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France W vs Spain W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 64-65
18-18 20-13 8-18 18-16
Position#3
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game48.6
France W
vs
Spain W 🏆
Position#2
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game61.5
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenEuroBasket Women - Semi-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024
Meetings · France W v Spain W
27 Jun 2025
FRAN64
SPAI65
01 Oct 2010
FRAN71
SPAI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

France WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
70avg 88
H09/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
50avg 88
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Israel W
#26
W
94-52
94
52
+42
95avg 88
H07/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#13
W
82-51
82
51
+31
71avg 88
A10/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
125-24
125
24
+101
142avg 88
H06/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
100-39
100
39
+61
115avg 88
A09/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 88
A18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
92-56
92
56
+36
96avg 88
H19/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
111-37
111
37
+74
116avg 88
H21/06
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
83-61
83
61
+22
79avg 88
H24/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-19
17-15
18-15
9-15
16-10
18-20
23-22
23-14
24-10
24-8
23-20
20-12
18-12
23-10
21-17
35-7
29-9
34-2
27-6
29-16
21-9
26-3
24-11
22-23
14-21
12-10
23-15
21-17
23-20
20-10
28-9
25-9
35-5
22-15
29-8
35-14
21-17
15-14
12-16
143.6Avg total
90.5Scored
53.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.948.6141.5+44.3100%
Season at home (6)96.046.5142.5+49.5100%
Season away (4)88.251.8140.0+36.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.553.1143.6+37.490%
Last 5 (5)91.452.4143.8+39.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.076.0143.0-9.00%
vs Similar (3)73.767.7141.3+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.755.5142.2+31.296%
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
80avg 75
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
53avg 75
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
no box
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
78-62
78
62
+16
82avg 75
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
76-45
76
45
+31
82avg 75
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 75
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
85-70
85
70
+15
79avg 75
A19/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
76avg 75
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
78-75 OT
78
75
+3
65avg 75
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
W
88-81
88
81
+7
89avg 75
H25/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
21-15
18-10
15-24
26-26
11-22
12-19
17-12
16-7
15-18
19-16
16-18
18-18
25-16
21-16
14-12
28-17
15-10
16-8
17-10
19-15
17-16
28-13
17-20
18-13
30-12
20-24
17-21
19-16
17-14
18-13
25-17
16-16
15-7
19-19
14-22
12-18
21-26
28-22
27-15
142.4Avg total
76.7Scored
65.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.661.5139.1+16.1100%
Season at home (5)77.259.2136.4+18.0100%
Season away (5)78.063.8141.8+14.2100%
Last 10 (10)76.765.7142.4+11.090%
Last 5 (5)82.270.0152.2+12.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.571.8140.2-3.250%
vs Similar (3)69.067.0136.0+2.067%
vs Weaker (23)78.358.7136.9+19.691%
This opponent (France W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +8.9+8.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +10.4+10.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +8.9+8.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +8.9+8.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +8.6+8.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +10.4+10.4Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: +8.9+8.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
France WSpain W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
France WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Israel W
#26
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H07/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#13
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A10/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
64-16
64
16
+48
H06/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A09/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
60-14
60
14
+46
H21/06
European Championship Women
Lithuania W
#17
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H24/06
European Championship Women
72.7Avg total
45.1Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.329.371.6+13.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.528.172.6+16.486%-
Last 30 away (16)40.430.370.7+10.162%-
Last 10 (10)45.127.672.7+17.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.230.279.4+19.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.547.081.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (3)36.731.368.0+5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.627.671.2+16.084%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia W
#9
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A03/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H07/08
Olympic Games Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H07/11
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H10/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A06/02
European Championship Women
Netherlands W
#25
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A09/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A19/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#11
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H20/06
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A22/06
European Championship Women
Czech Republic W
#21
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H25/06
European Championship Women
69.0Avg total
37.5Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.466.9+8.173%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.631.168.7+6.567%-
Last 30 away (12)37.226.864.1+10.483%-
Last 10 (10)37.531.569.0+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)36.830.667.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.533.868.2+0.850%-
vs Similar (3)31.336.768.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker (23)38.827.766.5+11.183%-
This opponent (France W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
France Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France W: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.9
52.9%
45.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
30.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.516.5
84.6%
72.4%16.5
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.2
50.6%
45.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.06.1
30.5%
30.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.815.0
79.8%
72.4%15.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France W
WWWWWWWWLW
Spain W
WWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+48.9
Net rating
+14.6
116.2
Offensive rating
102.0
67.3
Defensive rating
87.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
33.3%
Opp. effective FG%
43.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.7%
3-point %
30.5%
80.1%
Assist %
72.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 102.0Defence67.3 · 87.5Shooting53.1% · 49.0%3-point %35.7% · 30.5%Ball care17.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds37.5% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ France W   ■ Spain W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
France W wins
1
Spain W wins
DateGameScore
04/08/21Spain W v France W64-67
01/10/10France W v Spain W71-74 OT
France Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/06/25HLithuania W83-61
21/06/25HSwitzerland W111-37
19/06/25HGreece W92-56
18/06/25ATurkey W71-69
09/02/25AIsrael W100-39
06/02/25HIreland W125-24
10/11/24ALatvia W82-51
07/11/24HIsrael W94-52
11/08/24HUSA W66-67
09/08/24HBelgium W81-75 OT
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/06/25HCzech Republic W88-81
22/06/25ASweden W78-75 OT
20/06/25HGermany W79-60
19/06/25AGreat Britain W85-70
09/02/25ANetherlands W81-64
06/02/25AAustria W76-45
10/11/24HCroatia W78-62
07/11/24HNetherlands W66-59
07/08/24HBelgium W66-79
03/08/24ASerbia W70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.996.088.2
Allowed / game48.646.551.8
Point differential+44.3+49.5+36.5
Avg total141.5142.5140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.677.278.0
Allowed / game61.559.263.8
Point differential+16.1+18.0+14.2
Avg total139.1136.4141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%60%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W10100100%92.948.6+44.3
2 Spain W10100100%77.661.5+16.1
3 Belgium W109190%84.955.9+29.0
4 Italy W108280%69.560.9+8.6
5 Sweden W97278%75.466.6+8.9
6 Turkey W118373%80.565.9+14.5
7 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
8 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
9 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
10 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
11 Portugal W96367%60.058.8+1.2
12 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
13 Germany W117464%72.670.5+2.2
14 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
15 Lithuania W116555%75.669.5+6.1
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
18 Czech Republic W115645%69.169.9-0.8
19 Great Britain W94544%72.363.8+8.6
20 Montenegro W94544%65.466.8-1.3
21 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France W182081864
Spain W1813181665
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