672.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.741.072.7-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.237.276.4+2.167%-
vs Weaker (15)41.632.574.1+9.193%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H10/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A23/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H30/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/01
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/01
Serie A2
74.4Avg total
39.2Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.874.8+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.333.571.9+4.880%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.077.7+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.235.274.4+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.837.873.6-2.050%-
vs Weaker (16)41.934.075.9+7.988%-
This opponent (Udine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Udinetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Udine: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀35%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.213.8
50.7%
50.3%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.3
36.4%
34.1%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.413.9
75.5%
74.2%13.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.116.7
45.0%
50.3%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.3
34.3%
34.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
74.2%15.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Udine
WWLWWWWLWW
Forli
WWLWWWWWWL
#6
League position
#2
+18.4
Net rating
+2.4
112.4
Offensive rating
104.1
94.1
Defensive rating
101.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
47.6%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.2%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.4%
3-point %
34.3%
58.2%
Assist %
49.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.4 · 104.1Defence94.1 · 101.7Shooting52.9% · 47.6%3-point %36.4% · 34.3%Ball care16.0% · 16.2%Off. rebounds28.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Udine   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Udine wins
7
Forli wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Forli v Udine87-84 OT
07/06/23Udine v Forli65-83
04/06/23Forli v Udine83-58
02/06/23Forli v Udine72-70
19/03/23Forli v Udine81-70
11/12/22Udine v Forli81-92
09/05/21Forli v Udine74-83
25/04/21Udine v Forli79-70
31/03/19Udine v Forli84-75
16/12/18Forli v Udine88-82
Udinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24AOrzinuovi78-77
12/01/24HTrieste87-83
06/01/24AFortitudo Bologna54-68
29/12/23HCento82-61
23/12/23ACividale92-59
17/12/23AChiusi79-43
10/12/23HVerona76-63
06/12/23AAssigeco Piacenza67-69
02/12/23HNardo79-57
26/11/23HRimini92-87
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HChiusi82-74
13/01/24HVerona76-68
06/01/24ACividale77-86
30/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza63-58
23/12/23ARimini80-68
17/12/23AOrzinuovi72-71
10/12/23HFortitudo Bologna77-74 OT
06/12/23ANardo114-107 OT
02/12/23HCento82-62
26/11/23ATrieste62-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Udine
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.984.475.4
Allowed / game69.369.069.6
Point differential+10.6+15.4+5.8
Avg total149.2153.4145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%70%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game79.581.277.9
Allowed / game74.270.578.0
Point differential+5.3+10.7-0.1
Avg total153.8151.7155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %25%40%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2019195%92.377.0+15.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna2016480%76.170.6+5.5
3 Forli2016480%79.574.2+5.3
4 Cantu2116576%88.679.9+8.7
5 Udine2015575%79.969.3+10.6
6 Trieste2014670%80.576.7+3.9
7 Verona2114767%76.071.9+4.1
8 Basket Torino2013765%84.881.5+3.2
9 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%81.779.8+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona2112957%87.585.2+2.2
11 Urania Milano2011955%83.383.8-0.6
12 Treviglio20101050%81.882.2-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza2091145%76.374.8+1.6
14 Vigevano2081240%79.382.0-2.6
15 Cento2081240%72.877.5-4.8
16 Nardo2181338%76.383.1-6.8
17 Rimini2071335%76.477.0-0.7
18 Cividale2071335%73.476.6-3.2
19 Luiss Roma2071335%79.587.0-7.5
20 Agrigento2161529%75.881.2-5.4
21 Monferrato2151624%79.985.0-5.1
22 Orzinuovi2041620%71.576.1-4.7
23 Latina2031715%79.088.8-9.8
24 Chiusi2031715%64.675.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Udine2014141361
Forli922192373
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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